Basketball · France Ligue B · 23/10, 20:30

Prediction: Vichy Clermont vs Hyeres Toulon

Team pages: Vichy Clermont · Hyeres Toulon

Prediction summary

Estimated points

162.2Total

Vichy Clermont84

Hyeres Toulon78.2

1X2

66% 34%

Vichy Clermont Hyeres Toulon

Recent form · 10 last

Vichy Clermont 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Hyeres Toulon 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWWLLW

Head-to-head

Vichy Clermont 2–4 Hyeres Toulon (6 last)

Hyeres Toulon79-73Vichy Clermont
Vichy Clermont76-97Hyeres Toulon
Vichy Clermont83-60Hyeres Toulon
Hyeres Toulon87-98Vichy Clermont
Hyeres Toulon81-71Vichy Clermont
Vichy Clermont73-81Hyeres Toulon

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vichy Clermont 1416 · Hyeres Toulon 1550

	Vichy Clermont	Hyeres Toulon
Our model	44%	56%
Market	71%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 162.2 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · -5.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points162.2Vichy Clermont 84 · Hyeres Toulon 78.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hyeres Toulon (rating 1416 vs 1550).
Vichy Clermont is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours Hyeres Toulon: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Vichy Clermont	Hyeres Toulon
Points F\|A (Last 10)	76.8 / 83.1	82.8 / 83.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	86 / 88.8	81.8 / 84.6
Est. result	84	78

Est. total162.2

Line O/U167.5

Diff.5.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.30

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.83

2 (+7.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 167.51.83

Under 167.51.83

Diff.: 4.35 · Est. total: 163.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Pinn 1.39 ★
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5% Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	2
21:48 +3’	1.30	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
20:49 +6’	1.39	2.99

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vichy Clermont 2–0–4 Hyeres Toulon

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/26 France Ligue B	Hyeres Toulon	79-73	Vichy Clermont
07/11/25 France Ligue B	Vichy Clermont	76-97	Hyeres Toulon
13/05/25 France Ligue B	Vichy Clermont	83-60	Hyeres Toulon
10/01/25 France Ligue B	Hyeres Toulon	87-98	Vichy Clermont
15/03/16 France Ligue B	Hyeres Toulon	81-71	Vichy Clermont
28/11/15 France Ligue B	Vichy Clermont	73-81	Hyeres Toulon

Standings · France Ligue B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Denain	5	4	1	422	368
2	Nantes	5	3	2	402	393
3	Caen Basket Calvados	5	3	2	448	440
4	Antibes	5	3	2	409	403
5	Levallois Basketball	5	3	2	404	404
6	Saint-Chamond	5	3	2	446	448
7	UJAP Quimper	5	3	2	404	383
8	Blois	5	3	2	464	433
9	Chalons-Reims	5	3	2	398	397
10	Hyeres Toulon	5	3	2	409	423
11	Evreux	5	3	2	442	424
12	Poitiers	4	2	2	354	341
13	Orleans	5	2	3	419	418
14	Aix Maurienne	5	2	3	412	440
15	Vichy Clermont	5	2	3	430	444
16	Le Havre	5	2	3	439	433
17	Rouen	5	2	3	410	428
18	Fos-sur-Mer	4	1	3	310	347
19	La Rochelle	5	1	4	437	453
20	Gries-Souffel	5	1	4	394	433

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vichy Clermont	Hyeres Toulon
Chalons-Reims	82-91 L	69-84 L
Caen Basket Calvados	80-76 W	77-90 L
Orleans	73-79 L	64-79 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Vichy Clermont (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vichy Clermont

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/10	Chalons-Reims France Ligue B	82-91	L
16/10	Caen Basket Calvados France Ligue B	80-76	W
09/10	Evreux France Ligue B	81-93	L
02/10	Levallois Basketball France Ligue B	86-87	L
25/09	Rouen France Ligue B	101-97	W
27/05	Orleans France Ligue B	73-79	L
24/05	Orleans France Ligue B	56-71	L
15/05	Nantes France Ligue B	75-82	L
10/05	Pau-Orthez France Ligue B	62-72	L
30/04	Antibes France Ligue B	72-83	L

Hyeres Toulon

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/10	Le Havre France Ligue B	83-81	W
16/10	Orleans France Ligue B	64-79	L
09/10	Caen Basket Calvados France Ligue B	77-90	L
02/10	La Rochelle France Ligue B	103-97	W
25/09	Fos-sur-Mer France Ligue B	82-76	W
15/05	Poitiers France Ligue B	75-81	L
08/05	Denain France Ligue B	96-78	W
01/05	Gries-Souffel France Ligue B	92-89	W
24/04	Chalons-Reims France Ligue B	69-84	L
21/04	UJAP Quimper France Ligue B	87-81	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vichy Clermont vs Hyeres Toulon?

Our model gives 66% to Vichy Clermont.

How many points are expected in Vichy Clermont vs Hyeres Toulon?

The model estimates 162.2 total points (Vichy Clermont 84 · Hyeres Toulon 78.2).