Basketball · Philippines NCAA · 01/10, 09:00

Prediction: MU Cardinals vs AU Chiefs

Team pages: MU Cardinals · AU Chiefs

Prediction summary
Estimated points
148.7Total
MU Cardinals74.9
AU Chiefs73.8
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
53% 47%
MU Cardinals AU Chiefs

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
MU Cardinals 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
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AU Chiefs 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
MU Cardinals 5–1 AU Chiefs (6 last)
  • MU Cardinals94-89AU Chiefs
  • AU Chiefs62-58MU Cardinals
  • AU Chiefs87-90MU Cardinals
  • AU Chiefs69-75MU Cardinals
  • MU Cardinals79-71AU Chiefs
  • MU Cardinals84-75AU Chiefs
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MU Cardinals 1538 · AU Chiefs 1534
MU CardinalsAU Chiefs
Our model63%37%
Market50%50%
Estimated total (ours) 148.7 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · -6.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points148.7MU Cardinals 74.9 · AU Chiefs 73.8

Match keys

  • H2H favours MU Cardinals: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

MU CardinalsAU Chiefs
Points F|A (Last 10)71.8 / 68.979 / 72.3
Points F|A (Last 5)71 / 72.685.6 / 76.4
Est. result7574
Est. total148.7
Line O/U155.5
Diff.6.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · MU Cardinals 5–0–1 AU Chiefs

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/06/26
Philippines Preseason Cup
MU Cardinals94-89AU Chiefs
21/11/25
Philippines NCAA
AU Chiefs62-58MU Cardinals
04/10/25
Philippines NCAA
AU Chiefs87-90MU Cardinals
16/11/24
Philippines NCAA
AU Chiefs69-75MU Cardinals
05/06/24
Philippines Preseason Cup
MU Cardinals79-71AU Chiefs
17/11/23
Philippines NCAA
MU Cardinals84-75AU Chiefs

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMU CardinalsAU Chiefs
LPU Pirates 87-88 L 74-56 W
SSC-R Stags 77-72 W 98-72 W
Perpetual Altas 77-61 W 88-65 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: AU Chiefs (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MU Cardinals

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Date Opponent FT Res.
28/09 SBC Red Lions
Philippines NCAA
55-54 W
25/09 CSB Blazers
Philippines NCAA
77-82 L
21/09 LPU Pirates
Philippines NCAA
87-88 L
14/09 JRU Heavy Bombers
Philippines NCAA
64-65 L
28/11 CSB Blazers
Philippines NCAA
72-74 L
26/11 CSB Blazers
Philippines NCAA
73-58 W
21/11 AU Chiefs
Philippines NCAA
58-62 L
18/11 SSC-R Stags
Philippines NCAA
77-72 W
14/11 Perpetual Altas
Philippines NCAA
77-61 W
07/11 LPU Pirates
Philippines NCAA
78-73 W

AU Chiefs

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Date Opponent FT Res.
28/09 CSJL Knights
Philippines NCAA
82-81 W
25/09 Perpetual Altas
Philippines NCAA
88-65 W
22/09 EAC Generals
Philippines NCAA
91-87 W
14/09 SSC-R Stags
Philippines NCAA
98-72 W
28/11 CSJL Knights
Philippines NCAA
69-77 L
26/11 CSJL Knights
Philippines NCAA
78-87 L
21/11 MU Cardinals
Philippines NCAA
62-58 W
19/11 LPU Pirates
Philippines NCAA
74-56 W
16/11 Perpetual Altas
Philippines NCAA
70-69 W
12/11 SSC-R Stags
Philippines NCAA
78-71 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MU Cardinals vs AU Chiefs?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (MU Cardinals 53% · AU Chiefs 47%).

How many points are expected in MU Cardinals vs AU Chiefs?

The model estimates 148.7 total points (MU Cardinals 74.9 · AU Chiefs 73.8).