Basketball · France Ligue B · 23/10, 20:00
Prediction: Nantes vs Gries-Souffel
Team pages: Nantes · Gries-Souffel
Prediction summary
Estimated points
165.5Total
Nantes87.5
Gries-Souffel78
1X2
Nantes
Gries-Souffel
Recent form · 10 last
Nantes
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Gries-Souffel
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nantes
3–3
Gries-Souffel
(6 last)
- Gries-Souffel80-96Nantes
- Nantes96-84Gries-Souffel
- Gries-Souffel75-57Nantes
- Nantes85-97Gries-Souffel
- Gries-Souffel100-77Nantes
- Nantes84-71Gries-Souffel
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nantes 1547 · Gries-Souffel 1429
| Nantes | Gries-Souffel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 23% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
165.5 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · +3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points165.5Nantes 87.5 · Gries-Souffel 78
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nantes (rating 1547 vs 1429).
- Nantes is a clear favourite (75% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Nantes | Gries-Souffel | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 80.8 / 79.8 | 80.2 / 84.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80.4 / 78.6 | 78.8 / 86.6 |
| Est. result | 88 | 78 |
Est. total165.5
Line O/U162.5
Diff.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nantes 3–0–3 Gries-Souffel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/26 France Ligue B | Gries-Souffel | 80-96 | Nantes |
| 31/10/25 France Ligue B | Nantes | 96-84 | Gries-Souffel |
| 09/05/25 France Ligue B | Gries-Souffel | 75-57 | Nantes |
| 11/10/24 France Ligue B | Nantes | 85-97 | Gries-Souffel |
| 12/04/24 France Ligue B | Gries-Souffel | 100-77 | Nantes |
| 12/01/24 France Ligue B | Nantes | 84-71 | Gries-Souffel |
Standings · France Ligue B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denain | 5 | 4 | 1 | 422 | 368 | 0 |
| 2 | Nantes | 5 | 3 | 2 | 402 | 393 | 0 |
| 3 | Caen Basket Calvados | 5 | 3 | 2 | 448 | 440 | 0 |
| 4 | Antibes | 5 | 3 | 2 | 409 | 403 | 0 |
| 5 | Levallois Basketball | 5 | 3 | 2 | 404 | 404 | 0 |
| 6 | Saint-Chamond | 5 | 3 | 2 | 446 | 448 | 0 |
| 7 | UJAP Quimper | 5 | 3 | 2 | 404 | 383 | 0 |
| 8 | Blois | 5 | 3 | 2 | 464 | 433 | 0 |
| 9 | Chalons-Reims | 5 | 3 | 2 | 398 | 397 | 0 |
| 10 | Hyeres Toulon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 409 | 423 | 0 |
| 11 | Evreux | 5 | 3 | 2 | 442 | 424 | 0 |
| 12 | Poitiers | 4 | 2 | 2 | 354 | 341 | 0 |
| 13 | Orleans | 5 | 2 | 3 | 419 | 418 | 0 |
| 14 | Aix Maurienne | 5 | 2 | 3 | 412 | 440 | 0 |
| 15 | Vichy Clermont | 5 | 2 | 3 | 430 | 444 | 0 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 5 | 2 | 3 | 439 | 433 | 0 |
| 17 | Rouen | 5 | 2 | 3 | 410 | 428 | 0 |
| 18 | Fos-sur-Mer | 4 | 1 | 3 | 310 | 347 | 0 |
| 19 | La Rochelle | 5 | 1 | 4 | 437 | 453 | 0 |
| 20 | Gries-Souffel | 5 | 1 | 4 | 394 | 433 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nantes | Gries-Souffel |
|---|---|---|
| Rouen | 83-78 W | 76-79 L |
| UJAP Quimper | 76-62 W | 67-90 L |
| Antibes | 73-81 L | 85-74 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Nantes (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nantes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Evreux France Ligue B |
97-82 | W |
| 16/10 | Rouen France Ligue B |
83-78 | W |
| 09/10 | Poitiers France Ligue B |
73-90 | L |
| 02/10 | UJAP Quimper France Ligue B |
76-62 | W |
| 26/09 | Antibes France Ligue B |
73-81 | L |
| 09/06 | Poitiers France Ligue B |
75-85 | L |
| 06/06 | Poitiers France Ligue B |
79-88 | L |
| 03/06 | Poitiers France Ligue B |
83-80 | W |
| 31/05 | Blois France Ligue B |
88-68 | W |
| 27/05 | Blois France Ligue B |
81-84 | L |
Gries-Souffel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Saint-Chamond France Ligue B |
76-85 | L |
| 16/10 | Levallois Basketball France Ligue B |
78-89 | L |
| 10/10 | UJAP Quimper France Ligue B |
67-90 | L |
| 02/10 | Antibes France Ligue B |
85-74 | W |
| 25/09 | La Rochelle France Ligue B |
88-95 | L |
| 15/05 | Orleans France Ligue B |
80-81 | L |
| 08/05 | Vendee Challans Basket France Ligue B |
84-91 | L |
| 01/05 | Hyeres Toulon France Ligue B |
89-92 | L |
| 24/04 | Caen Basket Calvados France Ligue B |
79-70 | W |
| 21/04 | Rouen France Ligue B |
76-79 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nantes vs Gries-Souffel?
Our model gives 75% to Nantes.
How many points are expected in Nantes vs Gries-Souffel?
The model estimates 165.5 total points (Nantes 87.5 · Gries-Souffel 78).