Basketball · Philippines NCAA · 21/09, 11:00

Prediction: Perpetual Altas vs SSC-R Stags

Team pages: Perpetual Altas · SSC-R Stags

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Prediction summary

Estimated points

148.9Total

Perpetual Altas82.7

SSC-R Stags66.2

1X2

88% 12%

Perpetual Altas SSC-R Stags

Recent form · 10 last

Perpetual Altas 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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SSC-R Stags 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Perpetual Altas 4–2 SSC-R Stags (6 last)

SSC-R Stags58-77Perpetual Altas
Perpetual Altas61-62SSC-R Stags
Perpetual Altas67-54SSC-R Stags
SSC-R Stags61-75Perpetual Altas
Perpetual Altas60-52SSC-R Stags
SSC-R Stags78-71Perpetual Altas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Perpetual Altas 1478 · SSC-R Stags 1322

	Perpetual Altas	SSC-R Stags
Our model	80%	20%
Market	90%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 148.9 points · Bet365 line 151.5 · -2.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points148.9Perpetual Altas 82.7 · SSC-R Stags 66.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Perpetual Altas (rating 1478 vs 1322).
Perpetual Altas is a clear favourite (88% market).
H2H favours Perpetual Altas: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Perpetual Altas	SSC-R Stags
Points F\|A (Last 10)	73.4 / 72.2	67.2 / 79.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	78 / 76.4	68.6 / 86.4
Est. result	83	66

Est. total148.9

Line O/U151.5

Diff.2.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.04

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-18.5)1.74

2 (+18.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 151.51.83

Under 151.51.83

Diff.: 5.3 · Est. total: 146.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.11 → 1.04▼	Bet365 1.04
2	6.00 → 9.00▲	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.3% Pinnacle margin 11.5%

Time*	1	2
11:44 +4’	1.11	6.00
10:40 +5’	1.04▼	9.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
21:08 +37’	1.05	5.09
06:38 +7’	1.06▲	5.60▲
07:03 +42’	1.06▼	5.65▲
09:12 +33’	1.03▼	7.08▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Perpetual Altas 4–0–2 SSC-R Stags

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/06/26 Philippines Preseason Cup	SSC-R Stags	58-77	Perpetual Altas
08/11/25 Philippines NCAA	Perpetual Altas	61-62	SSC-R Stags
03/10/25 Philippines NCAA	Perpetual Altas	67-54	SSC-R Stags
18/06/25 Philippines Preseason Cup	SSC-R Stags	61-75	Perpetual Altas
24/09/24 Philippines NCAA	Perpetual Altas	60-52	SSC-R Stags
03/06/24 Philippines Preseason Cup	SSC-R Stags	78-71	Perpetual Altas

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Perpetual Altas	SSC-R Stags
CSJL Knights	77-84 L	62-99 L
CSB Blazers	87-75 W	64-82 L
LPU Pirates	72-57 W	63-70 L
AU Chiefs	69-70 L	72-98 L
MU Cardinals	61-77 L	72-77 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Perpetual Altas (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Perpetual Altas

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/09	EAC Generals Philippines NCAA	83-72	W
13/09	CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA	77-84	L
13/12	CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA	87-75	W
05/12	CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA	70-74	L
02/12	CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA	73-77	L
27/11	JRU Heavy Bombers Philippines NCAA	81-74	W
23/11	LPU Pirates Philippines NCAA	72-57	W
16/11	AU Chiefs Philippines NCAA	69-70	L
14/11	MU Cardinals Philippines NCAA	61-77	L
08/11	SSC-R Stags Philippines NCAA	61-62	L

SSC-R Stags

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/09	CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA	62-99	L
14/09	AU Chiefs Philippines NCAA	72-98	L
25/11	LPU Pirates Philippines NCAA	63-70	L
18/11	MU Cardinals Philippines NCAA	72-77	L
15/11	LPU Pirates Philippines NCAA	74-88	L
12/11	AU Chiefs Philippines NCAA	71-78	L
08/11	Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA	62-61	W
29/10	CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA	82-81	W
26/10	SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA	50-62	L
22/10	CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA	64-82	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Perpetual Altas vs SSC-R Stags?

Our model gives 88% to Perpetual Altas.

How many points are expected in Perpetual Altas vs SSC-R Stags?

The model estimates 148.9 total points (Perpetual Altas 82.7 · SSC-R Stags 66.2).