Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 25/09, 03:15

Prediction: Isidro Metapan vs Brujos Izalco

Team pages: Isidro Metapan · Brujos Izalco

Prediction summary

Estimated points

160.1Total

Isidro Metapan89.4

Brujos Izalco70.6

1X2

91% 9%

Isidro Metapan Brujos Izalco

Recent form · 10 last

Isidro Metapan 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Brujos Izalco 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLWL

Head-to-head

Isidro Metapan 6–0 Brujos Izalco (6 last)

Brujos Izalco84-92Isidro Metapan
Isidro Metapan91-73Brujos Izalco
Brujos Izalco82-107Isidro Metapan
Isidro Metapan107-47Brujos Izalco
Isidro Metapan114-81Brujos Izalco
Brujos Izalco80-88Isidro Metapan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Isidro Metapan 1627 · Brujos Izalco 1389

	Isidro Metapan	Brujos Izalco
Our model	87%	13%
Market	92%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 160.1 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · +4.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points160.1Isidro Metapan 89.4 · Brujos Izalco 70.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isidro Metapan (rating 1627 vs 1389).
Isidro Metapan is a clear favourite (91% market).
H2H favours Isidro Metapan: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Isidro Metapan	Brujos Izalco
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.6 / 71.6	73.1 / 86.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	88.2 / 76.8	70 / 76.6
Est. result	89	71

Est. total160.1

Line O/U155.5

Diff.4.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.02

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-20)1.83

2 (+20)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 155.51.83

Under 155.51.83

Diff.: 0.2 · Est. total: 155.7

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 17:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.02▼	Bet365 1.02
2	8.75 → 11.00▲	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 7.1% Pinnacle margin 13.8%

Time*	1	2
14:30 +17’	1.04	8.75
15:44 +4’	1.02▼	11.00▲
16:41 +8’	1.04▲	8.75▼
17:44 +4’	1.02▼	11.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
14:40 +7’	1.01	6.64
16:13 +37’	1.01▼	6.71▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Isidro Metapan 6–0–0 Brujos Izalco

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Brujos Izalco	84-92	Isidro Metapan
30/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Isidro Metapan	91-73	Brujos Izalco
19/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Brujos Izalco	82-107	Isidro Metapan
17/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Isidro Metapan	107-47	Brujos Izalco
15/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Isidro Metapan	114-81	Brujos Izalco
16/04/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Brujos Izalco	80-88	Isidro Metapan

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	A.Lobos BKB	7	6	1	587	526	13
2	Santa Ana BC	7	5	2	618	586	12
3	Isidro Metapan	6	5	1	521	441	11
4	Cojutepeque	6	4	2	534	425	10
5	CD Aguila	6	4	2	501	453	10
6	Santiagueno	6	3	3	470	539	9
7	San Salvador	6	2	4	536	532	8
8	Santa Tecla	6	2	4	448	494	8
9	Brujos Izalco	6	1	5	424	468	7
10	Salvadorenos	5	1	4	402	409	6
11	Ahuachapan	5	0	5	330	498	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Isidro Metapan	Brujos Izalco
Cojutepeque	67-60 W	50-53 L
Salvadorenos	83-77 W	76-69 W
A.Lobos BKB	80-57 W	81-84 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Isidro Metapan (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Isidro Metapan

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/09	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	67-60	W
18/09	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	108-76	W
15/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	94-81	W
10/09	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	83-77	W
08/09	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	89-90	L
06/09	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	80-57	W
09/07	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	85-60	W
07/07	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	55-76	L
05/07	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	73-65	W
03/07	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	72-74	L

Brujos Izalco

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/09	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	81-84	L
20/09	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-69	W
16/09	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	50-53	L
14/09	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	67-83	L
12/09	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-94	L
07/09	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	74-85	L
15/06	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	72-104	L
13/06	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	81-103	L
11/06	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	70-94	L
04/06	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	84-92	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Isidro Metapan vs Brujos Izalco?

Our model gives 91% to Isidro Metapan.

How many points are expected in Isidro Metapan vs Brujos Izalco?

The model estimates 160.1 total points (Isidro Metapan 89.4 · Brujos Izalco 70.6).