Basketball · Greece Basket League · 24/10, 18:00

Prediction: Panathinaikos vs AS Karditsas

Team pages: Panathinaikos · AS Karditsas

Prediction summary

Estimated points

161.7Total

Panathinaikos90.7

AS Karditsas71

1X2

92% 8%

Panathinaikos AS Karditsas

Recent form · 10 last

Panathinaikos 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWLWWW

AS Karditsas 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWLWWL

Head-to-head

Panathinaikos 6–0 AS Karditsas (6 last)

AS Karditsas53-78Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos92-85AS Karditsas
Panathinaikos96-72AS Karditsas
AS Karditsas66-80Panathinaikos
AS Karditsas64-87Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos77-53AS Karditsas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Panathinaikos 1636 · AS Karditsas 1485

	Panathinaikos	AS Karditsas
Our model	80%	20%
Market	95%	5%

Estimated total (ours) 161.7 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · +1.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points161.7Panathinaikos 90.7 · AS Karditsas 71

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Panathinaikos (rating 1636 vs 1485).
Panathinaikos is a clear favourite (92% market).
H2H favours Panathinaikos: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Panathinaikos	AS Karditsas
Points F\|A (Last 10)	91.2 / 82.1	79.7 / 78.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	92 / 76.6	77.4 / 76.6
Est. result	91	71

Est. total161.7

Line O/U160.5

Diff.1.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.00

220.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-22.5)1.83

2 (+22.5)1.91

Line ⓘ

Over 160.51.87

Under 160.51.87

Diff.: 5.05 · Est. total: 165.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.00 → 1.00	Bet365 1.00
2	20.00 → 20.00	Bet365 20.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 4.5%

Time*	1	2
13:40 +8’	1.00	20.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Panathinaikos 6–0–0 AS Karditsas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Greece Basket League	AS Karditsas	53-78	Panathinaikos
04/01/26 Greece Basket League	Panathinaikos	92-85	AS Karditsas
29/12/24 Greece Basket League	Panathinaikos	96-72	AS Karditsas
06/10/24 Greece Basket League	AS Karditsas	66-80	Panathinaikos
10/03/24 Greece Basket League	AS Karditsas	64-87	Panathinaikos
02/12/23 Greece Basket League	Panathinaikos	77-53	AS Karditsas

Standings · Greece Basket League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PAOK	3	3	0	262	242	6
2	Aris	3	2	1	230	189	5
3	AS Karditsas	3	2	1	212	213	5
4	AEK	3	2	1	233	237	5
5	Peristeri	3	2	1	260	272	5
6	Olympiacos	3	3	0	256	219	4
7	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	282	208	4
8	Iraklis 2022	3	1	2	228	222	4
9	Kolossos Rhodes	3	1	2	258	262	4
10	Promitheas	3	1	2	227	257	4
11	AO Mykonou	3	1	2	246	251	4
12	Doxa Lefkadas	3	0	3	227	257	3
13	Marousi	3	0	3	206	247	3
14	Vikos BC	3	0	3	216	267	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Panathinaikos	AS Karditsas
Promitheas	84-59 W	95-79 W
Vikos BC	103-74 W	85-74 W
PAOK	102-94 W	90-93 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Panathinaikos (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Panathinaikos

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Peristeri Greece Basket League	95-75	W
10/10	Promitheas Greece Basket League	84-59	W
04/10	Vikos BC Greece Basket League	103-74	W
13/06	Olympiacos Greece Basket League	85-89	L
10/06	Olympiacos Greece Basket League	93-86	W
08/06	Olympiacos Greece Basket League	92-102	L
05/06	Olympiacos Greece Basket League	68-58	W
03/06	Olympiacos Greece Basket League	76-82	L
30/05	PAOK Greece Basket League	102-94	W
28/05	PAOK Greece Basket League	114-102	W

AS Karditsas

LWLWLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Iraklis 2022 Greece Basket League	53-71	L
10/10	Vikos BC Greece Basket League	85-74	W
03/10	Aris Greece Basket League	74-68	W
25/04	Kolossos Rhodes Greece Basket League	80-91	L
18/04	Promitheas Greece Basket League	95-79	W
04/04	PAOK Greece Basket League	90-93	L
29/03	Panionios Greece Basket League	85-72	W
21/03	Aris Greece Basket League	55-78	L
07/03	AO Mykonou Greece Basket League	103-77	W
14/02	Marousi Greece Basket League	77-78	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Panathinaikos vs AS Karditsas?

Our model gives 92% to Panathinaikos.

How many points are expected in Panathinaikos vs AS Karditsas?

The model estimates 161.7 total points (Panathinaikos 90.7 · AS Karditsas 71).