Basketball · Lithuania LKL · 31/10, 18:10

Prediction: Jonava vs Juventus

Team pages: Jonava · Juventus

Prediction summary

Estimated points

170.3Total

Jonava83.7

Juventus86.5

1X2

42% 58%

Jonava Juventus

Recent form · 10 last

Jonava 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Juventus 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Jonava 2–4 Juventus (6 last)

Jonava90-95Juventus
Juventus85-86Jonava
Juventus104-95Jonava
Jonava82-80Juventus
Jonava82-98Juventus
Juventus97-83Jonava

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jonava 1448 · Juventus 1459

	Jonava	Juventus
Our model	61%	39%
Market	37%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 170.3 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · +2.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points170.3Jonava 83.7 · Juventus 86.5

Match keys

H2H favours Juventus: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Jonava	Juventus
Points F\|A (Last 10)	79.1 / 85.6	82.1 / 90.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	73 / 75.8	86.8 / 84.2
Est. result	84	87

Est. total170.3

Line O/U167.5

Diff.2.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.55

21.48

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.83

2 (-4.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 167.51.83

Under 167.51.83

Diff.: 1.2 · Est. total: 168.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
2	1.48 → 1.48	Pinn 1.48 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7% Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	2
11:42 +9’	2.55	1.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:56 +9’	2.22	1.61
08:32 +16’	2.38▲	1.53▼
06:44 +12’	2.50▲	1.48▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jonava 2–0–4 Juventus

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/05/26 Lithuania LKL	Jonava	90-95	Juventus
11/04/26 Lithuania LKL	Juventus	85-86	Jonava
11/01/26 Lithuania LKL	Juventus	104-95	Jonava
19/11/25 Lithuania Cup	Jonava	82-80	Juventus
03/11/25 Lithuania LKL	Jonava	82-98	Juventus
15/10/25 Lithuania Cup	Juventus	97-83	Jonava

Standings · Lithuania LKL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Zalgiris	7	7	0	651	511
2	Gargzdu Gargzdai SC	7	5	2	634	619
3	Rytas Vilnius	5	4	1	456	417
4	Neptunas	7	4	3	606	583
5	Juventus	7	3	4	600	604
6	Siauliai	7	3	4	585	607
7	Lietkabelis	7	3	4	532	570
8	Jonava	6	2	4	455	474
9	Taurage	7	2	5	560	621
10	Nevezis	6	0	6	428	501

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jonava	Juventus
Zalgiris	63-86 L	77-95 L
Neptunas	83-84 L	84-99 L
Lietkabelis	71-65 W	82-84 L
Siauliai	63-79 L	71-83 L
Nevezis	85-65 W	94-77 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Jonava (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jonava

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	63-86	L
17/10	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	83-84	L
10/10	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	71-65	W
03/10	Siauliai Lithuania LKL	63-79	L
22/09	Nevezis Lithuania LKL	85-65	W
19/09	Taurages Taurage Lithuania LKL	90-95	L
22/05	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	75-90	L
20/05	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	82-102	L
17/05	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	89-95	L
12/05	Juventus Lithuania LKL	90-95	L

Juventus

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Rytas Vilnius Lithuania LKL	76-94	L
18/10	Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL	100-90	W
11/10	Siauliai Lithuania LKL	71-83	L
04/10	Taurage Lithuania LKL	93-77	W
27/09	Nevezis Lithuania LKL	94-77	W
23/09	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	84-99	L
19/09	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	82-84	L
12/06	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	77-95	L
09/06	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	69-100	L
07/06	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	75-107	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jonava vs Juventus?

Our model gives 58% to Juventus.

How many points are expected in Jonava vs Juventus?

The model estimates 170.3 total points (Jonava 83.7 · Juventus 86.5).