Basketball · Spain Segunda FEB · 08/11, 12:00

Prediction: Clavijo vs Molina Basket

Team pages: Clavijo · Molina Basket

Prediction summary

Estimated points

148.5Total

Clavijo77.3

Molina Basket71.2

1X2

67% 33%

Clavijo Molina Basket

Recent form · 10 last

Clavijo 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Molina Basket 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Clavijo 1470 · Molina Basket 1400

	Clavijo	Molina Basket
Our model	72%	28%
Market	66%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 148.5 points · Bet365 line 145.5 · +3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points148.5Clavijo 77.3 · Molina Basket 71.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clavijo (rating 1470 vs 1400).
Clavijo is a clear favourite (67% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Clavijo	Molina Basket
Points F\|A (Last 10)	72.5 / 76.6	67.7 / 75.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	70.4 / 78	67.6 / 75.4
Est. result	77	71

Est. total148.5

Line O/U145.5

Diff.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.42

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.83

2 (+5.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 145.51.83

Under 145.51.83

Diff.: 0.6 · Est. total: 146.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
2	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 3.00 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7% Pinnacle margin 13.5%

Time*	1	2
16:44 +2’	1.42	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
16:09 +37’	1.25	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · Spain Segunda FEB · Segunda FEB 26/27, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cb Zaragoza	5	5	0	438	363	10
2	CB Benicarlo	4	4	0	309	268	8
3	Huesca	5	3	2	443	418	8
4	Cartagena	5	3	2	428	438	8
5	Prat	5	3	2	386	378	8
6	UPB Gandia	5	3	2	406	404	8
7	EB Lliria	5	3	2	351	360	8
8	CB Sant Antoni	4	3	1	316	269	7
9	Logrono	5	2	3	405	401	7
10	Iraurgi	5	2	3	401	421	7
11	Castello	5	1	4	362	389	6
12	Bisbal	5	1	4	351	410	6
13	Clavijo	5	1	4	352	390	6
14	Molina Basket	5	0	5	338	377	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Clavijo	Molina Basket
EB Lliria	65-59 W	68-70 L
CB Benicarlo	76-89 L	57-65 L
Huesca	87-90 L	74-83 L
Prat	63-81 L	72-78 L
Spanish Basketball Academy	53-82 L	58-77 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Molina Basket (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Clavijo

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	CB Sant Antoni Spain Segunda FEB	61-71	L
24/10	EB Lliria Spain Segunda FEB	65-59	W
18/10	CB Benicarlo Spain Segunda FEB	76-89	L
10/10	Huesca Spain Segunda FEB	87-90	L
04/10	Prat Spain Segunda FEB	63-81	L
02/05	Spanish Basketball Academy Spain Segunda FEB	53-82	L
25/04	Spanish Basketball Academy Spain Segunda FEB	74-63	W
18/04	CD Leonesa Basket Spain Segunda FEB	91-88	W
12/04	CB Valle De Egues Spain Segunda FEB	85-68	W
05/04	CB Toledo Spain Segunda FEB	70-75	L

Molina Basket

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	EB Lliria Spain Segunda FEB	68-70	L
25/10	CB Benicarlo Spain Segunda FEB	57-65	L
17/10	Huesca Spain Segunda FEB	74-83	L
11/10	Prat Spain Segunda FEB	72-78	L
03/10	Logrono Spain Segunda FEB	67-81	L
02/05	Jaen CB Spain Segunda FEB	93-82	W
26/04	Jaen CB Spain Segunda FEB	61-69	L
18/04	CB Getafe Spain Segunda FEB	75-67	W
11/04	UPB Gandia Spain Segunda FEB	52-82	L
04/04	Spanish Basketball Academy Spain Segunda FEB	58-77	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Clavijo vs Molina Basket?

Our model gives 67% to Clavijo.

How many points are expected in Clavijo vs Molina Basket?

The model estimates 148.5 total points (Clavijo 77.3 · Molina Basket 71.2).