Basketball · Italy Serie A2 · 11/10, 18:00
Prediction: Juvi Cremona vs Libertas Livorno
Team pages: Juvi Cremona · Libertas Livorno
Prediction summary
Estimated points
155Total
Juvi Cremona75.6
Libertas Livorno79.5
1X2
Juvi Cremona
Libertas Livorno
Recent form · 10 last
Juvi Cremona
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Libertas Livorno
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Juvi Cremona
2–2
Libertas Livorno
(4 last)
- Juvi Cremona79-76Libertas Livorno
- Libertas Livorno90-77Juvi Cremona
- Juvi Cremona107-95Libertas Livorno
- Libertas Livorno79-62Juvi Cremona
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juvi Cremona 1493 · Libertas Livorno 1523
| Juvi Cremona | Libertas Livorno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
Estimated total (ours)
155 points · Bet365 line 153.5 · +1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points155Juvi Cremona 75.6 · Libertas Livorno 79.5
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Juvi Cremona | Libertas Livorno | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 74.6 / 75.9 | 83.4 / 76.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 72 / 74.4 | 85.4 / 73 |
| Est. result | 76 | 80 |
Est. total155
Line O/U153.5
Diff.1.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juvi Cremona 2–0–2 Libertas Livorno
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Italy Serie A2 | Juvi Cremona | 79-76 | Libertas Livorno |
| 26/11/25 Italy Serie A2 | Libertas Livorno | 90-77 | Juvi Cremona |
| 12/04/25 Italy Serie A2 | Juvi Cremona | 107-95 | Libertas Livorno |
| 16/10/24 Italy Serie A2 | Libertas Livorno | 79-62 | Juvi Cremona |
Standings · Italy Serie A2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertas Livorno | 2 | 2 | 0 | 151 | 111 | 4 |
| 2 | Fortitudo Bologna | 2 | 2 | 0 | 175 | 151 | 4 |
| 3 | Forli | 2 | 2 | 0 | 165 | 141 | 4 |
| 4 | Real Sebastiani Rieti | 2 | 2 | 0 | 159 | 137 | 4 |
| 5 | Del Fes Avellino | 2 | 2 | 0 | 160 | 141 | 4 |
| 6 | Pesaro | 2 | 2 | 0 | 183 | 165 | 4 |
| 7 | Brindisi | 2 | 2 | 0 | 150 | 140 | 4 |
| 8 | Rinascita Basket Rimini | 2 | 1 | 1 | 156 | 132 | 2 |
| 9 | Montecatiniterme Basketball | 2 | 1 | 1 | 140 | 156 | 2 |
| 10 | UEB Gesteco Cividale | 2 | 1 | 1 | 154 | 168 | 2 |
| 11 | Torino | 2 | 1 | 1 | 141 | 156 | 2 |
| 12 | Dinamo Sassari | 2 | 1 | 1 | 142 | 149 | 2 |
| 13 | Urania Milano | 2 | 0 | 2 | 149 | 154 | 0 |
| 14 | Pistoia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 139 | 147 | 0 |
| 15 | Juvecaserta 2021 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 154 | 164 | 0 |
| 16 | Juvi Cremona | 2 | 0 | 2 | 143 | 153 | 0 |
| 17 | Mestre | 2 | 1 | 1 | 128 | 145 | 0 |
| 18 | Tramec Cento | 2 | 0 | 2 | 154 | 176 | 0 |
| 19 | Ruvo di Puglia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 153 | 178 | 0 |
| 20 | Vigevano 1955 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 133 | 165 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Juvi Cremona | Libertas Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| Pesaro | 84-87 L | 84-75 W |
| Brindisi | 59-66 L | 75-76 L |
| Mestre | 83-82 W | 88-49 W |
| Real Sebastiani Rieti | 53-80 L | 80-72 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Libertas Livorno (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juvi Cremona
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Pesaro Italy Serie A2 |
84-87 | L |
| 27/09 | Brindisi Italy Serie A2 |
59-66 | L |
| 03/05 | Del Fes Avellino Italy Serie A2 |
75-81 | L |
| 29/04 | Torino Italy Serie A2 |
59-56 | W |
| 26/04 | Mestre Italy Serie A2 |
83-82 | W |
| 19/04 | Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2 |
95-100 | L |
| 12/04 | Roseto Italy Serie A2 |
93-62 | W |
| 08/04 | Fortitudo Bologna Italy Serie A2 |
62-73 | L |
| 04/04 | Del Fes Avellino Italy Serie A2 |
83-72 | W |
| 25/03 | Real Sebastiani Rieti Italy Serie A2 |
53-80 | L |
Libertas Livorno
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Mestre Italy Serie A2 |
88-49 | W |
| 27/09 | Pistoia Italy Serie A2 |
63-62 | W |
| 03/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
90-95 | L |
| 29/04 | Urania Milano Italy Serie A2 |
102-84 | W |
| 26/04 | Pesaro Italy Serie A2 |
84-75 | W |
| 18/04 | Mestre Italy Serie A2 |
90-82 | W |
| 12/04 | Forli Italy Serie A2 |
86-91 | L |
| 08/04 | Real Sebastiani Rieti Italy Serie A2 |
80-72 | W |
| 04/04 | Brindisi Italy Serie A2 |
75-76 | L |
| 29/03 | UEB Gesteco Cividale Italy Serie A2 |
76-77 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juvi Cremona vs Libertas Livorno?
Our model gives 61% to Libertas Livorno.
How many points are expected in Juvi Cremona vs Libertas Livorno?
The model estimates 155 total points (Juvi Cremona 75.6 · Libertas Livorno 79.5).