Basketball · France Ligue B · 30/10, 20:50
Prediction: Poitiers vs La Rochelle
Team pages: Poitiers · La Rochelle
Prediction summary
Estimated points
165.7Total
Poitiers89.3
La Rochelle76.5
1X2
Poitiers
La Rochelle
Recent form · 10 last
Poitiers
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
La Rochelle
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Poitiers
2–1–3
La Rochelle
(6 last)
- La Rochelle63-78Poitiers
- Poitiers95-64La Rochelle
- La Rochelle67-67Poitiers
- La Rochelle89-64Poitiers
- Poitiers83-87La Rochelle
- La Rochelle100-92Poitiers
Model analysis
Estimated points165.7Poitiers 89.3 · La Rochelle 76.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Poitiers (rating 1581 vs 1408).
- Poitiers is a clear favourite (82% market).
- H2H favours La Rochelle: 3-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Poitiers | La Rochelle | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 84.9 / 80.6 | 82.8 / 89.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 86.6 / 79.2 | 84.2 / 90 |
| Est. result | 89 | 77 |
Est. total165.7
Line O/U170
Diff.4.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Poitiers 2–1–3 La Rochelle
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 France Ligue B | La Rochelle | 63-78 | Poitiers |
| 31/10/25 France Ligue B | Poitiers | 95-64 | La Rochelle |
| 30/08/24 Club Friendlies | La Rochelle | 67-67 | Poitiers |
| 09/04/24 France Ligue B | La Rochelle | 89-64 | Poitiers |
| 19/12/23 France Ligue B | Poitiers | 83-87 | La Rochelle |
| 06/10/23 France Leaders Cup Pro B | La Rochelle | 100-92 | Poitiers |
Standings · France Ligue B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denain | 6 | 5 | 1 | 525 | 463 | 0 |
| 2 | Poitiers | 6 | 4 | 2 | 513 | 482 | 0 |
| 3 | Nantes | 6 | 4 | 2 | 501 | 483 | 0 |
| 4 | Antibes | 6 | 4 | 2 | 506 | 495 | 0 |
| 5 | Evreux | 6 | 4 | 2 | 527 | 503 | 0 |
| 6 | UJAP Quimper | 6 | 4 | 2 | 476 | 433 | 0 |
| 7 | Chalons-Reims | 6 | 4 | 2 | 479 | 475 | 0 |
| 8 | Caen Basket Calvados | 6 | 3 | 3 | 522 | 519 | 0 |
| 9 | Vichy Clermont | 6 | 3 | 3 | 523 | 528 | 0 |
| 10 | Orleans | 6 | 3 | 3 | 512 | 500 | 0 |
| 11 | Blois | 6 | 3 | 3 | 556 | 530 | 0 |
| 12 | Aix Maurienne | 6 | 3 | 3 | 501 | 526 | 0 |
| 13 | Levallois Basketball | 6 | 3 | 3 | 486 | 497 | 0 |
| 14 | Saint-Chamond | 6 | 3 | 3 | 524 | 529 | 0 |
| 15 | Hyeres Toulon | 6 | 3 | 3 | 493 | 516 | 0 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 6 | 2 | 4 | 534 | 536 | 0 |
| 17 | Rouen | 6 | 2 | 4 | 496 | 517 | 0 |
| 18 | La Rochelle | 6 | 1 | 5 | 516 | 538 | 0 |
| 19 | Fos-sur-Mer | 6 | 1 | 5 | 427 | 499 | 0 |
| 20 | Gries-Souffel | 6 | 1 | 5 | 484 | 532 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Poitiers | La Rochelle |
|---|---|---|
| Chalons-Reims | 92-77 W | 69-90 L |
| Nantes | 90-73 W | 89-107 L |
| Blois | 92-105 L | 89-102 L |
| Evreux | 80-86 L | 79-85 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Poitiers (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Poitiers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Caen Basket Calvados France Ligue B |
79-74 | W |
| 21/10 | Fos-sur-Mer France Ligue B |
80-67 | W |
| 16/10 | Chalons-Reims France Ligue B |
92-77 | W |
| 09/10 | Nantes France Ligue B |
90-73 | W |
| 03/10 | Blois France Ligue B |
92-105 | L |
| 25/09 | Evreux France Ligue B |
80-86 | L |
| 18/06 | Pau-Orthez France Ligue B |
73-86 | L |
| 15/06 | Pau-Orthez France Ligue B |
72-81 | L |
| 12/06 | Pau-Orthez France Ligue B |
106-82 | W |
| 09/06 | Nantes France Ligue B |
85-75 | W |
La Rochelle
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Evreux France Ligue B |
79-85 | L |
| 20/10 | Rouen France Ligue B |
75-76 | L |
| 16/10 | Blois France Ligue B |
89-102 | L |
| 09/10 | Saint-Chamond France Ligue B |
81-84 | L |
| 02/10 | Hyeres Toulon France Ligue B |
97-103 | L |
| 25/09 | Gries-Souffel France Ligue B |
95-88 | W |
| 22/05 | Chalons-Reims France Ligue B |
69-90 | L |
| 19/05 | Nantes France Ligue B |
89-107 | L |
| 15/05 | Saint-Chamond France Ligue B |
87-76 | W |
| 09/05 | Blois France Ligue B |
67-86 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Poitiers vs La Rochelle?
Our model gives 82% to Poitiers.
How many points are expected in Poitiers vs La Rochelle?
The model estimates 165.7 total points (Poitiers 89.3 · La Rochelle 76.5).