Basketball · Italy Serie A2 · 04/10, 18:00
Prediction: Pistoia vs Torino
Prediction summary
Estimated points
153.4Total
Pistoia80.2
Torino73.2
1X2
Pistoia
Torino
Recent form · 10 last
Pistoia
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Torino
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pistoia
4–2
Torino
(6 last)
- Pistoia72-80Torino
- Torino87-91Pistoia
- Torino61-73Pistoia
- Torino78-67Pistoia
- Pistoia69-62Torino
- Pistoia67-61Torino
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pistoia 1475 · Torino 1492
| Pistoia | Torino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
153.4 points · Bet365 line 149.5 · +3.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points153.4Pistoia 80.2 · Torino 73.2
Match keys
- Pistoia is a clear favourite (69% market).
- H2H favours Pistoia: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Pistoia | Torino | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 78.1 / 85 | 70.6 / 73 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79.8 / 79.4 | 67.2 / 73.6 |
| Est. result | 80 | 73 |
Est. total153.4
Line O/U149.5
Diff.3.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pistoia 4–0–2 Torino
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Italy Serie A2 | Pistoia | 72-80 | Torino |
| 05/10/25 Italy Serie A2 | Torino | 87-91 | Pistoia |
| 17/06/23 Italy Serie A2 | Torino | 61-73 | Pistoia |
| 15/06/23 Italy Serie A2 | Torino | 78-67 | Pistoia |
| 12/06/23 Italy Serie A2 | Pistoia | 69-62 | Torino |
| 10/06/23 Italy Serie A2 | Pistoia | 67-61 | Torino |
Standings · Italy Serie A2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertas Livorno | 2 | 2 | 0 | 151 | 111 | 4 |
| 2 | Forli | 2 | 2 | 0 | 165 | 141 | 4 |
| 3 | Rinascita Basket Rimini | 1 | 1 | 0 | 84 | 59 | 2 |
| 4 | Fortitudo Bologna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 92 | 70 | 2 |
| 5 | Del Fes Avellino | 1 | 1 | 0 | 87 | 69 | 2 |
| 6 | Pesaro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 96 | 81 | 2 |
| 7 | Real Sebastiani Rieti | 1 | 1 | 0 | 81 | 73 | 2 |
| 8 | Brindisi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 66 | 59 | 2 |
| 9 | Dinamo Sassari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 70 | 68 | 2 |
| 10 | Mestre | 2 | 1 | 1 | 128 | 145 | 2 |
| 11 | Pistoia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 62 | 63 | 0 |
| 12 | Urania Milano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 70 | 0 |
| 13 | Juvi Cremona | 1 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 66 | 0 |
| 14 | Juvecaserta 2021 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 73 | 81 | 0 |
| 15 | UEB Gesteco Cividale | 1 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 85 | 0 |
| 16 | Vigevano 1955 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 69 | 87 | 0 |
| 17 | Tramec Cento | 2 | 0 | 2 | 154 | 176 | 0 |
| 18 | Ruvo di Puglia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 70 | 92 | 0 |
| 19 | Torino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 57 | 79 | 0 |
| 20 | Montecatiniterme Basketball | 1 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 84 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pistoia | Torino |
|---|---|---|
| Ruvo di Puglia | 80-78 W | 77-69 W |
| Tramec Cento | 86-99 L | 80-69 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Torino (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pistoia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Libertas Livorno Italy Serie A2 |
62-63 | L |
| 13/05 | Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2 |
80-78 | W |
| 10/05 | Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2 |
81-88 | L |
| 08/05 | Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2 |
79-78 | W |
| 05/05 | Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2 |
97-90 | W |
| 03/05 | Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2 |
85-100 | L |
| 26/04 | Tramec Cento Italy Serie A2 |
86-99 | L |
| 19/04 | Brindisi Italy Serie A2 |
79-71 | W |
| 11/04 | UEB Gesteco Cividale Italy Serie A2 |
48-93 | L |
| 08/04 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
84-90 | L |
Torino
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Mestre Italy Serie A2 |
57-79 | L |
| 29/04 | Juvi Cremona Italy Serie A2 |
56-59 | L |
| 26/04 | Real Sebastiani Rieti Italy Serie A2 |
66-80 | L |
| 19/04 | Tramec Cento Italy Serie A2 |
80-69 | W |
| 08/04 | Pesaro Italy Serie A2 |
77-81 | L |
| 04/04 | Ruvo di Puglia Italy Serie A2 |
77-69 | W |
| 28/03 | Urania Milano Italy Serie A2 |
65-63 | W |
| 25/03 | Scafati Italy Serie A2 |
74-82 | L |
| 22/03 | Pistoia Italy Serie A2 |
80-72 | W |
| 08/03 | Verona Italy Serie A2 |
74-76 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pistoia vs Torino?
Our model gives 69% to Pistoia.
How many points are expected in Pistoia vs Torino?
The model estimates 153.4 total points (Pistoia 80.2 · Torino 73.2).