Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 25/09, 01:15

Prediction: Sayago vs Trouville

Team pages: Sayago · Trouville

Prediction summary
Estimated points
151.5Total
Sayago76.1
Trouville75.4
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
52% 48%
Sayago Trouville

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Sayago 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWWWWLWL
Trouville 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WLWLLWWWLW
Head-to-head
Sayago 1–5 Trouville (6 last)
  • Trouville81-64Sayago
  • Sayago97-74Trouville
  • Trouville88-81Sayago
  • Trouville72-64Sayago
  • Sayago79-93Trouville
  • Trouville88-82Sayago
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sayago 1513 · Trouville 1537
SayagoTrouville
Our model59%41%
Market50%50%
Estimated total (ours) 151.5 points · Bet365 line 153.5 · -2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points151.5Sayago 76.1 · Trouville 75.4

Match keys

  • H2H favours Trouville: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

SayagoTrouville
Points F|A (Last 10)73.9 / 71.378 / 78
Points F|A (Last 5)78.6 / 7584.2 / 76.4
Est. result7675
Est. total151.5
Line O/U153.5
Diff.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sayago 1–0–5 Trouville

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/09/26
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Trouville81-64Sayago
18/09/26
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Sayago97-74Trouville
15/09/26
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Trouville88-81Sayago
01/08/26
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Trouville72-64Sayago
12/06/26
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Sayago79-93Trouville
14/01/20
Uruguay Liga
Trouville88-82Sayago

Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Olimpia 20164 1674146136
2 Trouville 20155 1624146335
3 Verdirrojo 20137 1517145933
4 Stockolmo 19136 1444131432
5 Lagomar 19118 1446144930
6 Sayago 201010 1522150830
7 Tabare 20911 1571153029
8 Urupan de Pando 20911 1533159429

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSayagoTrouville
Stockolmo 80-67 W 54-81 L
Olimpia 63-76 L 75-73 W
Urupan de Pando 64-63 W 73-85 L
Lagomar 68-78 L 83-80 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sayago

LWLWWWWLWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
22/09 Trouville
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
64-81 L
18/09 Trouville
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
97-74 W
15/09 Trouville
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
81-88 L
08/09 Stockolmo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
80-67 W
04/09 Stockolmo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
71-65 W
27/08 Verdirrojo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
80-53 W
22/08 Tabare
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
71-68 W
19/08 Olimpia
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
63-76 L
15/08 Urupan de Pando
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
64-63 W
12/08 Lagomar
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
68-78 L

Trouville

WLWLLWWWLW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
22/09 Sayago
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
81-64 W
18/09 Sayago
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
74-97 L
15/09 Sayago
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
88-81 W
11/09 Larre Borges
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
86-65 W
08/09 Larre Borges
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
92-75 W
05/09 Larre Borges
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
74-79 L
27/08 Urupan de Pando
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
73-85 L
21/08 Lagomar
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
83-80 W
18/08 Stockolmo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
54-81 L
14/08 Olimpia
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
75-73 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sayago vs Trouville?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Sayago 52% · Trouville 48%).

How many points are expected in Sayago vs Trouville?

The model estimates 151.5 total points (Sayago 76.1 · Trouville 75.4).