Basketball · Lithuania LKL · 25/10, 15:50

Prediction: Zalgiris vs Jonava

Team pages: Zalgiris · Jonava

Prediction summary

Estimated points

171.4Total

Zalgiris93.6

Jonava77.8

1X2

87% 13%

Zalgiris Jonava

Recent form · 10 last

Zalgiris 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Jonava 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLWLWL

Head-to-head

Zalgiris 6–0 Jonava (6 last)

Jonava75-90Zalgiris
Zalgiris102-82Jonava
Jonava84-101Zalgiris
Zalgiris97-90Jonava
Zalgiris104-91Jonava
Zalgiris89-63Jonava

Model analysis

Estimated points171.4Zalgiris 93.6 · Jonava 77.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zalgiris (rating 1644 vs 1402).
Zalgiris is a clear favourite (87% market).
H2H favours Zalgiris: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Zalgiris	Jonava
Points F\|A (Last 10)	97 / 76.2	81.4 / 84
Points F\|A (Last 5)	93.4 / 74.2	78.4 / 77.6
Est. result	94	78

Est. total171.4

Line O/U167.5

Diff.3.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 167.51.88

Under 167.51.86

Diff.: 1.8 · Est. total: 169.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:56

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.01 → 1.01	Pinn 1.01
2	12.32 → 12.32	Pinn 12.32

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	2
17:25 +31’	1.01	12.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zalgiris 6–0–0 Jonava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Lithuania LKL	Jonava	75-90	Zalgiris
20/05/26 Lithuania LKL	Zalgiris	102-82	Jonava
14/04/26 Lithuania LKL	Jonava	84-101	Zalgiris
08/03/26 Lithuania LKL	Zalgiris	97-90	Jonava
01/02/26 Lithuania LKL	Zalgiris	104-91	Jonava
17/01/26 Lithuania Cup	Zalgiris	89-63	Jonava

Standings · Lithuania LKL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Zalgiris	6	6	0	565	448
2	Gargzdu Gargzdai SC	6	4	2	551	539
3	Rytas Vilnius	4	3	1	362	341
4	Juventus	6	3	3	524	510
5	Neptunas	6	3	3	496	495
6	Siauliai	6	3	3	497	497
7	Lietkabelis	6	3	3	452	487
8	Jonava	5	2	3	392	388
9	Taurage	6	1	5	480	545
10	Nevezis	5	0	5	352	421

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zalgiris	Jonava
Nevezis	80-76 W	85-65 W
Lietkabelis	97-68 W	71-65 W
Siauliai	101-82 W	63-79 L
Neptunas	93-69 W	83-84 L
Juventus	95-77 W	90-95 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Zalgiris (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zalgiris

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Taurage Lithuania LKL	96-76	W
11/10	Nevezis Lithuania LKL	80-76	W
04/10	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	97-68	W
27/09	Siauliai Lithuania LKL	101-82	W
20/09	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	93-69	W
17/09	Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL	98-77	W
12/06	Juventus Lithuania LKL	95-77	W
09/06	Juventus Lithuania LKL	100-69	W
07/06	Juventus Lithuania LKL	107-75	W
31/05	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	103-93	W

Jonava

WLLLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	83-84	L
10/10	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	71-65	W
03/10	Siauliai Lithuania LKL	63-79	L
22/09	Nevezis Lithuania LKL	85-65	W
19/09	Taurages Taurage Lithuania LKL	90-95	L
22/05	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	75-90	L
20/05	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	82-102	L
17/05	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	89-95	L
12/05	Juventus Lithuania LKL	90-95	L
09/05	Siauliai Lithuania LKL	86-70	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zalgiris vs Jonava?

Our model gives 87% to Zalgiris.

How many points are expected in Zalgiris vs Jonava?

The model estimates 171.4 total points (Zalgiris 93.6 · Jonava 77.8).