Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 02/10, 01:30
Prediction: Olimpia vs Trouville
Team pages: Olimpia · Trouville
Prediction summary
Estimated points
157.7Total
Olimpia82.1
Trouville75.6
1X2
Olimpia
Trouville
Recent form · 10 last
Olimpia
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Trouville
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Olimpia
3–3
Trouville
(6 last)
- Trouville75-73Olimpia
- Olimpia93-81Trouville
- Olimpia95-88Trouville
- Trouville77-76Olimpia
- Trouville93-75Olimpia
- Olimpia98-67Trouville
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olimpia 1600 · Trouville 1523
| Olimpia | Trouville | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
157.7 points · Bet365 line 157.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points157.7Olimpia 82.1 · Trouville 75.6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia (rating 1600 vs 1523).
- Olimpia is a clear favourite (68% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Olimpia | Trouville | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 86.1 / 70 | 78.8 / 78.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 89.4 / 74.2 | 82.4 / 77.6 |
| Est. result | 82 | 76 |
Est. total157.7
Line O/U157.5
Diff.0.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olimpia 3–0–3 Trouville
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Trouville | 75-73 | Olimpia |
| 25/07/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Olimpia | 93-81 | Trouville |
| 05/01/23 Uruguay Liga | Olimpia | 95-88 | Trouville |
| 29/10/22 Uruguay Liga | Trouville | 77-76 | Olimpia |
| 19/03/22 Uruguay Liga | Trouville | 93-75 | Olimpia |
| 18/12/21 Uruguay Liga | Olimpia | 98-67 | Trouville |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 20 | 16 | 4 | 1674 | 1461 | 36 |
| 2 | Trouville | 20 | 15 | 5 | 1624 | 1463 | 35 |
| 3 | Verdirrojo | 20 | 13 | 7 | 1517 | 1459 | 33 |
| 4 | Stockolmo | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1444 | 1314 | 32 |
| 5 | Lagomar | 19 | 11 | 8 | 1446 | 1449 | 30 |
| 6 | Sayago | 20 | 10 | 10 | 1522 | 1508 | 30 |
| 7 | Tabare | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1571 | 1530 | 29 |
| 8 | Urupan de Pando | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1533 | 1594 | 29 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Olimpia | Trouville |
|---|---|---|
| Stockolmo | 83-66 W | 54-81 L |
| Sayago | 76-63 W | 83-81 W |
| Urupan de Pando | 97-63 W | 73-85 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Olimpia (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olimpia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
91-68 | W |
| 19/09 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
69-68 | W |
| 16/09 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
100-68 | W |
| 09/09 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
101-93 | W |
| 05/09 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
86-74 | W |
| 27/08 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
85-62 | W |
| 22/08 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
83-66 | W |
| 19/08 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
76-63 | W |
| 14/08 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-75 | L |
| 11/08 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
97-63 | W |
Trouville
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
83-81 | W |
| 22/09 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
81-64 | W |
| 18/09 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
74-97 | L |
| 15/09 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
88-81 | W |
| 11/09 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
86-65 | W |
| 08/09 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
92-75 | W |
| 05/09 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
74-79 | L |
| 27/08 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-85 | L |
| 21/08 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
83-80 | W |
| 18/08 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
54-81 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olimpia vs Trouville?
Our model gives 68% to Olimpia.
How many points are expected in Olimpia vs Trouville?
The model estimates 157.7 total points (Olimpia 82.1 · Trouville 75.6).