Basketball · France Ligue B · 20/10, 20:00

Prediction: Rouen vs La Rochelle

Team pages: Rouen · La Rochelle

Prediction summary

Estimated points

169.5Total

Rouen89.5

La Rochelle80.1

1X2

75% 25%

Rouen La Rochelle

Recent form · 10 last

Rouen 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWLLWL

La Rochelle 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Rouen 3–3 La Rochelle (6 last)

La Rochelle80-83Rouen
Rouen85-77La Rochelle
Rouen61-70La Rochelle
La Rochelle73-70Rouen
La Rochelle79-66Rouen
Rouen110-67La Rochelle

Model analysis

Estimated points169.5Rouen 89.5 · La Rochelle 80.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rouen (rating 1527 vs 1430).
Rouen is a clear favourite (75% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Rouen	La Rochelle
Points F\|A (Last 10)	86 / 81.3	82.5 / 88.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	86.4 / 86	86.2 / 93.4
Est. result	90	80

Est. total169.5

Line O/U172

Diff.2.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1721.93

Under 1721.88

Diff.: 2.65 · Est. total: 169.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:48

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.29 → 1.29	Pinn 1.29
2	3.55 → 3.55	Pinn 3.55

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.9%

Time*	1	2
20:30 +18’	1.29	3.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rouen 3–0–3 La Rochelle

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/04/26 France Ligue B	La Rochelle	80-83	Rouen
19/09/25 France Ligue B	Rouen	85-77	La Rochelle
28/05/24 France Ligue B	Rouen	61-70	La Rochelle
25/05/24 France Ligue B	La Rochelle	73-70	Rouen
02/02/24 France Ligue B	La Rochelle	79-66	Rouen
13/01/24 France Ligue B	Rouen	110-67	La Rochelle

Standings · France Ligue B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Denain	4	4	0	340	279
2	Evreux	4	3	1	360	327
3	Caen Basket Calvados	4	3	1	376	359
4	Levallois Basketball	4	3	1	326	319
5	Poitiers	4	2	2	354	341
6	Antibes	4	2	2	320	321
7	Blois	4	2	2	361	353
8	Le Havre	4	2	2	358	350
9	Orleans	4	2	2	339	315
10	UJAP Quimper	4	2	2	323	311
11	Nantes	4	2	2	305	311
12	Chalons-Reims	4	2	2	307	315
13	Vichy Clermont	4	2	2	348	353
14	Saint-Chamond	4	2	2	361	372
15	Hyeres Toulon	4	2	2	326	342
16	La Rochelle	4	1	3	362	377
17	Rouen	4	1	3	334	353
18	Aix Maurienne	4	1	3	327	362
19	Fos-sur-Mer	4	1	3	310	347
20	Gries-Souffel	4	1	3	318	348

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rouen	La Rochelle
Nantes	78-83 L	89-107 L
Blois	85-78 W	89-102 L
Vichy Clermont	97-101 L	70-73 L
Gries-Souffel	79-76 W	95-88 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rouen

WLWWWWLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	Nantes France Ligue B	78-83	L
09/10	Blois France Ligue B	85-78	W
03/10	Orleans France Ligue B	74-91	L
25/09	Vichy Clermont France Ligue B	97-101	L
15/05	Vendee Challans Basket France Ligue B	98-77	W
09/05	Orleans France Ligue B	84-72	W
30/04	Denain France Ligue B	93-78	W
28/04	Blois France Ligue B	84-67	W
24/04	Poitiers France Ligue B	88-90	L
21/04	Gries-Souffel France Ligue B	79-76	W

La Rochelle

LWLWLLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	Blois France Ligue B	89-102	L
09/10	Saint-Chamond France Ligue B	81-84	L
02/10	Hyeres Toulon France Ligue B	97-103	L
25/09	Gries-Souffel France Ligue B	95-88	W
22/05	Chalons-Reims France Ligue B	69-90	L
19/05	Nantes France Ligue B	89-107	L
15/05	Saint-Chamond France Ligue B	87-76	W
09/05	Blois France Ligue B	67-86	L
30/04	Evreux France Ligue B	81-80	W
24/04	Vichy Clermont France Ligue B	70-73	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rouen vs La Rochelle?

Our model gives 75% to Rouen.

How many points are expected in Rouen vs La Rochelle?

The model estimates 169.5 total points (Rouen 89.5 · La Rochelle 80.1).