Basketball · Italy Serie A2 · 10/10, 20:30
Prediction: Urania Milano vs Ruvo di Puglia
Team pages: Urania Milano · Ruvo di Puglia
Prediction summary
Estimated points
164.7Total
Urania Milano86
Ruvo di Puglia78.7
1X2
Urania Milano
Ruvo di Puglia
Recent form · 10 last
Urania Milano
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Ruvo di Puglia
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Urania Milano
2–0
Ruvo di Puglia
(2 last)
- Urania Milano110-86Ruvo di Puglia
- Ruvo di Puglia75-80Urania Milano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Urania Milano 1451 · Ruvo di Puglia 1449
| Urania Milano | Ruvo di Puglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
164.7 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · +5.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points164.7Urania Milano 86 · Ruvo di Puglia 78.7
Match keys
- Urania Milano is a clear favourite (70% market).
- H2H favours Urania Milano: 2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Urania Milano | Ruvo di Puglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.5 / 83.7 | 81 / 84.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79 / 86.8 | 81.4 / 90.6 |
| Est. result | 86 | 79 |
Est. total164.7
Line O/U159.5
Diff.5.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Urania Milano 2–0–0 Ruvo di Puglia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/26 Italy Serie A2 | Urania Milano | 110-86 | Ruvo di Puglia |
| 14/12/25 Italy Serie A2 | Ruvo di Puglia | 75-80 | Urania Milano |
Standings · Italy Serie A2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertas Livorno | 2 | 2 | 0 | 151 | 111 | 4 |
| 2 | Fortitudo Bologna | 2 | 2 | 0 | 175 | 151 | 4 |
| 3 | Forli | 2 | 2 | 0 | 165 | 141 | 4 |
| 4 | Real Sebastiani Rieti | 2 | 2 | 0 | 159 | 137 | 4 |
| 5 | Del Fes Avellino | 2 | 2 | 0 | 160 | 141 | 4 |
| 6 | Pesaro | 2 | 2 | 0 | 183 | 165 | 4 |
| 7 | Brindisi | 2 | 2 | 0 | 150 | 140 | 4 |
| 8 | Rinascita Basket Rimini | 2 | 1 | 1 | 156 | 132 | 2 |
| 9 | Montecatiniterme Basketball | 2 | 1 | 1 | 140 | 156 | 2 |
| 10 | UEB Gesteco Cividale | 2 | 1 | 1 | 154 | 168 | 2 |
| 11 | Torino | 2 | 1 | 1 | 141 | 156 | 2 |
| 12 | Dinamo Sassari | 2 | 1 | 1 | 142 | 149 | 2 |
| 13 | Urania Milano | 2 | 0 | 2 | 149 | 154 | 0 |
| 14 | Pistoia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 139 | 147 | 0 |
| 15 | Juvecaserta 2021 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 154 | 164 | 0 |
| 16 | Juvi Cremona | 2 | 0 | 2 | 143 | 153 | 0 |
| 17 | Mestre | 2 | 1 | 1 | 128 | 145 | 0 |
| 18 | Tramec Cento | 2 | 0 | 2 | 154 | 176 | 0 |
| 19 | Ruvo di Puglia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 153 | 178 | 0 |
| 20 | Vigevano 1955 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 133 | 165 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Urania Milano
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Brindisi Italy Serie A2 |
81-84 | L |
| 27/09 | Dinamo Sassari Italy Serie A2 |
68-70 | L |
| 29/04 | Libertas Livorno Italy Serie A2 |
84-102 | L |
| 26/04 | Verona Italy Serie A2 |
74-95 | L |
| 18/04 | Real Sebastiani Rieti Italy Serie A2 |
88-83 | W |
| 12/04 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
75-89 | L |
| 04/04 | Tramec Cento Italy Serie A2 |
67-65 | W |
| 28/03 | Torino Italy Serie A2 |
63-65 | L |
| 25/03 | Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2 |
110-86 | W |
| 22/03 | Juvi Cremona Italy Serie A2 |
85-98 | L |
Ruvo di Puglia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | UEB Gesteco Cividale Italy Serie A2 |
83-86 | L |
| 27/09 | Fortitudo Bologna Italy Serie A2 |
70-92 | L |
| 27/05 | Roseto Italy Serie A2 |
94-70 | W |
| 24/05 | Roseto Italy Serie A2 |
76-105 | L |
| 22/05 | Roseto Italy Serie A2 |
84-100 | L |
| 19/05 | Roseto Italy Serie A2 |
87-83 | W |
| 17/05 | Roseto Italy Serie A2 |
72-68 | W |
| 13/05 | Pistoia Italy Serie A2 |
78-80 | L |
| 10/05 | Pistoia Italy Serie A2 |
88-81 | W |
| 08/05 | Pistoia Italy Serie A2 |
78-79 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Urania Milano vs Ruvo di Puglia?
Our model gives 70% to Urania Milano.
How many points are expected in Urania Milano vs Ruvo di Puglia?
The model estimates 164.7 total points (Urania Milano 86 · Ruvo di Puglia 78.7).