Prediction: Marne vs Olivol Mundial

Team pages: Marne · Olivol Mundial

Prediction summary
Estimated points
157.9Total
Marne79.3
Olivol Mundial78.6
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
52% 48%
Marne Olivol Mundial

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets
Over 153.5 points 70%
Recent form · 10 last
Marne 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LLWLWLWWWL
Olivol Mundial 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LWWLWLWLWW
Head-to-head
Marne 1–2 Olivol Mundial (3 last)
  • Olivol Mundial92-66Marne
  • Olivol Mundial80-67Marne
  • Marne74-68Olivol Mundial
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marne 1502 · Olivol Mundial 1519
MarneOlivol Mundial
Our model60%40%
Market50%50%
Estimated total (ours) 157.9 points · Bet365 line 153.5 · +4.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points157.9Marne 79.3 · Olivol Mundial 78.6
Over / Under 153.5Over · 70%recent trend · ~159.1 pts · strength 6

Match keys

  • H2H favours Olivol Mundial: 2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

MarneOlivol Mundial
Points F|A (Last 10)78.3 / 83.481.3 / 77.1
Points F|A (Last 5)79.2 / 81.279.6 / 76.4
Est. result7979
Est. total157.9
Line O/U153.5
Diff.4.4
Over / Under70% / 30%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Marne 102 Olivol Mundial

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/09/26
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Olivol Mundial92-66Marne
23/08/26
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Olivol Mundial80-67Marne
12/07/26
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Marne74-68Olivol Mundial

Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Relegation Round

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Montevideo 18117 1605151929
2 Larre Borges 1899 1503148127
3 Olivol Mundial 18612 1276137424
4 Marne 18612 1359148224
5 Albatros 18315 1394157721
6 Colon 18216 1310156716

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMarneOlivol Mundial
Albatros 83-67 W 71-90 L
Colon 99-90 W 72-62 W
Larre Borges 84-94 L 90-76 W
Montevideo 90-82 W 84-87 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marne

LLWLWLWWWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
12/09 Olivol Mundial
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
66-92 L
05/09 Albatros
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
83-67 W
02/09 Albatros
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
81-77 W
29/08 Colon
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
99-90 W
23/08 Olivol Mundial
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
67-80 L
19/08 Albatros
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
76-68 W
12/08 Larre Borges
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
84-94 L
06/08 Montevideo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
90-82 W
29/07 Lagomar
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
70-82 L
26/07 Montevideo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
67-102 L

Olivol Mundial

LWWLWLWLWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
12/09 Marne
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
92-66 W
09/09 Colon
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
72-62 W
05/09 Colon
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
80-88 L
02/09 Colon
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
83-76 W
29/08 Albatros
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
71-90 L
23/08 Marne
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
80-67 W
19/08 Montevideo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
84-87 L
14/08 Colon
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
83-72 W
05/08 Larre Borges
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
90-76 W
28/07 Trouville
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
78-87 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marne vs Olivol Mundial?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Marne 52% · Olivol Mundial 48%).

How many points are expected in Marne vs Olivol Mundial?

The model estimates 157.9 total points (Marne 79.3 · Olivol Mundial 78.6).

Over or under 153.5 points?

Recent history points to over 153.5 points (70%).