Basketball · Italy Serie A2 · 11/10, 18:00
Prediction: Del Fes Avellino vs Forli
Team pages: Del Fes Avellino · Forli
Prediction summary
Estimated points
155Total
Del Fes Avellino79.3
Forli75.7
1X2
Del Fes Avellino
Forli
Recent form · 10 last
Del Fes Avellino
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Forli
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Del Fes Avellino
1–3
Forli
(4 last)
- Forli73-71Del Fes Avellino
- Del Fes Avellino90-79Forli
- Forli86-85Del Fes Avellino
- Del Fes Avellino64-73Forli
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Del Fes Avellino 1501 · Forli 1499
| Del Fes Avellino | Forli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
155 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points155Del Fes Avellino 79.3 · Forli 75.7
Match keys
- H2H favours Forli: 3-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Del Fes Avellino | Forli | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 73.3 / 75.3 | 76.8 / 83.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 74.4 / 74.4 | 78.8 / 81.8 |
| Est. result | 79 | 76 |
Est. total155
Line O/U154.5
Diff.0.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Del Fes Avellino 1–0–3 Forli
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/26 Italy Serie A2 | Forli | 73-71 | Del Fes Avellino |
| 14/12/25 Italy Serie A2 | Del Fes Avellino | 90-79 | Forli |
| 26/03/25 Italy Serie A2 | Forli | 86-85 | Del Fes Avellino |
| 20/10/24 Italy Serie A2 | Del Fes Avellino | 64-73 | Forli |
Standings · Italy Serie A2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertas Livorno | 2 | 2 | 0 | 151 | 111 | 4 |
| 2 | Fortitudo Bologna | 2 | 2 | 0 | 175 | 151 | 4 |
| 3 | Forli | 2 | 2 | 0 | 165 | 141 | 4 |
| 4 | Real Sebastiani Rieti | 2 | 2 | 0 | 159 | 137 | 4 |
| 5 | Del Fes Avellino | 2 | 2 | 0 | 160 | 141 | 4 |
| 6 | Pesaro | 2 | 2 | 0 | 183 | 165 | 4 |
| 7 | Brindisi | 2 | 2 | 0 | 150 | 140 | 4 |
| 8 | Rinascita Basket Rimini | 2 | 1 | 1 | 156 | 132 | 2 |
| 9 | Montecatiniterme Basketball | 2 | 1 | 1 | 140 | 156 | 2 |
| 10 | UEB Gesteco Cividale | 2 | 1 | 1 | 154 | 168 | 2 |
| 11 | Torino | 2 | 1 | 1 | 141 | 156 | 2 |
| 12 | Dinamo Sassari | 2 | 1 | 1 | 142 | 149 | 2 |
| 13 | Urania Milano | 2 | 0 | 2 | 149 | 154 | 0 |
| 14 | Pistoia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 139 | 147 | 0 |
| 15 | Juvecaserta 2021 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 154 | 164 | 0 |
| 16 | Juvi Cremona | 2 | 0 | 2 | 143 | 153 | 0 |
| 17 | Mestre | 2 | 1 | 1 | 128 | 145 | 0 |
| 18 | Tramec Cento | 2 | 0 | 2 | 154 | 176 | 0 |
| 19 | Ruvo di Puglia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 153 | 178 | 0 |
| 20 | Vigevano 1955 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 133 | 165 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Del Fes Avellino | Forli |
|---|---|---|
| Fortitudo Bologna | 61-93 L | 65-96 L |
| Roseto | 87-68 W | 89-81 W |
| Scafati | 71-93 L | 72-96 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Del Fes Avellino (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Del Fes Avellino
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
73-72 | W |
| 27/09 | Vigevano 1955 Italy Serie A2 |
87-69 | W |
| 17/05 | Fortitudo Bologna Italy Serie A2 |
61-93 | L |
| 14/05 | Fortitudo Bologna Italy Serie A2 |
76-67 | W |
| 12/05 | Fortitudo Bologna Italy Serie A2 |
75-71 | W |
| 09/05 | Fortitudo Bologna Italy Serie A2 |
64-69 | L |
| 07/05 | Fortitudo Bologna Italy Serie A2 |
58-76 | L |
| 03/05 | Juvi Cremona Italy Serie A2 |
81-75 | W |
| 26/04 | Roseto Italy Serie A2 |
87-68 | W |
| 19/04 | Scafati Italy Serie A2 |
71-93 | L |
Forli
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Tramec Cento Italy Serie A2 |
80-73 | W |
| 26/09 | UEB Gesteco Cividale Italy Serie A2 |
85-69 | W |
| 26/04 | Fortitudo Bologna Italy Serie A2 |
65-96 | L |
| 19/04 | Pesaro Italy Serie A2 |
73-85 | L |
| 12/04 | Libertas Livorno Italy Serie A2 |
91-86 | W |
| 08/04 | Verona Italy Serie A2 |
56-89 | L |
| 04/04 | Roseto Italy Serie A2 |
89-81 | W |
| 29/03 | Scafati Italy Serie A2 |
72-96 | L |
| 25/03 | Del Fes Avellino Italy Serie A2 |
73-71 | W |
| 22/03 | Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2 |
84-87 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Del Fes Avellino vs Forli?
Our model gives 60% to Del Fes Avellino.
How many points are expected in Del Fes Avellino vs Forli?
The model estimates 155 total points (Del Fes Avellino 79.3 · Forli 75.7).