Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 23/09, 03:15
Prediction: Santiagueno vs Santa Tecla
Team pages: Santiagueno · Santa Tecla
Prediction summary
Estimated points
163.3Total
Santiagueno79.9
Santa Tecla83.4
1X2
Santiagueno
Santa Tecla
Recent form · 10 last
Santiagueno
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Santa Tecla
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santiagueno
0–6
Santa Tecla
(6 last)
- Santiagueno59-86Santa Tecla
- Santa Tecla102-59Santiagueno
- Santiagueno54-71Santa Tecla
- Santa Tecla76-63Santiagueno
- Santa Tecla101-91Santiagueno
- Santiagueno85-95Santa Tecla
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santiagueno 1405 · Santa Tecla 1525
| Santiagueno | Santa Tecla | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
Estimated total (ours)
163.3 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · -1.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points163.3Santiagueno 79.9 · Santa Tecla 83.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santa Tecla (rating 1405 vs 1525).
- H2H favours Santa Tecla: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Santiagueno | Santa Tecla | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.9 / 99.2 | 75.6 / 81.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78.2 / 93.8 | 75.6 / 83 |
| Est. result | 80 | 83 |
Est. total163.3
Line O/U164.5
Diff.1.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiagueno 0–0–6 Santa Tecla
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santiagueno | 59-86 | Santa Tecla |
| 01/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Tecla | 102-59 | Santiagueno |
| 23/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santiagueno | 54-71 | Santa Tecla |
| 23/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Tecla | 76-63 | Santiagueno |
| 18/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Tecla | 101-91 | Santiagueno |
| 15/04/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santiagueno | 85-95 | Santa Tecla |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapan | 6 | 5 | 1 | 521 | 441 | 11 |
| 2 | A.Lobos BKB | 6 | 5 | 1 | 503 | 445 | 11 |
| 3 | Santa Ana BC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 513 | 483 | 10 |
| 4 | CD Aguila | 6 | 4 | 2 | 501 | 453 | 10 |
| 5 | Cojutepeque | 6 | 4 | 2 | 534 | 425 | 10 |
| 6 | Santiagueno | 5 | 2 | 3 | 391 | 469 | 7 |
| 7 | San Salvador | 5 | 2 | 3 | 433 | 427 | 7 |
| 8 | Santa Tecla | 5 | 2 | 3 | 378 | 415 | 7 |
| 9 | Brujos Izalco | 5 | 1 | 4 | 343 | 384 | 6 |
| 10 | Salvadorenos | 5 | 1 | 4 | 402 | 409 | 6 |
| 11 | Ahuachapan | 5 | 0 | 5 | 330 | 498 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santiagueno | Santa Tecla |
|---|---|---|
| Santa Ana BC | 73-95 L | 68-89 L |
| A.Lobos BKB | 84-114 L | 56-88 L |
| Brujos Izalco | 85-74 W | 94-76 W |
| Isidro Metapan | 105-161 L | 79-96 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Santa Tecla (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiagueno
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
73-95 | L |
| 16/09 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
68-54 | W |
| 14/09 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
84-114 | L |
| 11/09 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
81-132 | L |
| 07/09 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
85-74 | W |
| 07/06 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-71 | W |
| 31/05 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
105-161 | L |
| 28/05 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-102 | L |
| 25/05 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
53-61 | L |
| 24/05 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
90-128 | L |
Santa Tecla
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
84-73 | W |
| 15/09 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
68-89 | L |
| 12/09 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
94-76 | W |
| 10/09 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
76-89 | L |
| 08/09 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
56-88 | L |
| 24/06 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
79-96 | L |
| 22/06 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
74-82 | L |
| 20/06 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
85-105 | L |
| 16/06 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
65-54 | W |
| 14/06 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
75-63 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santiagueno vs Santa Tecla?
Our model gives 60% to Santa Tecla.
How many points are expected in Santiagueno vs Santa Tecla?
The model estimates 163.3 total points (Santiagueno 79.9 · Santa Tecla 83.4).