Basketball · Philippines NCAA · 21/09, 09:00
Prediction: LPU Pirates vs MU Cardinals
Team pages: LPU Pirates · MU Cardinals
Prediction summary
Estimated points
148.3Total
LPU Pirates71.8
MU Cardinals76.5
1X2
LPU Pirates
MU Cardinals
Recent form · 10 last
LPU Pirates
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
MU Cardinals
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
LPU Pirates
0–6
MU Cardinals
(6 last)
- LPU Pirates66-87MU Cardinals
- MU Cardinals78-73LPU Pirates
- MU Cardinals90-89LPU Pirates
- LPU Pirates63-71MU Cardinals
- MU Cardinals89-79LPU Pirates
- MU Cardinals69-68LPU Pirates
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · LPU Pirates 1425 · MU Cardinals 1542
| LPU Pirates | MU Cardinals | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
Estimated total (ours)
148.3 points · Bet365 line 148.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points148.3LPU Pirates 71.8 · MU Cardinals 76.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MU Cardinals (rating 1425 vs 1542).
- H2H favours MU Cardinals: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| LPU Pirates | MU Cardinals | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 71.3 / 77 | 71.2 / 68.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 66.4 / 79.6 | 68.8 / 66.2 |
| Est. result | 72 | 77 |
Est. total148.3
Line O/U148.5
Diff.0.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · LPU Pirates 0–0–6 MU Cardinals
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Philippines Preseason Cup | LPU Pirates | 66-87 | MU Cardinals |
| 07/11/25 Philippines NCAA | MU Cardinals | 78-73 | LPU Pirates |
| 01/10/25 Philippines NCAA | MU Cardinals | 90-89 | LPU Pirates |
| 22/05/25 Philippines Preseason Cup | LPU Pirates | 63-71 | MU Cardinals |
| 23/11/24 Philippines NCAA | MU Cardinals | 89-79 | LPU Pirates |
| 29/10/24 Philippines NCAA | MU Cardinals | 69-68 | LPU Pirates |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | LPU Pirates | MU Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| CSB Blazers | 82-98 L | 72-74 L |
| SSC-R Stags | 70-63 W | 77-72 W |
| Perpetual Altas | 57-72 L | 77-61 W |
| AU Chiefs | 56-74 L | 58-62 L |
| EAC Generals | 75-84 L | 85-78 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: MU Cardinals (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LPU Pirates
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
82-98 | L |
| 27/11 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
67-91 | L |
| 25/11 | SSC-R Stags Philippines NCAA |
70-63 | W |
| 23/11 | Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA |
57-72 | L |
| 19/11 | AU Chiefs Philippines NCAA |
56-74 | L |
| 15/11 | SSC-R Stags Philippines NCAA |
88-74 | W |
| 07/11 | MU Cardinals Philippines NCAA |
73-78 | L |
| 04/11 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
78-66 | W |
| 28/10 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
67-70 | L |
| 25/10 | EAC Generals Philippines NCAA |
75-84 | L |
MU Cardinals
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | JRU Heavy Bombers Philippines NCAA |
64-65 | L |
| 28/11 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
72-74 | L |
| 26/11 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
73-58 | W |
| 21/11 | AU Chiefs Philippines NCAA |
58-62 | L |
| 18/11 | SSC-R Stags Philippines NCAA |
77-72 | W |
| 14/11 | Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA |
77-61 | W |
| 07/11 | LPU Pirates Philippines NCAA |
78-73 | W |
| 04/11 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
65-75 | L |
| 28/10 | EAC Generals Philippines NCAA |
85-78 | W |
| 24/10 | JRU Heavy Bombers Philippines NCAA |
63-66 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LPU Pirates vs MU Cardinals?
Our model gives 63% to MU Cardinals.
How many points are expected in LPU Pirates vs MU Cardinals?
The model estimates 148.3 total points (LPU Pirates 71.8 · MU Cardinals 76.5).