Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 16/09, 02:00
Prediction: San Salvador vs Santiagueno
Team pages: San Salvador · Santiagueno
Prediction summary
Estimated points
177.4Total
San Salvador98.5
Santiagueno78.9
1X2
San Salvador
Santiagueno
Recent form · 10 last
San Salvador
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Santiagueno
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Salvador
6–0
Santiagueno
(6 last)
- San Salvador102-82Santiagueno
- Santiagueno76-102San Salvador
- San Salvador105-74Santiagueno
- Santiagueno75-98San Salvador
- San Salvador134-79Santiagueno
- Santiagueno79-83San Salvador
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Salvador 1568 · Santiagueno 1401
| San Salvador | Santiagueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 81% | 19% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
177.4 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · +6.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points177.4San Salvador 98.5 · Santiagueno 78.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Salvador (rating 1568 vs 1401).
- San Salvador is a clear favourite (92% market).
- H2H favours San Salvador: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| San Salvador | Santiagueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 86.3 / 80.9 | 81.4 / 100.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 88 / 87.2 | 86.6 / 110.4 |
| Est. result | 99 | 79 |
Est. total177.4
Line O/U170.5
Diff.6.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Salvador 6–0–0 Santiagueno
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | San Salvador | 102-82 | Santiagueno |
| 27/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santiagueno | 76-102 | San Salvador |
| 21/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | San Salvador | 105-74 | Santiagueno |
| 08/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santiagueno | 75-98 | San Salvador |
| 03/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | San Salvador | 134-79 | Santiagueno |
| 30/03/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santiagueno | 79-83 | San Salvador |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A.Lobos BKB | 4 | 3 | 1 | 339 | 298 | 7 |
| 2 | CD Aguila | 3 | 3 | 0 | 268 | 205 | 6 |
| 3 | Santa Ana BC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 251 | 5 |
| 4 | Isidro Metapan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 252 | 224 | 5 |
| 5 | Cojutepeque | 3 | 2 | 1 | 312 | 204 | 5 |
| 6 | San Salvador | 3 | 2 | 1 | 275 | 250 | 5 |
| 7 | Salvadorenos | 3 | 1 | 2 | 252 | 246 | 4 |
| 8 | Santa Tecla | 3 | 1 | 2 | 226 | 253 | 4 |
| 9 | Santiagueno | 3 | 1 | 2 | 250 | 320 | 4 |
| 10 | Brujos Izalco | 3 | 0 | 3 | 217 | 262 | 3 |
| 11 | Ahuachapan | 3 | 0 | 3 | 181 | 306 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Salvador | Santiagueno |
|---|---|---|
| Brujos Izalco | 83-67 W | 85-74 W |
| Ahuachapan | 109-86 W | 77-67 W |
| Salvadorenos | 83-97 L | 79-98 L |
| A.Lobos BKB | 84-89 L | 84-114 L |
| Cojutepeque | 101-87 W | 81-132 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: San Salvador (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Salvador
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
83-67 | W |
| 09/09 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
109-86 | W |
| 06/09 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
83-97 | L |
| 25/06 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
84-89 | L |
| 23/06 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
81-97 | L |
| 21/06 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
89-107 | L |
| 15/06 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
101-87 | W |
| 13/06 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
70-55 | W |
| 11/06 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
81-55 | W |
| 06/06 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-69 | W |
Santiagueno
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
84-114 | L |
| 11/09 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
81-132 | L |
| 07/09 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
85-74 | W |
| 07/06 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-71 | W |
| 31/05 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
105-161 | L |
| 28/05 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-102 | L |
| 25/05 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
53-61 | L |
| 24/05 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
90-128 | L |
| 17/05 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
77-67 | W |
| 13/05 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
79-98 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Salvador vs Santiagueno?
Our model gives 92% to San Salvador.
How many points are expected in San Salvador vs Santiagueno?
The model estimates 177.4 total points (San Salvador 98.5 · Santiagueno 78.9).