Basketball · France Ligue B · 20/10, 20:00

Prediction: Caen Basket Calvados vs UJAP Quimper

Team pages: Caen Basket Calvados · UJAP Quimper

Prediction summary

Estimated points

167.6Total

Caen Basket Calvados87.2

UJAP Quimper80.3

1X2

69% 31%

Caen Basket Calvados UJAP Quimper

Markets

Under 167.5 points 68%

Recent form · 10 last

Caen Basket Calvados 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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UJAP Quimper 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Caen Basket Calvados 3–3 UJAP Quimper (6 last)

Caen Basket Calvados85-77UJAP Quimper
UJAP Quimper66-79Caen Basket Calvados
UJAP Quimper64-55Caen Basket Calvados
Caen Basket Calvados89-65UJAP Quimper
UJAP Quimper76-53Caen Basket Calvados
Caen Basket Calvados84-93UJAP Quimper

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Caen Basket Calvados 1515 · UJAP Quimper 1444

	Caen Basket Calvados	UJAP Quimper
Our model	72%	28%
Market	68%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 167.6 points · Bet365 line 167.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points167.6Caen Basket Calvados 87.2 · UJAP Quimper 80.3

Over / Under 167.5Under · 68%recent trend · ~157.9 pts · strength 10

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caen Basket Calvados (rating 1515 vs 1444).
Caen Basket Calvados is a clear favourite (69% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Caen Basket Calvados	UJAP Quimper
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85.7 / 89.6	79.3 / 82.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	93.8 / 89	77 / 77.2
Est. result	87	80

Est. total167.6

Line O/U167.5

Diff.0.1

Over / Under32% / 68%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.36

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6.5)1.83

2 (+6.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 167.51.83

Under 167.51.83

Diff.: 1.05 · Est. total: 168.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
2	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 3.44 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.9% Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	2
10:43 +3’	1.36	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
11:32 +13’	1.30	3.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Caen Basket Calvados 3–0–3 UJAP Quimper

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/04/26 France Ligue B	Caen Basket Calvados	85-77	UJAP Quimper
07/11/25 France Ligue B	UJAP Quimper	66-79	Caen Basket Calvados
12/04/24 France Nationale 1	UJAP Quimper	64-55	Caen Basket Calvados
22/03/24 France Nationale 1	Caen Basket Calvados	89-65	UJAP Quimper
21/09/21 Coupe De France	UJAP Quimper	76-53	Caen Basket Calvados
03/05/19 France Ligue B	Caen Basket Calvados	84-93	UJAP Quimper

Standings · France Ligue B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Denain	4	4	0	340	279
2	Evreux	4	3	1	360	327
3	Caen Basket Calvados	4	3	1	376	359
4	Levallois Basketball	4	3	1	326	319
5	Poitiers	4	2	2	354	341
6	Antibes	4	2	2	320	321
7	Blois	4	2	2	361	353
8	Le Havre	4	2	2	358	350
9	Orleans	4	2	2	339	315
10	UJAP Quimper	4	2	2	323	311
11	Nantes	4	2	2	305	311
12	Chalons-Reims	4	2	2	307	315
13	Vichy Clermont	4	2	2	348	353
14	Saint-Chamond	4	2	2	361	372
15	Hyeres Toulon	4	2	2	326	342
16	La Rochelle	4	1	3	362	377
17	Rouen	4	1	3	334	353
18	Aix Maurienne	4	1	3	327	362
19	Fos-sur-Mer	4	1	3	310	347
20	Gries-Souffel	4	1	3	318	348

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Caen Basket Calvados	UJAP Quimper
Hyeres Toulon	90-77 W	81-87 L
Antibes	93-86 W	80-93 L
Roanne	71-75 L	67-81 L
Gries-Souffel	70-79 L	90-67 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Caen Basket Calvados (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Caen Basket Calvados

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	Vichy Clermont France Ligue B	76-80	L
09/10	Hyeres Toulon France Ligue B	90-77	W
02/10	Saint-Chamond France Ligue B	115-111	W
25/09	Aix Maurienne France Ligue B	95-91	W
15/05	Antibes France Ligue B	93-86	W
08/05	Chalons-Reims France Ligue B	75-99	L
01/05	Roanne France Ligue B	71-75	L
24/04	Gries-Souffel France Ligue B	70-79	L
21/04	Vendee Challans Basket France Ligue B	98-106	L
17/04	La Rochelle France Ligue B	74-92	L

UJAP Quimper

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	Le Havre France Ligue B	94-89	W
10/10	Gries-Souffel France Ligue B	90-67	W
02/10	Nantes France Ligue B	62-76	L
25/09	Levallois Basketball France Ligue B	77-79	L
15/05	Denain France Ligue B	62-75	L
08/05	Evreux France Ligue B	102-83	W
02/05	Blois France Ligue B	78-95	L
25/04	Roanne France Ligue B	67-81	L
21/04	Hyeres Toulon France Ligue B	81-87	L
17/04	Antibes France Ligue B	80-93	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Caen Basket Calvados vs UJAP Quimper?

Our model gives 69% to Caen Basket Calvados.

How many points are expected in Caen Basket Calvados vs UJAP Quimper?

The model estimates 167.6 total points (Caen Basket Calvados 87.2 · UJAP Quimper 80.3).

Over or under 167.5 points?

Recent history points to under 167.5 points (68%).