Basketball · Greece Basket League · 15/11, 12:00

Prediction: Panathinaikos vs Kolossos Rhodes

Team pages: Panathinaikos · Kolossos Rhodes

Prediction summary

Estimated points

170.7Total

Panathinaikos94.3

Kolossos Rhodes76.4

1X2

90% 10%

Panathinaikos Kolossos Rhodes

Recent form · 10 last

Panathinaikos 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Kolossos Rhodes 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Panathinaikos 5–1 Kolossos Rhodes (6 last)

Panathinaikos97-102Kolossos Rhodes
Kolossos Rhodes67-90Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos94-82Kolossos Rhodes
Kolossos Rhodes84-91Panathinaikos
Kolossos Rhodes74-79Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos96-73Kolossos Rhodes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Panathinaikos 1582 · Kolossos Rhodes 1507

	Panathinaikos	Kolossos Rhodes
Our model	72%	28%
Market	95%	5%

Estimated total (ours) 170.7 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · +3.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points170.7Panathinaikos 94.3 · Kolossos Rhodes 76.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Panathinaikos (rating 1582 vs 1507).
Panathinaikos is a clear favourite (90% market).
H2H favours Panathinaikos: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Panathinaikos	Kolossos Rhodes
Points F\|A (Last 10)	87.2 / 78.2	80.2 / 89.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	86.2 / 74.6	78.6 / 83.2
Est. result	94	76

Est. total170.7

Line O/U167.5

Diff.3.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.01

218.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-21.5)1.87

2 (+21.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 167.51.87

Under 167.51.87

Diff.: 0.05 · Est. total: 167.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.01 → 1.01	Bet365 1.01
2	18.00 → 18.00	Bet365 18.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 4.6%

Time*	1	2
15:44 +4’	1.01	18.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Panathinaikos 5–0–1 Kolossos Rhodes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Greece Basket League	Panathinaikos	97-102	Kolossos Rhodes
19/10/25 Greece Basket League	Kolossos Rhodes	67-90	Panathinaikos
09/02/25 Greece Basket League	Panathinaikos	94-82	Kolossos Rhodes
17/11/24 Greece Basket League	Kolossos Rhodes	84-91	Panathinaikos
08/04/24 Greece Basket League	Kolossos Rhodes	74-79	Panathinaikos
03/03/24 Greece Basket League	Panathinaikos	96-73	Kolossos Rhodes

Standings · Greece Basket League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PAOK	6	6	0	483	424	12
2	Aris	6	5	1	507	429	11
3	Olympiacos	6	6	0	515	407	10
4	AS Karditsas	6	4	2	447	429	10
5	Panathinaikos	6	5	1	534	447	9
6	Kolossos Rhodes	6	3	3	484	491	9
7	Peristeri	6	3	3	483	525	9
8	Doxa Lefkadas	6	2	4	471	490	8
9	Iraklis 2022	6	2	4	462	443	8
10	AEK	6	2	4	453	480	8
11	Marousi	6	1	5	455	489	7
12	AO Mykonou	6	1	5	441	507	7
13	Promitheas	6	1	5	421	519	7
14	Vikos BC	6	1	5	448	524	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Panathinaikos	Kolossos Rhodes
AS Karditsas	78-64 W	65-81 L
Peristeri	95-75 W	81-78 W
Vikos BC	103-74 W	80-70 W
Olympiacos	85-89 L	83-99 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Panathinaikos (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Panathinaikos

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	AEK Greece Basket League	83-74	W
01/11	Aris Greece Basket League	91-101	L
24/10	AS Karditsas Greece Basket League	78-64	W
18/10	Peristeri Greece Basket League	95-75	W
10/10	Promitheas Greece Basket League	84-59	W
04/10	Vikos BC Greece Basket League	103-74	W
13/06	Olympiacos Greece Basket League	85-89	L
10/06	Olympiacos Greece Basket League	93-86	W
08/06	Olympiacos Greece Basket League	92-102	L
05/06	Olympiacos Greece Basket League	68-58	W

Kolossos Rhodes

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Peristeri Greece Basket League	81-78	W
31/10	AS Karditsas Greece Basket League	65-81	L
25/10	Vikos BC Greece Basket League	80-70	W
17/10	PAOK Greece Basket League	84-88	L
11/10	Olympiacos Greece Basket League	83-99	L
03/10	Doxa Lefkadas Greece Basket League	91-75	W
16/05	Olympiacos Greece Basket League	58-97	L
13/05	Olympiacos Greece Basket League	76-117	L
25/04	AS Karditsas Greece Basket League	91-80	W
18/04	Marousi Greece Basket League	93-108	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Panathinaikos vs Kolossos Rhodes?

Our model gives 90% to Panathinaikos.

How many points are expected in Panathinaikos vs Kolossos Rhodes?

The model estimates 170.7 total points (Panathinaikos 94.3 · Kolossos Rhodes 76.4).