Basketball · Greece Basket League · 14/11, 16:30

Prediction: AS Karditsas vs PAOK

Team pages: AS Karditsas · PAOK

Prediction summary

Estimated points

159.4Total

AS Karditsas76.4

PAOK83

1X2

32% 68%

AS Karditsas PAOK

Recent form · 10 last

AS Karditsas 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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PAOK 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

AS Karditsas 1–5 PAOK (6 last)

PAOK93-90AS Karditsas
AS Karditsas68-72PAOK
AS Karditsas90-76PAOK
PAOK71-61AS Karditsas
AS Karditsas81-84PAOK
PAOK85-70AS Karditsas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AS Karditsas 1509 · PAOK 1583

	AS Karditsas	PAOK
Our model	52%	48%
Market	27%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 159.4 points · Bet365 line 157.5 · +1.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points159.4AS Karditsas 76.4 · PAOK 83

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PAOK (rating 1509 vs 1583).
PAOK is a clear favourite (68% market).
H2H favours PAOK: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	AS Karditsas	PAOK
Points F\|A (Last 10)	79.7 / 76.4	84.7 / 79.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	74.6 / 72.2	79 / 67.8
Est. result	76	83

Est. total159.4

Line O/U157.5

Diff.1.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.50

21.29

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+7.5)1.87

2 (-7.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 157.51.87

Under 157.51.87

Diff.: 2.45 · Est. total: 159.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.29 → 1.29	Bet365 1.29

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.9%

Time*	1	2
15:36 +12’	3.50	1.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AS Karditsas 1–0–5 PAOK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Greece Basket League	PAOK	93-90	AS Karditsas
28/12/25 Greece Basket League	AS Karditsas	68-72	PAOK
03/05/25 Greece Basket League	AS Karditsas	90-76	PAOK
15/03/25 Greece Basket League	PAOK	71-61	AS Karditsas
21/12/24 Greece Basket League	AS Karditsas	81-84	PAOK
14/04/24 Greece Basket League	PAOK	85-70	AS Karditsas

Standings · Greece Basket League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PAOK	6	6	0	483	424	12
2	Aris	6	5	1	507	429	11
3	Olympiacos	6	6	0	515	407	10
4	AS Karditsas	6	4	2	447	429	10
5	Panathinaikos	6	5	1	534	447	9
6	Kolossos Rhodes	6	3	3	484	491	9
7	Peristeri	6	3	3	483	525	9
8	Doxa Lefkadas	6	2	4	471	490	8
9	Iraklis 2022	6	2	4	462	443	8
10	AEK	6	2	4	453	480	8
11	Marousi	6	1	5	455	489	7
12	AO Mykonou	6	1	5	441	507	7
13	Promitheas	6	1	5	421	519	7
14	Vikos BC	6	1	5	448	524	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AS Karditsas	PAOK
Kolossos Rhodes	81-65 W	88-84 W
Panathinaikos	64-78 L	94-102 L
Iraklis 2022	53-71 L	63-53 W
Vikos BC	85-74 W	93-67 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: PAOK (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AS Karditsas

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Promitheas Greece Basket League	90-73	W
31/10	Kolossos Rhodes Greece Basket League	81-65	W
24/10	Panathinaikos Greece Basket League	64-78	L
17/10	Iraklis 2022 Greece Basket League	53-71	L
10/10	Vikos BC Greece Basket League	85-74	W
03/10	Aris Greece Basket League	74-68	W
25/04	Kolossos Rhodes Greece Basket League	80-91	L
18/04	Promitheas Greece Basket League	95-79	W
04/04	PAOK Greece Basket League	90-93	L
29/03	Panionios Greece Basket League	85-72	W

PAOK

WWLLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Vikos BC Greece Basket League	93-67	W
31/10	Iraklis 2022 Greece Basket League	63-53	W
24/10	AEK Greece Basket League	65-62	W
17/10	Kolossos Rhodes Greece Basket League	88-84	W
10/10	Doxa Lefkadas Greece Basket League	86-73	W
03/10	AO Mykonou Greece Basket League	88-85	W
30/05	Panathinaikos Greece Basket League	94-102	L
28/05	Panathinaikos Greece Basket League	102-114	L
06/05	Peristeri Greece Basket League	77-72	W
03/05	Peristeri Greece Basket League	91-79	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AS Karditsas vs PAOK?

Our model gives 68% to PAOK.

How many points are expected in AS Karditsas vs PAOK?

The model estimates 159.4 total points (AS Karditsas 76.4 · PAOK 83).