Basketball · France Ligue B · 23/10, 20:00

Prediction: La Rochelle vs Evreux

Team pages: La Rochelle · Evreux

Prediction summary
Estimated points
170.6Total
La Rochelle86.5
Evreux84.1
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
57% 43%
La Rochelle Evreux

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
La Rochelle 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
WLWLLWLLLL
Evreux 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLLWWWLL
Head-to-head
La Rochelle 4–2 Evreux (6 last)
  • La Rochelle81-80Evreux
  • Evreux77-70La Rochelle
  • La Rochelle79-70Evreux
  • Evreux77-90La Rochelle
  • La Rochelle86-77Evreux
  • Evreux71-58La Rochelle
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · La Rochelle 1438 · Evreux 1461
La RochelleEvreux
Our model60%40%
Market56%44%
Estimated total (ours) 170.6 points · Bet365 line 171.5 · -0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points170.6La Rochelle 86.5 · Evreux 84.1

Match keys

  • H2H favours La Rochelle: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

La RochelleEvreux
Points F|A (Last 10)83 / 89.283.7 / 87.4
Points F|A (Last 5)87.4 / 90.688.4 / 84.8
Est. result8784
Est. total170.6
Line O/U171.5
Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · La Rochelle 4–0–2 Evreux

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/04/26
France Ligue B
La Rochelle81-80Evreux
16/01/26
France Ligue B
Evreux77-70La Rochelle
30/01/24
France Ligue B
La Rochelle79-70Evreux
22/12/23
France Ligue B
Evreux77-90La Rochelle
03/03/23
France Ligue B
La Rochelle86-77Evreux
29/11/22
France Ligue B
Evreux71-58La Rochelle

Standings · France Ligue B

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Denain 541 4223680
2 Nantes 532 4023930
3 Caen Basket Calvados 532 4484400
4 Antibes 532 4094030
5 Levallois Basketball 532 4044040
6 Saint-Chamond 532 4464480
7 UJAP Quimper 532 4043830
8 Blois 532 4644330
9 Chalons-Reims 532 3983970
10 Hyeres Toulon 532 4094230
11 Evreux 532 4424240
12 Poitiers 422 3543410
13 Orleans 523 4194180
14 Aix Maurienne 523 4124400
15 Vichy Clermont 523 4304440
16 Le Havre 523 4394330
17 Rouen 523 4104280
18 Fos-sur-Mer 413 3103470
19 La Rochelle 514 4374530
20 Gries-Souffel 514 3944330

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLa RochelleEvreux
Blois 89-102 L 68-97 L
Saint-Chamond 81-84 L 86-89 L
Nantes 89-107 L 82-97 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 3 L 0 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

La Rochelle

WLWLLWLLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
20/10 Rouen
France Ligue B
75-76 L
16/10 Blois
France Ligue B
89-102 L
09/10 Saint-Chamond
France Ligue B
81-84 L
02/10 Hyeres Toulon
France Ligue B
97-103 L
25/09 Gries-Souffel
France Ligue B
95-88 W
22/05 Chalons-Reims
France Ligue B
69-90 L
19/05 Nantes
France Ligue B
89-107 L
15/05 Saint-Chamond
France Ligue B
87-76 W
09/05 Blois
France Ligue B
67-86 L
30/04 Evreux
France Ligue B
81-80 W

Evreux

LLLLLWWWLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
20/10 Nantes
France Ligue B
82-97 L
16/10 Saint-Chamond
France Ligue B
86-89 L
09/10 Vichy Clermont
France Ligue B
93-81 W
02/10 Fos-sur-Mer
France Ligue B
95-77 W
25/09 Poitiers
France Ligue B
86-80 W
15/05 Blois
France Ligue B
68-97 L
08/05 UJAP Quimper
France Ligue B
83-102 L
30/04 La Rochelle
France Ligue B
80-81 L
24/04 Nantes
France Ligue B
85-89 L
21/04 Denain
France Ligue B
79-81 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in La Rochelle vs Evreux?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (La Rochelle 57% · Evreux 43%).

How many points are expected in La Rochelle vs Evreux?

The model estimates 170.6 total points (La Rochelle 86.5 · Evreux 84.1).