Basketball · Lithuania LKL · 11/10, 16:00

Prediction: Nevezis vs Zalgiris

Team pages: Nevezis · Zalgiris

Prediction summary

Estimated points

172.4Total

Nevezis80.8

Zalgiris91.6

1X2

22% 78%

Nevezis Zalgiris

Recent form · 10 last

Nevezis 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLL

Zalgiris 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Nevezis 0–6 Zalgiris (6 last)

Zalgiris98-80Nevezis
Nevezis67-91Zalgiris
Zalgiris88-73Nevezis
Nevezis68-94Zalgiris
Zalgiris105-88Nevezis
Nevezis80-84Zalgiris

Model analysis

Estimated points172.4Nevezis 80.8 · Zalgiris 91.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zalgiris (rating 1357 vs 1662).
Zalgiris is a clear favourite (78% market).
H2H favours Zalgiris: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Nevezis	Zalgiris
Points F\|A (Last 10)	79.8 / 96.6	97.4 / 76
Points F\|A (Last 5)	74.4 / 96.6	96.8 / 74.6
Est. result	81	92

Est. total172.4

Line O/U171.5

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 171.51.88

Under 171.51.85

Diff.: 3.4 · Est. total: 174.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:50

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	10.36 → 10.36	Pinn 10.36
2	1.02 → 1.02	Pinn 1.02

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	2
16:09 +41’	10.36	1.02

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nevezis 0–0–6 Zalgiris

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Lithuania LKL	Zalgiris	98-80	Nevezis
18/02/26 Lithuania LKL	Nevezis	67-91	Zalgiris
25/01/26 Lithuania LKL	Zalgiris	88-73	Nevezis
09/11/25 Lithuania LKL	Nevezis	68-94	Zalgiris
29/04/25 Lithuania LKL	Zalgiris	105-88	Nevezis
23/03/25 Lithuania LKL	Nevezis	80-84	Zalgiris

Standings · Lithuania LKL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Zalgiris	4	4	0	389	296
2	Gargzdu Gargzdai SC	4	3	1	359	357
3	Juventus	4	2	2	353	337
4	Neptunas	4	2	2	335	326
5	Siauliai	4	2	2	326	331
6	Lietkabelis	4	2	2	314	344
7	Jonava	3	1	2	238	239
8	Taurage	3	1	2	251	268
9	Rytas Vilnius	1	0	1	102	105
10	Nevezis	3	0	3	204	268

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nevezis	Zalgiris
Neptunas	62-89 L	93-69 W
Juventus	77-94 L	95-77 W
Siauliai	75-95 L	101-82 W
Gargzdu Gargzdai SC	85-90 L	98-77 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Zalgiris (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nevezis

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	62-89	L
27/09	Juventus Lithuania LKL	77-94	L
22/09	Jonava Lithuania LKL	65-85	L
17/05	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	80-98	L
13/05	Rytas Vilnius Lithuania LKL	88-117	L
09/05	Juventus Lithuania LKL	95-98	L
03/05	Siauliai Lithuania LKL	75-95	L
26/04	Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL	85-90	L
23/04	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	82-110	L
18/04	Jonava Lithuania LKL	89-90	L

Zalgiris

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/10	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	97-68	W
27/09	Siauliai Lithuania LKL	101-82	W
20/09	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	93-69	W
17/09	Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL	98-77	W
12/06	Juventus Lithuania LKL	95-77	W
09/06	Juventus Lithuania LKL	100-69	W
07/06	Juventus Lithuania LKL	107-75	W
31/05	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	103-93	W
28/05	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	95-75	W
26/05	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	85-75	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nevezis vs Zalgiris?

Our model gives 78% to Zalgiris.

How many points are expected in Nevezis vs Zalgiris?

The model estimates 172.4 total points (Nevezis 80.8 · Zalgiris 91.6).