Basketball · Italy Serie A2 · 04/10, 18:00
Prediction: Brindisi vs Urania Milano
Team pages: Brindisi
Prediction summary
Estimated points
156.5Total
Brindisi83
Urania Milano73.5
1X2
Brindisi
Urania Milano
Recent form · 10 last
Brindisi
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Urania Milano
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brindisi
2–2
Urania Milano
(4 last)
- Brindisi86-66Urania Milano
- Urania Milano79-80Brindisi
- Brindisi66-83Urania Milano
- Urania Milano74-63Brindisi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brindisi 1517 · Urania Milano 1426
| Brindisi | Urania Milano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
156.5 points · Bet365 line 149.5 · +7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points156.5Brindisi 83 · Urania Milano 73.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brindisi (rating 1517 vs 1426).
- Brindisi is a clear favourite (75% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Brindisi | Urania Milano | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 73 / 76.8 | 81.4 / 85.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 72.2 / 74.4 | 77.8 / 87.8 |
| Est. result | 83 | 74 |
Est. total156.5
Line O/U149.5
Diff.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brindisi 2–0–2 Urania Milano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 Italy Serie A2 | Brindisi | 86-66 | Urania Milano |
| 18/10/25 Italy Serie A2 | Urania Milano | 79-80 | Brindisi |
| 27/04/25 Italy Serie A2 | Brindisi | 66-83 | Urania Milano |
| 14/11/24 Italy Serie A2 | Urania Milano | 74-63 | Brindisi |
Standings · Italy Serie A2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertas Livorno | 2 | 2 | 0 | 151 | 111 | 4 |
| 2 | Forli | 2 | 2 | 0 | 165 | 141 | 4 |
| 3 | Rinascita Basket Rimini | 1 | 1 | 0 | 84 | 59 | 2 |
| 4 | Fortitudo Bologna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 92 | 70 | 2 |
| 5 | Del Fes Avellino | 1 | 1 | 0 | 87 | 69 | 2 |
| 6 | Pesaro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 96 | 81 | 2 |
| 7 | Real Sebastiani Rieti | 1 | 1 | 0 | 81 | 73 | 2 |
| 8 | Brindisi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 66 | 59 | 2 |
| 9 | Dinamo Sassari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 70 | 68 | 2 |
| 10 | Mestre | 2 | 1 | 1 | 128 | 145 | 2 |
| 11 | Pistoia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 62 | 63 | 0 |
| 12 | Urania Milano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 70 | 0 |
| 13 | Juvi Cremona | 1 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 66 | 0 |
| 14 | Juvecaserta 2021 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 73 | 81 | 0 |
| 15 | UEB Gesteco Cividale | 1 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 85 | 0 |
| 16 | Vigevano 1955 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 69 | 87 | 0 |
| 17 | Tramec Cento | 2 | 0 | 2 | 154 | 176 | 0 |
| 18 | Ruvo di Puglia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 70 | 92 | 0 |
| 19 | Torino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 57 | 79 | 0 |
| 20 | Montecatiniterme Basketball | 1 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 84 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brindisi | Urania Milano |
|---|---|---|
| Juvi Cremona | 66-59 W | 85-98 L |
| Verona | 69-77 L | 74-95 L |
| Ruvo di Puglia | 74-76 L | 110-86 W |
| Libertas Livorno | 76-75 W | 84-102 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Brindisi (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brindisi
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Juvi Cremona Italy Serie A2 |
66-59 | W |
| 14/05 | Verona Italy Serie A2 |
69-77 | L |
| 12/05 | Verona Italy Serie A2 |
77-70 | W |
| 09/05 | Verona Italy Serie A2 |
71-86 | L |
| 07/05 | Verona Italy Serie A2 |
78-80 | L |
| 26/04 | Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2 |
74-76 | L |
| 19/04 | Pistoia Italy Serie A2 |
71-79 | L |
| 12/04 | Fortitudo Bologna Italy Serie A2 |
71-81 | L |
| 08/04 | Scafati Italy Serie A2 |
77-85 | L |
| 04/04 | Libertas Livorno Italy Serie A2 |
76-75 | W |
Urania Milano
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Dinamo Sassari Italy Serie A2 |
68-70 | L |
| 29/04 | Libertas Livorno Italy Serie A2 |
84-102 | L |
| 26/04 | Verona Italy Serie A2 |
74-95 | L |
| 18/04 | Real Sebastiani Rieti Italy Serie A2 |
88-83 | W |
| 12/04 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
75-89 | L |
| 04/04 | Tramec Cento Italy Serie A2 |
67-65 | W |
| 28/03 | Torino Italy Serie A2 |
63-65 | L |
| 25/03 | Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2 |
110-86 | W |
| 22/03 | Juvi Cremona Italy Serie A2 |
85-98 | L |
| 06/03 | Del Fes Avellino Italy Serie A2 |
100-101 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brindisi vs Urania Milano?
Our model gives 75% to Brindisi.
How many points are expected in Brindisi vs Urania Milano?
The model estimates 156.5 total points (Brindisi 83 · Urania Milano 73.5).