Basketball · Philippines NCAA · 28/09, 09:00
Prediction: SBC Red Lions vs MU Cardinals
Team pages: SBC Red Lions · MU Cardinals
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Prediction summary
Estimated points
145.6Total
SBC Red Lions74.4
MU Cardinals71.2
1X2
SBC Red Lions
MU Cardinals
Recent form · 10 last
SBC Red Lions
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
MU Cardinals
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SBC Red Lions
3–3
MU Cardinals
(6 last)
- MU Cardinals49-68SBC Red Lions
- SBC Red Lions79-70MU Cardinals
- MU Cardinals67-64SBC Red Lions
- SBC Red Lions71-65MU Cardinals
- MU Cardinals68-63SBC Red Lions
- SBC Red Lions69-71MU Cardinals
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SBC Red Lions 1531 · MU Cardinals 1484
| SBC Red Lions | MU Cardinals | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
145.6 points · Bet365 line 149.5 · -3.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points145.6SBC Red Lions 74.4 · MU Cardinals 71.2
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| SBC Red Lions | MU Cardinals | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 67 / 60.7 | 72.8 / 71 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 48 / 48 | 74.6 / 73.4 |
| Est. result | 74 | 71 |
Est. total145.6
Line O/U149.5
Diff.3.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · SBC Red Lions 3–0–3 MU Cardinals
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/26 Philippines Preseason Cup | MU Cardinals | 49-68 | SBC Red Lions |
| 17/10/25 Philippines NCAA | SBC Red Lions | 79-70 | MU Cardinals |
| 24/05/24 Philippines Preseason Cup | MU Cardinals | 67-64 | SBC Red Lions |
| 10/12/23 Philippines NCAA | SBC Red Lions | 71-65 | MU Cardinals |
| 06/12/23 Philippines NCAA | MU Cardinals | 68-63 | SBC Red Lions |
| 12/11/23 Philippines NCAA | SBC Red Lions | 69-71 | MU Cardinals |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SBC Red Lions | MU Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| JRU Heavy Bombers | 3-9 L | 64-65 L |
| LPU Pirates | 83-74 W | 87-88 L |
| CSB Blazers | 68-77 L | 77-82 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: MU Cardinals (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SBC Red Lions
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | JRU Heavy Bombers Philippines NCAA |
3-9 | L |
| 24/09 | LPU Pirates Philippines NCAA |
83-74 | W |
| 18/09 | JRU Heavy Bombers Philippines NCAA |
3-9 | L |
| 13/09 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
68-77 | L |
| 13/12 | CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA |
83-71 | W |
| 10/12 | CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA |
89-70 | W |
| 07/12 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
84-81 | W |
| 05/12 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
75-77 | L |
| 02/12 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
91-72 | W |
| 27/11 | LPU Pirates Philippines NCAA |
91-67 | W |
MU Cardinals
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
77-82 | L |
| 21/09 | LPU Pirates Philippines NCAA |
87-88 | L |
| 14/09 | JRU Heavy Bombers Philippines NCAA |
64-65 | L |
| 28/11 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
72-74 | L |
| 26/11 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
73-58 | W |
| 21/11 | AU Chiefs Philippines NCAA |
58-62 | L |
| 18/11 | SSC-R Stags Philippines NCAA |
77-72 | W |
| 14/11 | Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA |
77-61 | W |
| 07/11 | LPU Pirates Philippines NCAA |
78-73 | W |
| 04/11 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
65-75 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SBC Red Lions vs MU Cardinals?
Our model gives 59% to SBC Red Lions.
How many points are expected in SBC Red Lions vs MU Cardinals?
The model estimates 145.6 total points (SBC Red Lions 74.4 · MU Cardinals 71.2).