Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 23/09, 03:15
Prediction: Santa Ana BC vs San Salvador
Team pages: Santa Ana BC · San Salvador
Prediction summary
Estimated points
170.3Total
Santa Ana BC88.8
San Salvador81.5
1X2
Santa Ana BC
San Salvador
Recent form · 10 last
Santa Ana BC
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
San Salvador
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santa Ana BC
1–5
San Salvador
(6 last)
- Santa Ana BC71-102San Salvador
- San Salvador91-57Santa Ana BC
- Santa Ana BC80-93San Salvador
- San Salvador102-69Santa Ana BC
- San Salvador107-72Santa Ana BC
- Santa Ana BC73-67San Salvador
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santa Ana BC 1445 · San Salvador 1506
| Santa Ana BC | San Salvador | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 74% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
170.3 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points170.3Santa Ana BC 88.8 · San Salvador 81.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Salvador (rating 1445 vs 1506).
- Santa Ana BC is a clear favourite (70% market).
- H2H favours San Salvador: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Santa Ana BC | San Salvador | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.1 / 87.8 | 85.8 / 86.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 88 / 79.8 | 86.6 / 85.4 |
| Est. result | 89 | 82 |
Est. total170.3
Line O/U169.5
Diff.0.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Ana BC 1–0–5 San Salvador
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Ana BC | 71-102 | San Salvador |
| 18/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | San Salvador | 91-57 | Santa Ana BC |
| 01/11/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Ana BC | 80-93 | San Salvador |
| 22/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | San Salvador | 102-69 | Santa Ana BC |
| 23/06/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | San Salvador | 107-72 | Santa Ana BC |
| 21/06/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Ana BC | 73-67 | San Salvador |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapan | 6 | 5 | 1 | 521 | 441 | 11 |
| 2 | A.Lobos BKB | 6 | 5 | 1 | 503 | 445 | 11 |
| 3 | Santa Ana BC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 513 | 483 | 10 |
| 4 | CD Aguila | 6 | 4 | 2 | 501 | 453 | 10 |
| 5 | Cojutepeque | 6 | 4 | 2 | 534 | 425 | 10 |
| 6 | Santiagueno | 5 | 2 | 3 | 391 | 469 | 7 |
| 7 | San Salvador | 5 | 2 | 3 | 433 | 427 | 7 |
| 8 | Santa Tecla | 5 | 2 | 3 | 378 | 415 | 7 |
| 9 | Brujos Izalco | 5 | 1 | 4 | 343 | 384 | 6 |
| 10 | Salvadorenos | 5 | 1 | 4 | 402 | 409 | 6 |
| 11 | Ahuachapan | 5 | 0 | 5 | 330 | 498 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santa Ana BC | San Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| Santiagueno | 95-73 W | 54-68 L |
| A.Lobos BKB | 82-91 L | 84-89 L |
| Cojutepeque | 84-78 W | 104-109 L |
| Ahuachapan | 85-112 L | 109-86 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santa Ana BC
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
95-73 | W |
| 17/09 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-91 | L |
| 15/09 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
89-68 | W |
| 13/09 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
84-78 | W |
| 08/09 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
90-89 | W |
| 06/09 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
73-84 | L |
| 07/06 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
71-78 | L |
| 31/05 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-101 | L |
| 29/05 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
64-104 | L |
| 22/05 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
85-112 | L |
San Salvador
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
104-109 | L |
| 16/09 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
54-68 | L |
| 14/09 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
83-67 | W |
| 09/09 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
109-86 | W |
| 06/09 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
83-97 | L |
| 25/06 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
84-89 | L |
| 23/06 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
81-97 | L |
| 21/06 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
89-107 | L |
| 15/06 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
101-87 | W |
| 13/06 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
70-55 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santa Ana BC vs San Salvador?
Our model gives 70% to Santa Ana BC.
How many points are expected in Santa Ana BC vs San Salvador?
The model estimates 170.3 total points (Santa Ana BC 88.8 · San Salvador 81.5).