Basketball · Philippines NCAA · 28/09, 11:00
Prediction: CSJL Knights vs AU Chiefs
Team pages: CSJL Knights · AU Chiefs
Prediction summary
Estimated points
157.1Total
CSJL Knights80.2
AU Chiefs77
1X2
CSJL Knights
AU Chiefs
Recent form · 10 last
CSJL Knights
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
AU Chiefs
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSJL Knights
6–0
AU Chiefs
(6 last)
- CSJL Knights88-86AU Chiefs
- CSJL Knights77-69AU Chiefs
- AU Chiefs78-87CSJL Knights
- CSJL Knights83-65AU Chiefs
- CSJL Knights72-68AU Chiefs
- CSJL Knights86-79AU Chiefs
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSJL Knights 1617 · AU Chiefs 1500
| CSJL Knights | AU Chiefs | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 23% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
157.1 points · Bet365 line 161.5 · -4.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points157.1CSJL Knights 80.2 · AU Chiefs 77
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSJL Knights (rating 1617 vs 1500).
- H2H favours CSJL Knights: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| CSJL Knights | AU Chiefs | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.7 / 76.4 | 78.5 / 72.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 83 / 78.2 | 84.8 / 77.6 |
| Est. result | 80 | 77 |
Est. total157.1
Line O/U161.5
Diff.4.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSJL Knights 6–0–0 AU Chiefs
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/26 Philippines Preseason Cup | CSJL Knights | 88-86 | AU Chiefs |
| 28/11/25 Philippines NCAA | CSJL Knights | 77-69 | AU Chiefs |
| 26/11/25 Philippines NCAA | AU Chiefs | 78-87 | CSJL Knights |
| 26/10/25 Philippines NCAA | CSJL Knights | 83-65 | AU Chiefs |
| 18/05/25 Philippines Preseason Cup | CSJL Knights | 72-68 | AU Chiefs |
| 17/09/24 Philippines NCAA | CSJL Knights | 86-79 | AU Chiefs |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CSJL Knights | AU Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| EAC Generals | 91-80 W | 91-87 W |
| SSC-R Stags | 99-62 W | 98-72 W |
| Perpetual Altas | 84-77 W | 88-65 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: CSJL Knights (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSJL Knights
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | EAC Generals Philippines NCAA |
91-80 | W |
| 18/09 | SSC-R Stags Philippines NCAA |
99-62 | W |
| 13/09 | Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA |
84-77 | W |
| 13/12 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
71-83 | L |
| 10/12 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
70-89 | L |
| 05/12 | Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA |
74-70 | W |
| 02/12 | Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA |
77-73 | W |
| 28/11 | AU Chiefs Philippines NCAA |
77-69 | W |
| 26/11 | AU Chiefs Philippines NCAA |
87-78 | W |
| 23/11 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
87-83 | W |
AU Chiefs
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA |
88-65 | W |
| 22/09 | EAC Generals Philippines NCAA |
91-87 | W |
| 14/09 | SSC-R Stags Philippines NCAA |
98-72 | W |
| 28/11 | CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA |
69-77 | L |
| 26/11 | CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA |
78-87 | L |
| 21/11 | MU Cardinals Philippines NCAA |
62-58 | W |
| 19/11 | LPU Pirates Philippines NCAA |
74-56 | W |
| 16/11 | Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA |
70-69 | W |
| 12/11 | SSC-R Stags Philippines NCAA |
78-71 | W |
| 05/11 | JRU Heavy Bombers Philippines NCAA |
77-79 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSJL Knights vs AU Chiefs?
Our model gives 59% to CSJL Knights.
How many points are expected in CSJL Knights vs AU Chiefs?
The model estimates 157.1 total points (CSJL Knights 80.2 · AU Chiefs 77).