Basketball · Spain Segunda FEB · 07/11, 19:00

Prediction: Caceres vs CD Leonesa Basket

Team pages: Caceres

Prediction summary

Estimated points

165.2Total

Caceres86.3

CD Leonesa Basket78.9

1X2

70% 30%

Caceres CD Leonesa Basket

Recent form · 10 last

Caceres 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWWLWW

CD Leonesa Basket 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWLWW

Head-to-head

Caceres 2–2 CD Leonesa Basket (4 last)

CD Leonesa Basket96-102Caceres
Caceres57-79CD Leonesa Basket
Caceres76-59CD Leonesa Basket
CD Leonesa Basket75-68Caceres

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Caceres 1548 · CD Leonesa Basket 1547

	Caceres	CD Leonesa Basket
Our model	63%	37%
Market	71%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 165.2 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · +2.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points165.2Caceres 86.3 · CD Leonesa Basket 78.9

Match keys

Caceres is a clear favourite (70% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Caceres	CD Leonesa Basket
Points F\|A (Last 10)	79 / 78.5	84.7 / 79.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	84.8 / 75.6	85.6 / 80.2
Est. result	86	79

Est. total165.2

Line O/U162.5

Diff.2.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.30

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.83

2 (+7.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 162.51.83

Under 162.51.83

Diff.: 1.55 · Est. total: 160.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
2	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.46 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5% Pinnacle margin 14.4%

Time*	1	2
14:52 +8’	1.30	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
13:10 +44’	1.25	3.00
14:16 +44’	1.17▼	3.46▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Caceres 2–0–2 CD Leonesa Basket

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/01/26 Spain Segunda FEB	CD Leonesa Basket	96-102	Caceres
11/10/25 Spain Segunda FEB	Caceres	57-79	CD Leonesa Basket
02/02/25 Spain Segunda FEB	Caceres	76-59	CD Leonesa Basket
20/10/24 Spain Segunda FEB	CD Leonesa Basket	75-68	Caceres

Standings · Spain Segunda FEB · Segunda FEB 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Melilla	5	5	0	421	359	10
2	Caceres	5	4	1	424	378	9
3	CD Leonesa Basket	5	4	1	428	401	9
4	Moron	5	3	2	397	393	8
5	CB Toledo	5	3	2	426	410	8
6	Valladolid	5	3	2	428	378	8
7	Ponferrada	5	3	2	408	396	8
8	Algeciras	5	2	3	398	414	7
9	Jaen CB	5	2	3	391	405	7
10	Tres Cantos	5	2	3	359	403	7
11	Spanish Basketball Academy	5	1	4	383	396	6
12	Estudiantes 2	5	1	4	361	401	6
13	CB Getafe	5	1	4	376	388	6
14	Baloncesto Ciudad de Badajoz	5	1	4	367	445	6

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Caceres

LWWLLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Ponferrada Spain Segunda FEB	90-78	W
24/10	Valladolid Spain Segunda FEB	84-79	W
18/10	Jaen CB Spain Segunda FEB	82-84	L
10/10	Algeciras Spain Segunda FEB	86-71	W
04/10	CB Toledo Spain Segunda FEB	82-66	W
02/05	CB Sant Antoni Spain Segunda FEB	61-93	L
25/04	CB Sant Antoni Spain Segunda FEB	72-84	L
18/04	CB Toledo Spain Segunda FEB	77-75	W
11/04	Valladolid Spain Segunda FEB	98-85	W
04/04	Cordoba Spain Segunda FEB	58-70	L

CD Leonesa Basket

WWLWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Baloncesto Ciudad de Badajoz Spain Segunda FEB	83-72	W
24/10	CB Getafe Spain Segunda FEB	86-83	W
18/10	Melilla Spain Segunda FEB	92-96	L
11/10	Spanish Basketball Academy Spain Segunda FEB	84-77	W
04/10	Moron Spain Segunda FEB	83-73	W
18/04	Clavijo Spain Segunda FEB	88-91	L
11/04	Circulo Gijon Spain Segunda FEB	85-73	W
05/04	Moron Spain Segunda FEB	83-93	L
29/03	Logrono Spain Segunda FEB	68-56	W
22/03	Iraurgi Spain Segunda FEB	95-83	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Caceres vs CD Leonesa Basket?

Our model gives 70% to Caceres.

How many points are expected in Caceres vs CD Leonesa Basket?

The model estimates 165.2 total points (Caceres 86.3 · CD Leonesa Basket 78.9).