Basketball · Cyprus Division A · 31/10, 18:00

Prediction: AEK Larnaca vs Etha Engomis

Team pages: AEK Larnaca · Etha Engomis

Prediction summary

Estimated points

162Total

AEK Larnaca90

Etha Engomis72

1X2

90% 10%

AEK Larnaca Etha Engomis

Recent form · 10 last

AEK Larnaca 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLWWWW

Etha Engomis 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLWWL

Head-to-head

AEK Larnaca 6–0 Etha Engomis (6 last)

Etha Engomis79-102AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca101-70Etha Engomis
AEK Larnaca99-59Etha Engomis
Etha Engomis54-94AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca82-63Etha Engomis
AEK Larnaca104-67Etha Engomis

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AEK Larnaca 1603 · Etha Engomis 1410

	AEK Larnaca	Etha Engomis
Our model	84%	16%
Market	92%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 162 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · +1.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points162AEK Larnaca 90 · Etha Engomis 72

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AEK Larnaca (rating 1603 vs 1410).
AEK Larnaca is a clear favourite (90% market).
H2H favours AEK Larnaca: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	AEK Larnaca	Etha Engomis
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.8 / 76.4	78.7 / 90.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81.2 / 73.4	75.6 / 79.2
Est. result	90	72

Est. total162

Line O/U160.5

Diff.1.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.01

212.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-20.5)1.83

2 (+20.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 160.51.83

Under 160.51.83

Diff.: 2.55 · Est. total: 163.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.01 → 1.01	Bet365 1.01
2	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.9%

Time*	1	2
15:48 +10’	1.01	12.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AEK Larnaca 6–0–0 Etha Engomis

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/01/26 Cyprus Division A	Etha Engomis	79-102	AEK Larnaca
25/10/25 Cyprus Division A	AEK Larnaca	101-70	Etha Engomis
16/04/25 Cyprus Division A	AEK Larnaca	99-59	Etha Engomis
31/01/25 Cyprus Division A	Etha Engomis	54-94	AEK Larnaca
13/12/24 Cyprus Division A	AEK Larnaca	82-63	Etha Engomis
28/09/24 Club Friendlies	AEK Larnaca	104-67	Etha Engomis

Standings · Cyprus Division A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Keravnos	3	3	0	276	219	6
2	AEK Larnaca	3	3	0	258	209	6
3	AEL	3	2	1	236	227	5
4	Apoel	3	2	1	243	218	5
5	Etha Engomis	3	2	1	213	203	5
6	EN Paralimni	3	1	2	243	253	4
7	Digenis Morphou B.C.	3	1	2	223	241	4
8	Apollon Limassol	3	1	2	221	268	4
9	Anorthosis Famagusta	3	0	3	217	235	3
10	Achilleas Kaimakliou	3	0	3	212	269	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AEK Larnaca	Etha Engomis
EN Paralimni	85-74 W	87-103 L
Apoel	83-79 W	72-81 L
Keravnos	68-64 W	84-125 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: AEK Larnaca (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AEK Larnaca

LWLWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	EN Paralimni Cyprus Division A	85-74	W
18/10	Apoel Cyprus Division A	83-79	W
11/10	Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division A	90-56	W
25/05	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	68-64	W
21/05	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	80-94	L
17/05	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	76-75	W
13/05	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	86-81	W
09/05	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	68-75	L
01/05	Apoel Cyprus Division A	85-71	W
28/04	Apoel Cyprus Division A	87-95	L

Etha Engomis

LLLLLLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/10	AEL Cyprus Division A	70-74	L
19/10	Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division A	67-64	W
09/10	Digenis Morphou B.C. Cyprus Division A	76-65	W
07/03	Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division A	78-90	L
14/02	EN Paralimni Cyprus Division A	87-103	L
08/02	Digenis Morphou B.C. Cyprus Division A	91-93	L
31/01	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	84-125	L
25/01	Apoel Cyprus Division A	72-81	L
17/01	AEL Cyprus Division A	83-105	L
11/01	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A	79-102	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AEK Larnaca vs Etha Engomis?

Our model gives 90% to AEK Larnaca.

How many points are expected in AEK Larnaca vs Etha Engomis?

The model estimates 162 total points (AEK Larnaca 90 · Etha Engomis 72).