Basketball · Cyprus Division A · 30/10, 18:00

Prediction: AEL vs Digenis Morphou B.C.

Team pages: AEL

Prediction summary
Estimated points
157.8Total
AEL85.8
Digenis Morphou B.C.71.9
1X2
84% 16%
AEL Digenis Morphou B.C.
Recent form · 10 last
AEL 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LLWLLWLLWW
Digenis Morphou B.C. 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
LLLLWLLLLW
Head-to-head
AEL 2–0 Digenis Morphou B.C. (2 last)
  • Digenis Morphou B.C.75-92AEL
  • AEL90-86Digenis Morphou B.C.
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AEL 1540 · Digenis Morphou B.C. 1449
AELDigenis Morphou B.C.
Our model74%26%
Market86%14%
Estimated total (ours) 157.8 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · +2.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points157.8AEL 85.8 · Digenis Morphou B.C. 71.9

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AEL (rating 1540 vs 1449).
  • AEL is a clear favourite (84% market).
  • H2H favours AEL: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

AELDigenis Morphou B.C.
Points F|A (Last 10)74.6 / 83.175.8 / 86.1
Points F|A (Last 5)76.6 / 80.273.8 / 85.2
Est. result8672
Est. total157.8
Line O/U155.5
Diff.2.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · AEL 2–0–0 Digenis Morphou B.C.

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/01/26
Cyprus Division A
Digenis Morphou B.C.75-92AEL
09/11/25
Cyprus Division A
AEL90-86Digenis Morphou B.C.

Standings · Cyprus Division A

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Keravnos 330 2762196
2 AEK Larnaca 330 2582096
3 AEL 321 2362275
4 Apoel 321 2432185
5 Etha Engomis 321 2132035
6 EN Paralimni 312 2432534
7 Digenis Morphou B.C. 312 2232414
8 Apollon Limassol 312 2212684
9 Anorthosis Famagusta 303 2172353
10 Achilleas Kaimakliou 303 2122693

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAELDigenis Morphou B.C.
Etha Engomis 74-70 W 65-76 L
EN Paralimni 89-77 W 73-89 L
Apoel 73-80 L 69-75 L
Keravnos 60-92 L 82-91 L
AEK Larnaca 71-78 L 72-91 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 3 L 0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: AEL (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AEL

LLWLLWLLWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
26/10 Etha Engomis
Cyprus Division A
74-70 W
17/10 EN Paralimni
Cyprus Division A
89-77 W
12/10 Apoel
Cyprus Division A
73-80 L
02/05 Keravnos
Cyprus Division A
60-92 L
29/04 Keravnos
Cyprus Division A
87-82 W
25/04 Keravnos
Cyprus Division A
66-86 L
22/04 Keravnos
Cyprus Division A
81-85 L
18/04 Keravnos
Cyprus Division A
87-80 W
08/04 AEK Larnaca
Cyprus Division A
71-78 L
04/04 Keravnos
Cyprus Division A
58-101 L

Digenis Morphou B.C.

LLLLWLLLLW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
25/10 Anorthosis Famagusta
Cyprus Division A
76-74 W
18/10 Keravnos
Cyprus Division A
82-91 L
09/10 Etha Engomis
Cyprus Division A
65-76 L
07/03 EN Paralimni
Cyprus Division A
73-89 L
14/02 Keravnos
Cyprus Division A
73-96 L
08/02 Etha Engomis
Cyprus Division A
93-91 W
02/02 Apoel
Cyprus Division A
69-75 L
24/01 AEL
Cyprus Division A
75-92 L
17/01 AEK Larnaca
Cyprus Division A
72-91 L
10/01 Apollon Limassol
Cyprus Division A
80-86 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AEL vs Digenis Morphou B.C.?

Our model gives 84% to AEL.

How many points are expected in AEL vs Digenis Morphou B.C.?

The model estimates 157.8 total points (AEL 85.8 · Digenis Morphou B.C. 71.9).