Basketball · Cyprus Division A · 02/11, 18:00

Prediction: Apollon Limassol vs Apoel

Team pages: Apollon Limassol · Apoel

Prediction summary

Estimated points

157.8Total

Apollon Limassol74.6

Apoel83.2

1X2

27% 73%

Apollon Limassol Apoel

Recent form · 10 last

Apollon Limassol 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Apoel 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Apollon Limassol 0–6 Apoel (6 last)

Apoel84-75Apollon Limassol
Apoel86-84Apollon Limassol
Apollon Limassol88-90Apoel
Apollon Limassol88-100Apoel
Apollon Limassol90-96Apoel
Apoel92-79Apollon Limassol

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Apollon Limassol 1462 · Apoel 1461

	Apollon Limassol	Apoel
Our model	63%	37%
Market	19%	81%

Estimated total (ours) 157.8 points · Bet365 line 157.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points157.8Apollon Limassol 74.6 · Apoel 83.2

Match keys

Apoel is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours Apoel: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Apollon Limassol	Apoel
Points F\|A (Last 10)	76.5 / 86.5	80 / 82.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	75.8 / 88	81.8 / 78
Est. result	75	83

Est. total157.8

Line O/U157.5

Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

15.00

21.14

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+11.5)1.83

2 (-11.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 157.51.83

Under 157.51.83

Diff.: 5.15 · Est. total: 162.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	2
12:47 +13’	5.00	1.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Apollon Limassol 0–0–6 Apoel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/04/26 Cyprus Division A	Apoel	84-75	Apollon Limassol
20/12/25 Cyprus Division A	Apoel	86-84	Apollon Limassol
10/10/25 Cyprus Division A	Apollon Limassol	88-90	Apoel
07/03/25 Cyprus Division A	Apollon Limassol	88-100	Apoel
01/02/25 Cyprus Division A	Apollon Limassol	90-96	Apoel
13/12/24 Cyprus Division A	Apoel	92-79	Apollon Limassol

Standings · Cyprus Division A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AEK Larnaca	4	4	0	345	270	8
2	Keravnos	4	4	0	370	303	8
3	AEL	4	3	1	307	276	7
4	EN Paralimni	4	2	2	339	335	6
5	Etha Engomis	4	2	2	274	290	6
6	Apoel	3	2	1	243	218	5
7	Digenis Morphou B.C.	4	1	3	272	312	5
8	Apollon Limassol	3	1	2	221	268	4
9	Achilleas Kaimakliou	4	0	4	294	365	4
10	Anorthosis Famagusta	4	0	4	301	329	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Apollon Limassol	Apoel
Achilleas Kaimakliou	90-88 W	84-62 W
AEK Larnaca	56-90 L	79-83 L
EN Paralimni	87-80 W	85-86 L
AEL	77-89 L	80-73 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Apoel (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Apollon Limassol

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	75-90	L
16/10	Achilleas Kaimakliou Cyprus Division A	90-88	W
11/10	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A	56-90	L
07/04	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	71-92	L
05/04	EN Paralimni Cyprus Division A	87-80	W
01/04	Apoel Cyprus Division A	75-84	L
27/03	AEL Cyprus Division A	77-89	L
20/03	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A	77-91	L
06/03	AEL Cyprus Division A	85-76	W
13/02	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A	72-85	L

Apoel

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Achilleas Kaimakliou Cyprus Division A	84-62	W
18/10	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A	79-83	L
12/10	AEL Cyprus Division A	80-73	W
01/05	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A	71-85	L
28/04	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A	95-87	W
24/04	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A	72-89	L
21/04	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A	82-79	W
17/04	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A	77-99	L
08/04	EN Paralimni Cyprus Division A	85-86	L
05/04	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A	75-80	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Apollon Limassol vs Apoel?

Our model gives 73% to Apoel.

How many points are expected in Apollon Limassol vs Apoel?

The model estimates 157.8 total points (Apollon Limassol 74.6 · Apoel 83.2).