Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 15/09, 03:15
Prediction: Santa Ana BC vs Santa Tecla
Team pages: Santa Ana BC · Santa Tecla
Prediction summary
Estimated points
164.4Total
Santa Ana BC84.9
Santa Tecla79.5
1X2
Santa Ana BC
Santa Tecla
Recent form · 10 last
Santa Ana BC
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Santa Tecla
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santa Ana BC
3–3
Santa Tecla
(6 last)
- Santa Ana BC78-101Santa Tecla
- Santa Tecla110-74Santa Ana BC
- Santa Tecla73-85Santa Ana BC
- Santa Ana BC90-79Santa Tecla
- Santa Tecla69-66Santa Ana BC
- Santa Ana BC85-63Santa Tecla
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santa Ana BC 1435 · Santa Tecla 1499
| Santa Ana BC | Santa Tecla | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
164.4 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · +1.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points164.4Santa Ana BC 84.9 · Santa Tecla 79.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santa Tecla (rating 1435 vs 1499).
- Santa Ana BC is a clear favourite (65% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Santa Ana BC | Santa Tecla | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.5 / 95.1 | 74.2 / 79.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79.2 / 86 | 75.8 / 86.2 |
| Est. result | 85 | 80 |
Est. total164.4
Line O/U162.5
Diff.1.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Ana BC 3–0–3 Santa Tecla
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Ana BC | 78-101 | Santa Tecla |
| 24/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Tecla | 110-74 | Santa Ana BC |
| 14/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Tecla | 73-85 | Santa Ana BC |
| 16/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Ana BC | 90-79 | Santa Tecla |
| 16/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Tecla | 69-66 | Santa Ana BC |
| 12/04/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Ana BC | 85-63 | Santa Tecla |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Aguila | 3 | 3 | 0 | 268 | 205 | 6 |
| 2 | Santa Ana BC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 251 | 5 |
| 3 | Isidro Metapan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 252 | 224 | 5 |
| 4 | Cojutepeque | 3 | 2 | 1 | 312 | 204 | 5 |
| 5 | A.Lobos BKB | 3 | 2 | 1 | 225 | 214 | 5 |
| 6 | Salvadorenos | 3 | 1 | 2 | 252 | 246 | 4 |
| 7 | Santa Tecla | 3 | 1 | 2 | 226 | 253 | 4 |
| 8 | San Salvador | 2 | 1 | 1 | 192 | 183 | 3 |
| 9 | Ahuachapan | 3 | 0 | 3 | 181 | 306 | 3 |
| 10 | Santiagueno | 2 | 1 | 1 | 166 | 206 | 3 |
| 11 | Brujos Izalco | 2 | 0 | 2 | 150 | 179 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santa Ana BC | Santa Tecla |
|---|---|---|
| Isidro Metapan | 90-89 W | 79-96 L |
| CD Aguila | 73-84 L | 76-89 L |
| A.Lobos BKB | 85-99 L | 56-88 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Santa Ana BC (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santa Ana BC
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
84-78 | W |
| 08/09 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
90-89 | W |
| 06/09 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
73-84 | L |
| 07/06 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
71-78 | L |
| 31/05 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-101 | L |
| 29/05 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
64-104 | L |
| 22/05 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
85-112 | L |
| 19/05 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
71-102 | L |
| 15/05 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
74-104 | L |
| 12/05 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
85-99 | L |
Santa Tecla
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
94-76 | W |
| 10/09 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
76-89 | L |
| 08/09 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
56-88 | L |
| 24/06 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
79-96 | L |
| 22/06 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
74-82 | L |
| 20/06 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
85-105 | L |
| 16/06 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
65-54 | W |
| 14/06 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
75-63 | W |
| 12/06 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
68-75 | L |
| 10/06 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
70-63 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santa Ana BC vs Santa Tecla?
Our model gives 65% to Santa Ana BC.
How many points are expected in Santa Ana BC vs Santa Tecla?
The model estimates 164.4 total points (Santa Ana BC 84.9 · Santa Tecla 79.5).