Basketball · France Ligue B · 30/10, 20:00

Prediction: Denain vs Nantes

Team pages: Denain · Nantes

Prediction summary

Estimated points

165.8Total

Denain86.8

Nantes79

1X2

71% 29%

Denain Nantes

Recent form · 10 last

Denain 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Nantes 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLLWLWWW

Head-to-head

Denain 4–2 Nantes (6 last)

Nantes78-83Denain
Denain93-86Nantes
Denain75-85Nantes
Nantes97-92Denain
Nantes84-101Denain
Denain87-84Nantes

Model analysis

Estimated points165.8Denain 86.8 · Nantes 79

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Denain (rating 1582 vs 1518).
Denain is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours Denain: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Denain	Nantes
Points F\|A (Last 10)	81.6 / 77.6	82.6 / 80.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	87.6 / 77.4	85.6 / 80.4
Est. result	87	79

Est. total165.8

Line O/U166.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 166.51.89

Under 166.51.93

Diff.: 5.4 · Est. total: 161.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:59

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.35 → 1.35	Pinn 1.35
2	3.16 → 3.16	Pinn 3.16

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	2
20:10 +49’	1.35	3.16

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Denain 4–0–2 Nantes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/01/26 France Ligue B	Nantes	78-83	Denain
23/12/25 France Ligue B	Denain	93-86	Nantes
21/03/25 France Ligue B	Denain	75-85	Nantes
10/01/25 France Ligue B	Nantes	97-92	Denain
26/04/24 France Ligue B	Nantes	84-101	Denain
19/12/23 France Ligue B	Denain	87-84	Nantes

Standings · France Ligue B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Denain	6	5	1	525	463
2	Poitiers	6	4	2	513	482
3	Nantes	6	4	2	501	483
4	Antibes	6	4	2	506	495
5	Evreux	6	4	2	527	503
6	UJAP Quimper	6	4	2	476	433
7	Chalons-Reims	6	4	2	479	475
8	Caen Basket Calvados	6	3	3	522	519
9	Vichy Clermont	6	3	3	523	528
10	Orleans	6	3	3	512	500
11	Blois	6	3	3	556	530
12	Aix Maurienne	6	3	3	501	526
13	Levallois Basketball	6	3	3	486	497
14	Saint-Chamond	6	3	3	524	529
15	Hyeres Toulon	6	3	3	493	516
16	Le Havre	6	2	4	534	536
17	Rouen	6	2	4	496	517
18	La Rochelle	6	1	5	516	538
19	Fos-sur-Mer	6	1	5	427	499
20	Gries-Souffel	6	1	5	484	532

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Denain	Nantes
Antibes	82-89 L	73-81 L
Blois	87-76 W	88-68 W
UJAP Quimper	75-62 W	76-62 W
Rouen	78-93 L	83-78 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Nantes (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Denain

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Le Havre France Ligue B	103-95	W
20/10	Antibes France Ligue B	82-89	L
16/10	Aix Maurienne France Ligue B	95-77	W
09/10	Levallois Basketball France Ligue B	78-71	W
02/10	Chalons-Reims France Ligue B	80-55	W
25/09	Blois France Ligue B	87-76	W
19/05	Chalons-Reims France Ligue B	60-62	L
15/05	UJAP Quimper France Ligue B	75-62	W
08/05	Hyeres Toulon France Ligue B	78-96	L
30/04	Rouen France Ligue B	78-93	L

Nantes

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Gries-Souffel France Ligue B	99-90	W
20/10	Evreux France Ligue B	97-82	W
16/10	Rouen France Ligue B	83-78	W
09/10	Poitiers France Ligue B	73-90	L
02/10	UJAP Quimper France Ligue B	76-62	W
26/09	Antibes France Ligue B	73-81	L
09/06	Poitiers France Ligue B	75-85	L
06/06	Poitiers France Ligue B	79-88	L
03/06	Poitiers France Ligue B	83-80	W
31/05	Blois France Ligue B	88-68	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Denain vs Nantes?

Our model gives 71% to Denain.

How many points are expected in Denain vs Nantes?

The model estimates 165.8 total points (Denain 86.8 · Nantes 79).