Prediction: Lietkabelis vs Neptunas
Team pages: Lietkabelis · Neptunas
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
- Lietkabelis82-91Neptunas
- Neptunas66-63Lietkabelis
- Lietkabelis80-68Neptunas
- Neptunas86-73Lietkabelis
- Lietkabelis83-80Neptunas
- Neptunas96-87Lietkabelis
| Lietkabelis | Neptunas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Neptunas: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Lietkabelis | Neptunas | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 75.7 / 79.5 | 83.1 / 80.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 74.2 / 80.4 | 87.6 / 81.2 |
| Est. result | 82 | 81 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lietkabelis 2–0–4 Neptunas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Lithuania LKL | Lietkabelis | 82-91 | Neptunas |
| 11/06/26 Lithuania LKL | Neptunas | 66-63 | Lietkabelis |
| 08/06/26 Lithuania LKL | Lietkabelis | 80-68 | Neptunas |
| 06/06/26 Lithuania LKL | Neptunas | 86-73 | Lietkabelis |
| 26/04/26 Lithuania LKL | Lietkabelis | 83-80 | Neptunas |
| 28/03/26 Lithuania LKL | Neptunas | 96-87 | Lietkabelis |
Standings · Lithuania LKL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zalgiris | 7 | 7 | 0 | 651 | 511 | 0 |
| 2 | Gargzdu Gargzdai SC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 634 | 619 | 0 |
| 3 | Rytas Vilnius | 5 | 4 | 1 | 456 | 417 | 0 |
| 4 | Neptunas | 7 | 4 | 3 | 606 | 583 | 0 |
| 5 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 4 | 600 | 604 | 0 |
| 6 | Siauliai | 7 | 3 | 4 | 585 | 607 | 0 |
| 7 | Lietkabelis | 7 | 3 | 4 | 532 | 570 | 0 |
| 8 | Jonava | 6 | 2 | 4 | 455 | 474 | 0 |
| 9 | Taurage | 7 | 2 | 5 | 560 | 621 | 0 |
| 10 | Nevezis | 6 | 0 | 6 | 428 | 501 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lietkabelis | Neptunas |
|---|---|---|
| Gargzdu Gargzdai SC | 80-83 L | 78-87 L |
| Nevezis | 73-72 W | 89-62 W |
| Jonava | 65-71 L | 84-83 W |
| Zalgiris | 68-97 L | 69-93 L |
| Siauliai | 77-86 L | 110-88 W |
| Juventus | 84-82 W | 99-84 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Neptunas (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lietkabelis
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL |
80-83 | L |
| 17/10 | Nevezis Lithuania LKL |
73-72 | W |
| 10/10 | Jonava Lithuania LKL |
65-71 | L |
| 04/10 | Zalgiris Lithuania LKL |
68-97 | L |
| 26/09 | Taurage Lithuania LKL |
85-79 | W |
| 23/09 | Siauliai Lithuania LKL |
77-86 | L |
| 19/09 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
84-82 | W |
| 13/06 | Neptunas Lithuania LKL |
82-91 | L |
| 11/06 | Neptunas Lithuania LKL |
63-66 | L |
| 08/06 | Neptunas Lithuania LKL |
80-68 | W |
Neptunas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Siauliai Lithuania LKL |
110-88 | W |
| 17/10 | Jonava Lithuania LKL |
84-83 | W |
| 10/10 | Rytas Vilnius Lithuania LKL |
77-86 | L |
| 03/10 | Nevezis Lithuania LKL |
89-62 | W |
| 26/09 | Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL |
78-87 | L |
| 23/09 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
99-84 | W |
| 20/09 | Zalgiris Lithuania LKL |
69-93 | L |
| 13/06 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
91-82 | W |
| 11/06 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
66-63 | W |
| 08/06 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
68-80 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lietkabelis vs Neptunas?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Lietkabelis 53% · Neptunas 47%).
How many points are expected in Lietkabelis vs Neptunas?
The model estimates 162.3 total points (Lietkabelis 81.7 · Neptunas 80.6).