Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 22/09, 01:15
Prediction: Trouville vs Sayago
Team pages: Trouville · Sayago
Prediction summary
Estimated points
151.5Total
Trouville78.5
Sayago73.1
1X2
Trouville
Sayago
Recent form · 10 last
Trouville
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Sayago
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Trouville
5–1
Sayago
(6 last)
- Sayago97-74Trouville
- Trouville88-81Sayago
- Trouville72-64Sayago
- Sayago79-93Trouville
- Trouville88-82Sayago
- Sayago60-88Trouville
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trouville 1515 · Sayago 1512
| Trouville | Sayago | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
151.5 points · Bet365 line 153.5 · -2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points151.5Trouville 78.5 · Sayago 73.1
Match keys
- Trouville is a clear favourite (65% market).
- H2H favours Trouville: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Trouville | Sayago | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76.8 / 78.8 | 74.8 / 70.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82.8 / 79.4 | 81.8 / 69.4 |
| Est. result | 79 | 73 |
Est. total151.5
Line O/U153.5
Diff.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Trouville 5–0–1 Sayago
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Sayago | 97-74 | Trouville |
| 15/09/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Trouville | 88-81 | Sayago |
| 01/08/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Trouville | 72-64 | Sayago |
| 12/06/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Sayago | 79-93 | Trouville |
| 14/01/20 Uruguay Liga | Trouville | 88-82 | Sayago |
| 02/11/19 Uruguay Liga | Sayago | 60-88 | Trouville |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 20 | 16 | 4 | 1674 | 1461 | 36 |
| 2 | Trouville | 20 | 15 | 5 | 1624 | 1463 | 35 |
| 3 | Verdirrojo | 20 | 13 | 7 | 1517 | 1459 | 33 |
| 4 | Stockolmo | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1444 | 1314 | 32 |
| 5 | Lagomar | 19 | 11 | 8 | 1446 | 1449 | 30 |
| 6 | Sayago | 20 | 10 | 10 | 1522 | 1508 | 30 |
| 7 | Tabare | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1571 | 1530 | 29 |
| 8 | Urupan de Pando | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1533 | 1594 | 29 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Trouville | Sayago |
|---|---|---|
| Urupan de Pando | 73-85 L | 64-63 W |
| Lagomar | 83-80 W | 68-78 L |
| Stockolmo | 54-81 L | 80-67 W |
| Olimpia | 75-73 W | 63-76 L |
| Verdirrojo | 69-72 L | 80-53 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sayago (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trouville
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
74-97 | L |
| 15/09 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
88-81 | W |
| 11/09 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
86-65 | W |
| 08/09 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
92-75 | W |
| 05/09 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
74-79 | L |
| 27/08 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-85 | L |
| 21/08 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
83-80 | W |
| 18/08 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
54-81 | L |
| 14/08 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
75-73 | W |
| 11/08 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
69-72 | L |
Sayago
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
97-74 | W |
| 15/09 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
81-88 | L |
| 08/09 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
80-67 | W |
| 04/09 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
71-65 | W |
| 27/08 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
80-53 | W |
| 22/08 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
71-68 | W |
| 19/08 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
63-76 | L |
| 15/08 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
64-63 | W |
| 12/08 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
68-78 | L |
| 09/08 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-77 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trouville vs Sayago?
Our model gives 65% to Trouville.
How many points are expected in Trouville vs Sayago?
The model estimates 151.5 total points (Trouville 78.5 · Sayago 73.1).