Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 24/09, 03:15
Prediction: Salvadorenos vs Cojutepeque
Team pages: Salvadorenos · Cojutepeque
Prediction summary
Estimated points
151.7Total
Salvadorenos74.2
Cojutepeque77.4
1X2
Salvadorenos
Cojutepeque
Markets
Under 160.5 points 65%
Recent form · 10 last
Salvadorenos
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Cojutepeque
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Salvadorenos
3–3
Cojutepeque
(6 last)
- Salvadorenos71-68Cojutepeque
- Cojutepeque40-71Salvadorenos
- Salvadorenos58-62Cojutepeque
- Cojutepeque52-47Salvadorenos
- Salvadorenos67-62Cojutepeque
- Cojutepeque78-52Salvadorenos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salvadorenos 1461 · Cojutepeque 1513
| Salvadorenos | Cojutepeque | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
Estimated total (ours)
151.7 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · -8.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points151.7Salvadorenos 74.2 · Cojutepeque 77.4
Over / Under 160.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~154.8 pts · strength 6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cojutepeque (rating 1461 vs 1513).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Salvadorenos | Cojutepeque | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 72.6 / 76.9 | 81.7 / 78 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80.4 / 81.8 | 86.4 / 77.2 |
| Est. result | 74 | 77 |
Est. total151.7
Line O/U160.5
Diff.8.8
Over / Under35% / 65%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Salvadorenos 3–0–3 Cojutepeque
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Salvadorenos | 71-68 | Cojutepeque |
| 30/03/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Cojutepeque | 40-71 | Salvadorenos |
| 05/11/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Salvadorenos | 58-62 | Cojutepeque |
| 30/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Cojutepeque | 52-47 | Salvadorenos |
| 31/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Salvadorenos | 67-62 | Cojutepeque |
| 26/04/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Cojutepeque | 78-52 | Salvadorenos |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A.Lobos BKB | 7 | 6 | 1 | 587 | 526 | 13 |
| 2 | Isidro Metapan | 6 | 5 | 1 | 521 | 441 | 11 |
| 3 | Santa Ana BC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 513 | 483 | 10 |
| 4 | CD Aguila | 6 | 4 | 2 | 501 | 453 | 10 |
| 5 | Cojutepeque | 6 | 4 | 2 | 534 | 425 | 10 |
| 6 | Santiagueno | 5 | 2 | 3 | 391 | 469 | 7 |
| 7 | San Salvador | 5 | 2 | 3 | 433 | 427 | 7 |
| 8 | Brujos Izalco | 6 | 1 | 5 | 424 | 468 | 7 |
| 9 | Santa Tecla | 5 | 2 | 3 | 378 | 415 | 7 |
| 10 | Salvadorenos | 5 | 1 | 4 | 402 | 409 | 6 |
| 11 | Ahuachapan | 5 | 0 | 5 | 330 | 498 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Salvadorenos | Cojutepeque |
|---|---|---|
| Brujos Izalco | 69-76 L | 53-50 W |
| Isidro Metapan | 77-83 L | 60-67 L |
| San Salvador | 97-83 W | 109-104 W |
| Santa Tecla | 54-65 L | 86-103 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Salvadorenos (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salvadorenos
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
69-76 | L |
| 18/09 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
81-87 | L |
| 12/09 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-80 | L |
| 10/09 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
77-83 | L |
| 06/09 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
97-83 | W |
| 16/06 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
54-65 | L |
| 14/06 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
63-75 | L |
| 12/06 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
75-68 | W |
| 10/06 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
63-70 | L |
| 06/06 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
69-82 | L |
Cojutepeque
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
60-67 | L |
| 19/09 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
109-104 | W |
| 16/09 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
53-50 | W |
| 13/09 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-84 | L |
| 11/09 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
132-81 | W |
| 07/09 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
102-39 | W |
| 15/06 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
87-101 | L |
| 13/06 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
55-70 | L |
| 11/06 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
55-81 | L |
| 05/06 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
86-103 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salvadorenos vs Cojutepeque?
Our model gives 59% to Cojutepeque.
How many points are expected in Salvadorenos vs Cojutepeque?
The model estimates 151.7 total points (Salvadorenos 74.2 · Cojutepeque 77.4).
Over or under 160.5 points?
Recent history points to under 160.5 points (65%).