Basketball · Lithuania LKL · 04/10, 15:50
Prediction: Zalgiris vs Lietkabelis
Team pages: Zalgiris · Lietkabelis
Prediction summary
Estimated points
164.1Total
Zalgiris88.7
Lietkabelis75.4
1X2
Zalgiris
Lietkabelis
Recent form · 10 last
Zalgiris
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Lietkabelis
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zalgiris
6–0
Lietkabelis
(6 last)
- Zalgiris103-93Lietkabelis
- Lietkabelis75-95Zalgiris
- Zalgiris85-75Lietkabelis
- Zalgiris87-70Lietkabelis
- Lietkabelis82-94Zalgiris
- Lietkabelis77-81Zalgiris
Model analysis
Estimated points164.1Zalgiris 88.7 · Lietkabelis 75.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zalgiris (rating 1653 vs 1471).
- Zalgiris is a clear favourite (83% market).
- H2H favours Zalgiris: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Zalgiris | Lietkabelis | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 96.7 / 76.7 | 78.7 / 84.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 97.4 / 74.8 | 78.2 / 80.8 |
| Est. result | 89 | 75 |
Est. total164.1
Line O/U164.5
Diff.0.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zalgiris 6–0–0 Lietkabelis
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Lithuania LKL | Zalgiris | 103-93 | Lietkabelis |
| 28/05/26 Lithuania LKL | Lietkabelis | 75-95 | Zalgiris |
| 26/05/26 Lithuania LKL | Zalgiris | 85-75 | Lietkabelis |
| 10/05/26 Lithuania LKL | Zalgiris | 87-70 | Lietkabelis |
| 04/04/26 Lithuania LKL | Lietkabelis | 82-94 | Zalgiris |
| 23/11/25 Lithuania LKL | Lietkabelis | 77-81 | Zalgiris |
Standings · Lithuania LKL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zalgiris | 3 | 3 | 0 | 292 | 228 | 0 |
| 2 | Lietkabelis | 3 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 247 | 0 |
| 2 | Gargzdu Gargzdai SC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 254 | 255 | 0 |
| 4 | Jonava | 2 | 1 | 1 | 175 | 160 | 0 |
| 5 | Juventus | 3 | 1 | 2 | 260 | 260 | 0 |
| 6 | Taurage | 2 | 1 | 1 | 174 | 175 | 0 |
| 7 | Neptunas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 246 | 264 | 0 |
| 8 | Siauliai | 3 | 1 | 2 | 247 | 268 | 0 |
| 9 | Nevezis | 2 | 0 | 2 | 142 | 179 | 0 |
| 10 | Rytas Vilnius | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zalgiris | Lietkabelis |
|---|---|---|
| Siauliai | 101-82 W | 77-86 L |
| Neptunas | 93-69 W | 82-91 L |
| Juventus | 95-77 W | 84-82 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Zalgiris (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zalgiris
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Siauliai Lithuania LKL |
101-82 | W |
| 20/09 | Neptunas Lithuania LKL |
93-69 | W |
| 17/09 | Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL |
98-77 | W |
| 12/06 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
95-77 | W |
| 09/06 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
100-69 | W |
| 07/06 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
107-75 | W |
| 31/05 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
103-93 | W |
| 28/05 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
95-75 | W |
| 26/05 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
85-75 | W |
| 22/05 | Jonava Lithuania LKL |
90-75 | W |
Lietkabelis
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Taurage Lithuania LKL |
85-79 | W |
| 23/09 | Siauliai Lithuania LKL |
77-86 | L |
| 19/09 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
84-82 | W |
| 13/06 | Neptunas Lithuania LKL |
82-91 | L |
| 11/06 | Neptunas Lithuania LKL |
63-66 | L |
| 08/06 | Neptunas Lithuania LKL |
80-68 | W |
| 06/06 | Neptunas Lithuania LKL |
73-86 | L |
| 31/05 | Zalgiris Lithuania LKL |
93-103 | L |
| 28/05 | Zalgiris Lithuania LKL |
75-95 | L |
| 26/05 | Zalgiris Lithuania LKL |
75-85 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zalgiris vs Lietkabelis?
Our model gives 83% to Zalgiris.
How many points are expected in Zalgiris vs Lietkabelis?
The model estimates 164.1 total points (Zalgiris 88.7 · Lietkabelis 75.4).