Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 18/09, 00:30

Prediction: Sayago vs Trouville

Team pages: Sayago · Trouville

Prediction summary
Estimated points
148.1Total
Sayago74.2
Trouville73.9
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
51% 49%
Sayago Trouville

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Sayago 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
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Trouville 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Sayago 0–6 Trouville (6 last)
  • Trouville88-81Sayago
  • Trouville38-30Sayago
  • Sayago79-93Trouville
  • Trouville88-82Sayago
  • Sayago60-88Trouville
  • Sayago69-90Trouville
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sayago 1499 · Trouville 1540
SayagoTrouville
Our model57%43%
Market50%50%
Estimated total (ours) 148.1 points · Bet365 line 152.5 · -4.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points148.1Sayago 74.2 · Trouville 73.9

Match keys

  • H2H favours Trouville: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

SayagoTrouville
Points F|A (Last 10)68.1 / 67.378.6 / 77
Points F|A (Last 5)76.6 / 68.282.6 / 77
Est. result7474
Est. total148.1
Line O/U152.5
Diff.4.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sayago 006 Trouville

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/09/26
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Trouville88-81Sayago
01/08/26
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Trouville38-30Sayago
12/06/26
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Sayago79-93Trouville
14/01/20
Uruguay Liga
Trouville88-82Sayago
02/11/19
Uruguay Liga
Sayago60-88Trouville
05/01/19
Uruguay Liga
Sayago69-90Trouville

Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Olimpia 20164 1674146136
2 Trouville 20155 1624146335
3 Verdirrojo 20137 1517145933
4 Stockolmo 19136 1444131432
5 Lagomar 19118 1446144930
6 Sayago 201010 1522150830
7 Tabare 20911 1571153029
8 Urupan de Pando 20911 1533159429

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSayagoTrouville
Stockolmo 80-67 W 54-81 L
Verdirrojo 80-53 W 69-72 L
Tabare 71-68 W 92-79 W
Olimpia 63-76 L 75-73 W
Urupan de Pando 64-63 W 73-85 L
Lagomar 68-78 L 83-80 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sayago

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Date Opponent FT Res.
15/09 Trouville
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
81-88 L
08/09 Stockolmo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
80-67 W
04/09 Stockolmo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
71-65 W
27/08 Verdirrojo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
80-53 W
22/08 Tabare
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
71-68 W
19/08 Olimpia
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
63-76 L
15/08 Urupan de Pando
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
64-63 W
12/08 Lagomar
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
68-78 L
09/08 Stockolmo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
73-77 L
01/08 Trouville
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
30-38 L

Trouville

WLWLWLLWWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
15/09 Sayago
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
88-81 W
11/09 Larre Borges
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
86-65 W
08/09 Larre Borges
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
92-75 W
05/09 Larre Borges
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
74-79 L
27/08 Urupan de Pando
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
73-85 L
21/08 Lagomar
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
83-80 W
18/08 Stockolmo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
54-81 L
14/08 Olimpia
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
75-73 W
11/08 Verdirrojo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
69-72 L
08/08 Tabare
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
92-79 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sayago vs Trouville?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Sayago 51% · Trouville 49%).

How many points are expected in Sayago vs Trouville?

The model estimates 148.1 total points (Sayago 74.2 · Trouville 73.9).