Basketball · Greece Basket League · 25/10, 12:00
Prediction: Promitheas vs Olympiacos
Team pages: Promitheas · Olympiacos
Prediction summary
Estimated points
173.6Total
Promitheas78.6
Olympiacos95
1X2
Promitheas
Olympiacos
Recent form · 10 last
Promitheas
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Olympiacos
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Promitheas
0–6
Olympiacos
(6 last)
- Olympiacos102-87Promitheas
- Promitheas64-88Olympiacos
- Olympiacos92-83Promitheas
- Promitheas74-77Olympiacos
- Olympiacos106-66Promitheas
- Olympiacos80-69Promitheas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Promitheas 1438 · Olympiacos 1666
| Promitheas | Olympiacos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 7% | 93% |
Estimated total (ours)
173.6 points · Bet365 line 165.5 · +8.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points173.6Promitheas 78.6 · Olympiacos 95
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olympiacos (rating 1438 vs 1666).
- Olympiacos is a clear favourite (88% market).
- H2H favours Olympiacos: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Promitheas | Olympiacos | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.6 / 92.2 | 86.2 / 77.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80.6 / 87.4 | 86.2 / 79.4 |
| Est. result | 79 | 95 |
Est. total173.6
Line O/U165.5
Diff.8.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Promitheas 0–0–6 Olympiacos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Greece Basket League | Olympiacos | 102-87 | Promitheas |
| 16/11/25 Greece Basket League | Promitheas | 64-88 | Olympiacos |
| 27/09/25 Greece Super Cup | Olympiacos | 92-83 | Promitheas |
| 02/02/25 Greece Basket League | Promitheas | 74-77 | Olympiacos |
| 10/11/24 Greece Basket League | Olympiacos | 106-66 | Promitheas |
| 18/04/24 Greece Basket League | Olympiacos | 80-69 | Promitheas |
Standings · Greece Basket League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PAOK | 3 | 3 | 0 | 262 | 242 | 6 |
| 2 | Aris | 3 | 2 | 1 | 230 | 189 | 5 |
| 3 | AS Karditsas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 213 | 5 |
| 4 | AEK | 3 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 237 | 5 |
| 5 | Peristeri | 3 | 2 | 1 | 260 | 272 | 5 |
| 6 | Olympiacos | 3 | 3 | 0 | 256 | 219 | 4 |
| 7 | Panathinaikos | 3 | 3 | 0 | 282 | 208 | 4 |
| 8 | Iraklis 2022 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 228 | 222 | 4 |
| 9 | Kolossos Rhodes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 258 | 262 | 4 |
| 10 | Promitheas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 227 | 257 | 4 |
| 11 | AO Mykonou | 3 | 1 | 2 | 246 | 251 | 4 |
| 12 | Doxa Lefkadas | 3 | 0 | 3 | 227 | 257 | 3 |
| 13 | Marousi | 3 | 0 | 3 | 206 | 247 | 3 |
| 14 | Vikos BC | 3 | 0 | 3 | 216 | 267 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Promitheas | Olympiacos |
|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 59-84 L | 89-85 W |
| Iraklis 2022 | 97-85 W | 78-68 W |
| Kolossos Rhodes | 76-98 L | 99-83 W |
| AEK | 85-102 L | 95-68 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Olympiacos (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Promitheas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Doxa Lefkadas Greece Basket League |
80-79 | W |
| 10/10 | Panathinaikos Greece Basket League |
59-84 | L |
| 03/10 | Peristeri Greece Basket League |
88-94 | L |
| 25/04 | Iraklis 2022 Greece Basket League |
97-85 | W |
| 18/04 | AS Karditsas Greece Basket League |
79-95 | L |
| 04/04 | Panathinaikos Greece Basket League |
63-96 | L |
| 28/03 | PAOK Greece Basket League |
70-100 | L |
| 21/03 | Kolossos Rhodes Greece Basket League |
76-98 | L |
| 14/03 | AO Mykonou Greece Basket League |
99-89 | W |
| 07/03 | AEK Greece Basket League |
85-102 | L |
Olympiacos
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Vikos BC Greece Basket League |
79-68 | W |
| 11/10 | Kolossos Rhodes Greece Basket League |
99-83 | W |
| 04/10 | Iraklis 2022 Greece Basket League |
78-68 | W |
| 13/06 | Panathinaikos Greece Basket League |
89-85 | W |
| 10/06 | Panathinaikos Greece Basket League |
86-93 | L |
| 08/06 | Panathinaikos Greece Basket League |
102-92 | W |
| 05/06 | Panathinaikos Greece Basket League |
58-68 | L |
| 03/06 | Panathinaikos Greece Basket League |
82-76 | W |
| 30/05 | AEK Greece Basket League |
95-68 | W |
| 28/05 | AEK Greece Basket League |
94-77 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Promitheas vs Olympiacos?
Our model gives 88% to Olympiacos.
How many points are expected in Promitheas vs Olympiacos?
The model estimates 173.6 total points (Promitheas 78.6 · Olympiacos 95).