Basketball · Philippines NCAA · 29/09, 11:00
Prediction: JRU Heavy Bombers vs LPU Pirates
Team pages: JRU Heavy Bombers · LPU Pirates
Prediction summary
Estimated points
145.1Total
JRU Heavy Bombers78.4
LPU Pirates66.6
1X2
JRU Heavy Bombers
LPU Pirates
Recent form · 10 last
JRU Heavy Bombers
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LPU Pirates
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
JRU Heavy Bombers
2–4
LPU Pirates
(6 last)
- JRU Heavy Bombers83-75LPU Pirates
- LPU Pirates78-76JRU Heavy Bombers
- JRU Heavy Bombers71-64LPU Pirates
- LPU Pirates97-92JRU Heavy Bombers
- LPU Pirates74-70JRU Heavy Bombers
- JRU Heavy Bombers96-99LPU Pirates
Model analysis
Estimated points145.1JRU Heavy Bombers 78.4 · LPU Pirates 66.6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JRU Heavy Bombers (rating 1596 vs 1446).
- JRU Heavy Bombers is a clear favourite (80% market).
- H2H favours LPU Pirates: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| JRU Heavy Bombers | LPU Pirates | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 57.1 / 58.9 | 73.3 / 78.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 46 / 44 | 76.2 / 84.4 |
| Est. result | 78 | 67 |
Est. total145.1
Line O/U157
Diff.11.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · JRU Heavy Bombers 2–0–4 LPU Pirates
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/26 Philippines Preseason Cup | JRU Heavy Bombers | 83-75 | LPU Pirates |
| 21/10/25 Philippines NCAA | LPU Pirates | 78-76 | JRU Heavy Bombers |
| 23/06/25 Philippines Preseason Cup | JRU Heavy Bombers | 71-64 | LPU Pirates |
| 15/09/24 Philippines NCAA | LPU Pirates | 97-92 | JRU Heavy Bombers |
| 06/06/24 Philippines Preseason Cup | LPU Pirates | 74-70 | JRU Heavy Bombers |
| 24/10/23 Philippines NCAA | JRU Heavy Bombers | 96-99 | LPU Pirates |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JRU Heavy Bombers | LPU Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| SBC Red Lions | 9-3 W | 74-83 L |
| CSB Blazers | 73-69 W | 82-98 L |
| MU Cardinals | 65-64 W | 88-87 W |
| Perpetual Altas | 74-81 L | 57-72 L |
| AU Chiefs | 79-77 W | 56-74 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: JRU Heavy Bombers (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JRU Heavy Bombers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
9-3 | W |
| 22/09 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
73-69 | W |
| 18/09 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
9-3 | W |
| 14/09 | MU Cardinals Philippines NCAA |
65-64 | W |
| 27/11 | Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA |
74-81 | L |
| 18/11 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
66-76 | L |
| 15/11 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
56-65 | L |
| 12/11 | EAC Generals Philippines NCAA |
69-66 | W |
| 08/11 | CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA |
71-85 | L |
| 05/11 | AU Chiefs Philippines NCAA |
79-77 | W |
LPU Pirates
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
74-83 | L |
| 21/09 | MU Cardinals Philippines NCAA |
88-87 | W |
| 17/09 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
82-98 | L |
| 27/11 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
67-91 | L |
| 25/11 | SSC-R Stags Philippines NCAA |
70-63 | W |
| 23/11 | Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA |
57-72 | L |
| 19/11 | AU Chiefs Philippines NCAA |
56-74 | L |
| 15/11 | SSC-R Stags Philippines NCAA |
88-74 | W |
| 07/11 | MU Cardinals Philippines NCAA |
73-78 | L |
| 04/11 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
78-66 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JRU Heavy Bombers vs LPU Pirates?
Our model gives 80% to JRU Heavy Bombers.
How many points are expected in JRU Heavy Bombers vs LPU Pirates?
The model estimates 145.1 total points (JRU Heavy Bombers 78.4 · LPU Pirates 66.6).