Basketball · Spain Segunda FEB · 08/11, 17:30
Prediction: Logrono vs Castello
Team pages: Logrono · Castello
Prediction summary
Estimated points
151.6Total
Logrono77.8
Castello73.8
1X2
Logrono
Castello
Recent form · 10 last
Logrono
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Castello
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Logrono 1493 · Castello 1462
| Logrono | Castello | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
151.6 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · -2.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points151.6Logrono 77.8 · Castello 73.8
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Logrono | Castello | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76.4 / 76.3 | 73.2 / 73.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 81 / 80.2 | 72.4 / 77.8 |
| Est. result | 78 | 74 |
Est. total151.6
Line O/U154.5
Diff.2.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Standings · Spain Segunda FEB · Segunda FEB 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cb Zaragoza | 5 | 5 | 0 | 438 | 363 | 10 |
| 2 | CB Benicarlo | 4 | 4 | 0 | 309 | 268 | 8 |
| 3 | Huesca | 5 | 3 | 2 | 443 | 418 | 8 |
| 4 | Cartagena | 5 | 3 | 2 | 428 | 438 | 8 |
| 5 | Prat | 5 | 3 | 2 | 386 | 378 | 8 |
| 6 | UPB Gandia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 406 | 404 | 8 |
| 7 | EB Lliria | 5 | 3 | 2 | 351 | 360 | 8 |
| 8 | CB Sant Antoni | 4 | 3 | 1 | 316 | 269 | 7 |
| 9 | Logrono | 5 | 2 | 3 | 405 | 401 | 7 |
| 10 | Iraurgi | 5 | 2 | 3 | 401 | 421 | 7 |
| 11 | Castello | 5 | 1 | 4 | 362 | 389 | 6 |
| 12 | Bisbal | 5 | 1 | 4 | 351 | 410 | 6 |
| 13 | Clavijo | 5 | 1 | 4 | 352 | 390 | 6 |
| 14 | Molina Basket | 5 | 0 | 5 | 338 | 377 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Logrono | Castello |
|---|---|---|
| Bisbal | 76-81 L | 68-55 W |
| Cb Zaragoza | 97-101 L | 65-75 L |
| UPB Gandia | 79-75 W | 88-94 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Logrono (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Logrono
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bisbal Spain Segunda FEB |
76-81 | L |
| 25/10 | Cb Zaragoza Spain Segunda FEB |
97-101 | L |
| 17/10 | UPB Gandia Spain Segunda FEB |
79-75 | W |
| 11/10 | Cartagena Spain Segunda FEB |
72-77 | L |
| 03/10 | Molina Basket Spain Segunda FEB |
81-67 | W |
| 18/04 | Jaen CB Spain Segunda FEB |
69-73 | L |
| 12/04 | Caja 87s Spain Segunda FEB |
68-70 | L |
| 04/04 | Ponferrada Spain Segunda FEB |
84-86 | L |
| 29/03 | CD Leonesa Basket Spain Segunda FEB |
56-68 | L |
| 21/03 | CB Valle De Egues Spain Segunda FEB |
82-65 | W |
Castello
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Iraurgi Spain Segunda FEB |
74-80 | L |
| 25/10 | CB Sant Antoni Spain Segunda FEB |
67-85 | L |
| 17/10 | Bisbal Spain Segunda FEB |
68-55 | W |
| 11/10 | Cb Zaragoza Spain Segunda FEB |
65-75 | L |
| 03/10 | UPB Gandia Spain Segunda FEB |
88-94 | L |
| 31/05 | Albacete Spain Segunda FEB |
66-68 | L |
| 24/05 | Albacete Spain Segunda FEB |
64-70 | L |
| 17/05 | EB Lliria Spain Segunda FEB |
75-74 | W |
| 09/05 | EB Lliria Spain Segunda FEB |
82-72 | W |
| 03/05 | Cordoba Spain Segunda FEB |
83-59 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Logrono vs Castello?
Our model gives 61% to Logrono.
How many points are expected in Logrono vs Castello?
The model estimates 151.6 total points (Logrono 77.8 · Castello 73.8).