Basketball · Spain Segunda FEB · 01/11, 12:00

Prediction: Castello vs Iraurgi

Team pages: Castello · Iraurgi

Prediction summary

Estimated points

156.3Total

Castello80.7

Iraurgi75.7

1X2

64% 36%

Castello Iraurgi

Recent form · 10 last

Castello 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Iraurgi 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Castello 6–0 Iraurgi (6 last)

Castello80-70Iraurgi
Iraurgi75-92Castello
Iraurgi75-85Castello
Castello92-83Iraurgi
Castello78-67Iraurgi
Iraurgi71-96Castello

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Castello 1487 · Iraurgi 1444

	Castello	Iraurgi
Our model	68%	32%
Market	63%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 156.3 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · -2.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points156.3Castello 80.7 · Iraurgi 75.7

Match keys

H2H favours Castello: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Castello	Iraurgi
Points F\|A (Last 10)	73.3 / 75.7	83.5 / 82.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	70.8 / 75.4	79.4 / 86.8
Est. result	81	76

Est. total156.3

Line O/U158.5

Diff.2.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.48

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.83

2 (+4.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 158.51.83

Under 158.51.83

Diff.: 1 · Est. total: 157.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
2	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 3.12 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7% Pinnacle margin 13.8%

Time*	1	2
16:38 +5’	1.48	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:21	1.22	3.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Castello 6–0–0 Iraurgi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/03/23 Spain Primera FEB	Castello	80-70	Iraurgi
03/12/22 Spain Primera FEB	Iraurgi	75-92	Castello
27/03/22 Spain Primera FEB	Iraurgi	75-85	Castello
19/11/21 Spain Primera FEB	Castello	92-83	Iraurgi
09/03/18 Spain Primera FEB	Castello	78-67	Iraurgi
19/11/17 Spain Primera FEB	Iraurgi	71-96	Castello

Standings · Spain Segunda FEB · Segunda FEB 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cb Zaragoza	4	4	0	361	306	8
2	Cartagena	4	3	1	354	356	7
3	Huesca	4	3	1	371	344	7
4	Prat	4	3	1	329	301	7
5	CB Benicarlo	3	3	0	227	194	6
6	Logrono	4	2	2	329	320	6
7	UPB Gandia	4	2	2	332	332	6
8	EB Lliria	4	2	2	281	292	6
9	CB Sant Antoni	3	2	1	245	208	5
10	Castello	4	1	3	288	309	5
11	Iraurgi	4	1	3	321	347	5
12	Clavijo	4	1	3	291	319	5
13	Molina Basket	4	0	4	270	307	4
14	Bisbal	4	0	4	270	334	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Castello	Iraurgi
Bisbal	68-55 W	85-80 W
Cb Zaragoza	65-75 L	73-92 L
UPB Gandia	88-94 L	77-82 L
Albacete	66-68 L	76-87 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Castello (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Castello

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	CB Sant Antoni Spain Segunda FEB	67-85	L
17/10	Bisbal Spain Segunda FEB	68-55	W
11/10	Cb Zaragoza Spain Segunda FEB	65-75	L
03/10	UPB Gandia Spain Segunda FEB	88-94	L
31/05	Albacete Spain Segunda FEB	66-68	L
24/05	Albacete Spain Segunda FEB	64-70	L
17/05	EB Lliria Spain Segunda FEB	75-74	W
09/05	EB Lliria Spain Segunda FEB	82-72	W
03/05	Cordoba Spain Segunda FEB	83-59	W
25/04	Cordoba Spain Segunda FEB	75-105	L

Iraurgi

WWLWLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Bisbal Spain Segunda FEB	85-80	W
18/10	Cb Zaragoza Spain Segunda FEB	73-92	L
11/10	UPB Gandia Spain Segunda FEB	77-82	L
03/10	Cartagena Spain Segunda FEB	86-93	L
17/05	Albacete Spain Segunda FEB	76-87	L
10/05	Albacete Spain Segunda FEB	60-80	L
03/05	Huesca Spain Segunda FEB	103-75	W
25/04	Huesca Spain Segunda FEB	73-81	L
18/04	Valladolid Spain Segunda FEB	100-84	W
12/04	Jaen CB Spain Segunda FEB	102-71	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Castello vs Iraurgi?

Our model gives 64% to Castello.

How many points are expected in Castello vs Iraurgi?

The model estimates 156.3 total points (Castello 80.7 · Iraurgi 75.7).