Basketball · Greece Basket League · 17/10, 15:00

Prediction: Kolossos Rhodes vs PAOK

Team pages: Kolossos Rhodes · PAOK

Prediction summary

Estimated points

175.4Total

Kolossos Rhodes83

PAOK92.4

1X2

25% 75%

Kolossos Rhodes PAOK

Recent form · 10 last

Kolossos Rhodes 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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PAOK 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Kolossos Rhodes 2–4 PAOK (6 last)

Kolossos Rhodes78-90PAOK
PAOK82-70Kolossos Rhodes
Kolossos Rhodes84-83PAOK
PAOK94-70Kolossos Rhodes
Kolossos Rhodes95-79PAOK
PAOK93-81Kolossos Rhodes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kolossos Rhodes 1466 · PAOK 1614

	Kolossos Rhodes	PAOK
Our model	42%	58%
Market	21%	79%

Estimated total (ours) 175.4 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · +7.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points175.4Kolossos Rhodes 83 · PAOK 92.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PAOK (rating 1466 vs 1614).
PAOK is a clear favourite (75% market).
H2H favours PAOK: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Kolossos Rhodes	PAOK
Points F\|A (Last 10)	86.3 / 92	89.6 / 84.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	79.8 / 93.6	89.4 / 89.2
Est. result	83	92

Est. total175.4

Line O/U167.5

Diff.7.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.50

21.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+9.5)1.87

2 (-9.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 167.51.87

Under 167.51.87

Diff.: 8.9 · Est. total: 176.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.6%

Time*	1	2
18:47 +1’	4.50	1.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kolossos Rhodes 2–0–4 PAOK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Greece Basket League	Kolossos Rhodes	78-90	PAOK
06/12/25 Greece Basket League	PAOK	82-70	Kolossos Rhodes
23/03/25 Greece Basket League	Kolossos Rhodes	84-83	PAOK
15/12/24 Greece Basket League	PAOK	94-70	Kolossos Rhodes
10/03/24 Greece Basket League	Kolossos Rhodes	95-79	PAOK
04/12/23 Greece Basket League	PAOK	93-81	Kolossos Rhodes

Standings · Greece Basket League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AS Karditsas	2	2	0	159	142	4
2	PAOK	2	2	0	174	158	4
3	Peristeri	2	2	0	185	177	4
4	Aris	2	1	1	156	132	3
5	AEK	2	1	1	149	158	3
6	Kolossos Rhodes	2	1	1	174	174	3
7	AO Mykonou	2	1	1	167	167	3
8	Panathinaikos	2	2	0	187	133	2
9	Olympiacos	2	2	0	177	151	2
10	Iraklis 2022	2	0	2	157	169	2
11	Promitheas	2	0	2	147	178	2
12	Vikos BC	2	0	2	148	188	2
13	Marousi	2	0	2	149	173	2
14	Doxa Lefkadas	2	0	2	148	177	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kolossos Rhodes	PAOK
Doxa Lefkadas	91-75 W	86-73 W
AS Karditsas	91-80 W	93-90 W
Marousi	93-108 L	101-85 W
Peristeri	83-87 L	77-72 W
Aris	92-96 L	88-77 W
Iraklis 2022	98-85 W	76-72 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kolossos Rhodes

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Olympiacos Greece Basket League	83-99	L
03/10	Doxa Lefkadas Greece Basket League	91-75	W
16/05	Olympiacos Greece Basket League	58-97	L
13/05	Olympiacos Greece Basket League	76-117	L
25/04	AS Karditsas Greece Basket League	91-80	W
18/04	Marousi Greece Basket League	93-108	L
04/04	Peristeri Greece Basket League	83-87	L
28/03	Aris Greece Basket League	92-96	L
21/03	Promitheas Greece Basket League	98-76	W
15/03	Iraklis 2022 Greece Basket League	98-85	W

PAOK

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Doxa Lefkadas Greece Basket League	86-73	W
03/10	AO Mykonou Greece Basket League	88-85	W
30/05	Panathinaikos Greece Basket League	94-102	L
28/05	Panathinaikos Greece Basket League	102-114	L
06/05	Peristeri Greece Basket League	77-72	W
03/05	Peristeri Greece Basket League	91-79	W
25/04	Marousi Greece Basket League	101-85	W
18/04	Iraklis 2022 Greece Basket League	76-72	W
15/04	Aris Greece Basket League	88-77	W
04/04	AS Karditsas Greece Basket League	93-90	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kolossos Rhodes vs PAOK?

Our model gives 75% to PAOK.

How many points are expected in Kolossos Rhodes vs PAOK?

The model estimates 175.4 total points (Kolossos Rhodes 83 · PAOK 92.4).