Basketball · Lithuania LKL · 03/10, 16:00
Prediction: Neptunas vs Nevezis
Team pages: Neptunas · Nevezis
Prediction summary
Estimated points
175.6Total
Neptunas93.7
Nevezis81.9
1X2
Neptunas
Nevezis
Recent form · 10 last
Neptunas
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Nevezis
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Neptunas
5–1
Nevezis
(6 last)
- Nevezis82-110Neptunas
- Neptunas88-93Nevezis
- Neptunas87-67Nevezis
- Neptunas113-82Nevezis
- Nevezis76-87Neptunas
- Nevezis85-92Neptunas
Model analysis
Estimated points175.6Neptunas 93.7 · Nevezis 81.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Neptunas (rating 1527 vs 1378).
- Neptunas is a clear favourite (80% market).
- H2H favours Neptunas: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Neptunas | Nevezis | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83.2 / 83.5 | 80.8 / 98.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80.6 / 81.8 | 81 / 98.4 |
| Est. result | 94 | 82 |
Est. total175.6
Line O/U174.5
Diff.1.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Neptunas 5–0–1 Nevezis
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/26 Lithuania LKL | Nevezis | 82-110 | Neptunas |
| 11/04/26 Lithuania LKL | Neptunas | 88-93 | Nevezis |
| 17/01/26 Lithuania Cup | Neptunas | 87-67 | Nevezis |
| 10/01/26 Lithuania LKL | Neptunas | 113-82 | Nevezis |
| 23/12/25 Lithuania Cup | Nevezis | 76-87 | Neptunas |
| 04/10/25 Lithuania LKL | Nevezis | 85-92 | Neptunas |
Standings · Lithuania LKL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zalgiris | 3 | 3 | 0 | 292 | 228 | 0 |
| 2 | Lietkabelis | 3 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 247 | 0 |
| 2 | Gargzdu Gargzdai SC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 254 | 255 | 0 |
| 4 | Jonava | 2 | 1 | 1 | 175 | 160 | 0 |
| 5 | Juventus | 3 | 1 | 2 | 260 | 260 | 0 |
| 6 | Taurage | 2 | 1 | 1 | 174 | 175 | 0 |
| 7 | Neptunas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 246 | 264 | 0 |
| 8 | Siauliai | 3 | 1 | 2 | 247 | 268 | 0 |
| 9 | Nevezis | 2 | 0 | 2 | 142 | 179 | 0 |
| 10 | Rytas Vilnius | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Neptunas | Nevezis |
|---|---|---|
| Gargzdu Gargzdai SC | 78-87 L | 85-90 L |
| Juventus | 99-84 W | 77-94 L |
| Zalgiris | 69-93 L | 80-98 L |
| Lietkabelis | 91-82 W | 72-105 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Neptunas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL |
78-87 | L |
| 23/09 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
99-84 | W |
| 20/09 | Zalgiris Lithuania LKL |
69-93 | L |
| 13/06 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
91-82 | W |
| 11/06 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
66-63 | W |
| 08/06 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
68-80 | L |
| 06/06 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
86-73 | W |
| 03/06 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
90-103 | L |
| 01/06 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
102-84 | W |
| 29/05 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
83-86 | L |
Nevezis
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
77-94 | L |
| 22/09 | Jonava Lithuania LKL |
65-85 | L |
| 17/05 | Zalgiris Lithuania LKL |
80-98 | L |
| 13/05 | Rytas Vilnius Lithuania LKL |
88-117 | L |
| 09/05 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
95-98 | L |
| 03/05 | Siauliai Lithuania LKL |
75-95 | L |
| 26/04 | Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL |
85-90 | L |
| 23/04 | Neptunas Lithuania LKL |
82-110 | L |
| 18/04 | Jonava Lithuania LKL |
89-90 | L |
| 15/04 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
72-105 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Neptunas vs Nevezis?
Our model gives 80% to Neptunas.
How many points are expected in Neptunas vs Nevezis?
The model estimates 175.6 total points (Neptunas 93.7 · Nevezis 81.9).