Basketball · Spain Segunda FEB · 08/11, 20:00

Prediction: Spanish Basketball Academy vs CB Toledo

Team pages: Spanish Basketball Academy · CB Toledo

Prediction summary

Estimated points

157.6Total

Spanish Basketball Academy78.8

CB Toledo78.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

50% 50%

Spanish Basketball Academy CB Toledo

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Spanish Basketball Academy 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLLLWL

CB Toledo 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLWWLW

Head-to-head

Spanish Basketball Academy 1–1 CB Toledo (2 last)

CB Toledo96-85Spanish Basketball Academy
CB Toledo62-70Spanish Basketball Academy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Spanish Basketball Academy 1522 · CB Toledo 1529

	Spanish Basketball Academy	CB Toledo
Our model	62%	38%
Market	47%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 157.6 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · +3.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points157.6Spanish Basketball Academy 78.8 · CB Toledo 78.8

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Spanish Basketball Academy	CB Toledo
Points F\|A (Last 10)	77 / 76.4	79 / 77.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	76.6 / 79.2	85.2 / 82
Est. result	79	79

Est. total157.6

Line O/U154.5

Diff.3.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.95

21.74

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.83

2 (-1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 154.51.83

Under 154.51.83

Diff.: 0.4 · Est. total: 154.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
2	1.74 → 1.74	Pinn 1.97 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	2
17:01 +2’	1.95	1.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
16:09 +55’	1.65	1.97

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Spanish Basketball Academy 1–0–1 CB Toledo

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 Copa Espana	CB Toledo	96-85	Spanish Basketball Academy
27/09/25 Copa Espana	CB Toledo	62-70	Spanish Basketball Academy

Standings · Spain Segunda FEB · Segunda FEB 26/27, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Melilla	5	5	0	421	359	10
2	Caceres	5	4	1	424	378	9
3	CD Leonesa Basket	5	4	1	428	401	9
4	Moron	5	3	2	397	393	8
5	CB Toledo	5	3	2	426	410	8
6	Valladolid	5	3	2	428	378	8
7	Ponferrada	5	3	2	408	396	8
8	Algeciras	5	2	3	398	414	7
9	Jaen CB	5	2	3	391	405	7
10	Tres Cantos	5	2	3	359	403	7
11	Spanish Basketball Academy	5	1	4	383	396	6
12	Estudiantes 2	5	1	4	361	401	6
13	CB Getafe	5	1	4	376	388	6
14	Baloncesto Ciudad de Badajoz	5	1	4	367	445	6

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Spanish Basketball Academy	CB Toledo
Moron	71-74 L	81-90 L
Estudiantes 2	79-69 W	86-78 W
Clavijo	82-53 W	75-70 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Spanish Basketball Academy (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Spanish Basketball Academy

WLWWLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Moron Spain Segunda FEB	71-74	L
25/10	Estudiantes 2 Spain Segunda FEB	79-69	W
17/10	Tres Cantos Spain Segunda FEB	70-75	L
11/10	CD Leonesa Basket Spain Segunda FEB	77-84	L
03/10	Ponferrada Spain Segunda FEB	86-94	L
16/05	Caja 87s Spain Segunda FEB	68-81	L
09/05	Caja 87s Spain Segunda FEB	89-80	W
02/05	Clavijo Spain Segunda FEB	82-53	W
25/04	Clavijo Spain Segunda FEB	63-74	L
18/04	UPB Gandia Spain Segunda FEB	85-80	W

CB Toledo

LLWWLLWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Jaen CB Spain Segunda FEB	93-81	W
25/10	Moron Spain Segunda FEB	81-90	L
18/10	Algeciras Spain Segunda FEB	100-79	W
10/10	Estudiantes 2 Spain Segunda FEB	86-78	W
04/10	Caceres Spain Segunda FEB	66-82	L
18/04	Caceres Spain Segunda FEB	75-77	L
12/04	Cordoba Spain Segunda FEB	66-64	W
05/04	Clavijo Spain Segunda FEB	75-70	W
28/03	Circulo Gijon Spain Segunda FEB	74-78	L
22/03	Moron Spain Segunda FEB	74-75	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Spanish Basketball Academy vs CB Toledo?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Spanish Basketball Academy 50% · CB Toledo 50%).

How many points are expected in Spanish Basketball Academy vs CB Toledo?

The model estimates 157.6 total points (Spanish Basketball Academy 78.8 · CB Toledo 78.8).