Basketball · Lithuania LKL · 25/10, 18:10

Prediction: Neptunas vs Siauliai

Team pages: Neptunas · Siauliai

Prediction summary

Estimated points

167.8Total

Neptunas86.6

Siauliai81.2

1X2

65% 35%

Neptunas Siauliai

Recent form · 10 last

Neptunas 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWLWLW

Siauliai 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWLWWL

Head-to-head

Neptunas 2–4 Siauliai (6 last)

Neptunas98-83Siauliai
Siauliai81-90Neptunas
Neptunas101-103Siauliai
Siauliai89-85Neptunas
Neptunas90-95Siauliai
Siauliai91-78Neptunas

Model analysis

Estimated points167.8Neptunas 86.6 · Siauliai 81.2

Match keys

Neptunas is a clear favourite (65% market).
H2H favours Siauliai: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Neptunas	Siauliai
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.7 / 79.3	79.5 / 82.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	85.4 / 80.4	83.6 / 81.4
Est. result	87	81

Est. total167.8

Line O/U168

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1681.88

Under 1681.85

Diff.: 7 · Est. total: 161

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.35 → 1.35	Pinn 1.35
2	2.95 → 2.95	Pinn 2.95

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 8.2%

Time*	1	2
19:43 +36’	1.35	2.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Neptunas 2–0–4 Siauliai

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Lithuania LKL	Neptunas	98-83	Siauliai
08/03/26 Lithuania LKL	Siauliai	81-90	Neptunas
28/12/25 Lithuania LKL	Neptunas	101-103	Siauliai
02/11/25 Lithuania LKL	Siauliai	89-85	Neptunas
27/04/25 Lithuania LKL	Neptunas	90-95	Siauliai
22/03/25 Lithuania LKL	Siauliai	91-78	Neptunas

Standings · Lithuania LKL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Zalgiris	6	6	0	565	448
2	Gargzdu Gargzdai SC	6	4	2	551	539
3	Rytas Vilnius	4	3	1	362	341
4	Juventus	6	3	3	524	510
5	Neptunas	6	3	3	496	495
6	Siauliai	6	3	3	497	497
7	Lietkabelis	6	3	3	452	487
8	Jonava	5	2	3	392	388
9	Taurage	6	1	5	480	545
10	Nevezis	5	0	5	352	421

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Neptunas	Siauliai
Jonava	84-83 W	79-63 W
Rytas Vilnius	77-86 L	88-95 L
Gargzdu Gargzdai SC	78-87 L	79-90 L
Juventus	99-84 W	83-71 W
Zalgiris	69-93 L	82-101 L
Lietkabelis	91-82 W	86-77 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Siauliai (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Neptunas

WLWWLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Jonava Lithuania LKL	84-83	W
10/10	Rytas Vilnius Lithuania LKL	77-86	L
03/10	Nevezis Lithuania LKL	89-62	W
26/09	Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL	78-87	L
23/09	Juventus Lithuania LKL	99-84	W
20/09	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	69-93	L
13/06	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	91-82	W
11/06	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	66-63	W
08/06	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	68-80	L
06/06	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	86-73	W

Siauliai

LWLLLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Rytas Vilnius Lithuania LKL	88-95	L
11/10	Juventus Lithuania LKL	83-71	W
03/10	Jonava Lithuania LKL	79-63	W
27/09	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	82-101	L
23/09	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	86-77	W
20/09	Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL	79-90	L
22/05	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	77-93	L
20/05	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	84-85	L
16/05	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	67-64	W
09/05	Jonava Lithuania LKL	70-86	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Neptunas vs Siauliai?

Our model gives 65% to Neptunas.

How many points are expected in Neptunas vs Siauliai?

The model estimates 167.8 total points (Neptunas 86.6 · Siauliai 81.2).