Basketball · Italy Serie A2 · 04/10, 18:00
Prediction: Ruvo di Puglia vs UEB Gesteco Cividale
Team pages: Ruvo di Puglia · UEB Gesteco Cividale
Prediction summary
Estimated points
162.4Total
Ruvo di Puglia79.1
UEB Gesteco Cividale83.3
1X2
Ruvo di Puglia
UEB Gesteco Cividale
Recent form · 10 last
Ruvo di Puglia
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
UEB Gesteco Cividale
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ruvo di Puglia
1–1
UEB Gesteco Cividale
(2 last)
- Ruvo di Puglia73-95UEB Gesteco Cividale
- UEB Gesteco Cividale80-91Ruvo di Puglia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ruvo di Puglia 1460 · UEB Gesteco Cividale 1517
| Ruvo di Puglia | UEB Gesteco Cividale | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
Estimated total (ours)
162.4 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · +3.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points162.4Ruvo di Puglia 79.1 · UEB Gesteco Cividale 83.3
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UEB Gesteco Cividale (rating 1460 vs 1517).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Ruvo di Puglia | UEB Gesteco Cividale | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.7 / 85.5 | 77.4 / 77.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82.2 / 90 | 73 / 81.6 |
| Est. result | 79 | 83 |
Est. total162.4
Line O/U158.5
Diff.3.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ruvo di Puglia 1–0–1 UEB Gesteco Cividale
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/26 Italy Serie A2 | Ruvo di Puglia | 73-95 | UEB Gesteco Cividale |
| 18/10/25 Italy Serie A2 | UEB Gesteco Cividale | 80-91 | Ruvo di Puglia |
Standings · Italy Serie A2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertas Livorno | 2 | 2 | 0 | 151 | 111 | 4 |
| 2 | Forli | 2 | 2 | 0 | 165 | 141 | 4 |
| 3 | Rinascita Basket Rimini | 1 | 1 | 0 | 84 | 59 | 2 |
| 4 | Fortitudo Bologna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 92 | 70 | 2 |
| 5 | Del Fes Avellino | 1 | 1 | 0 | 87 | 69 | 2 |
| 6 | Pesaro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 96 | 81 | 2 |
| 7 | Real Sebastiani Rieti | 1 | 1 | 0 | 81 | 73 | 2 |
| 8 | Brindisi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 66 | 59 | 2 |
| 9 | Dinamo Sassari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 70 | 68 | 2 |
| 10 | Mestre | 2 | 1 | 1 | 128 | 145 | 2 |
| 11 | Pistoia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 62 | 63 | 0 |
| 12 | Urania Milano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 70 | 0 |
| 13 | Juvi Cremona | 1 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 66 | 0 |
| 14 | Juvecaserta 2021 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 73 | 81 | 0 |
| 15 | UEB Gesteco Cividale | 1 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 85 | 0 |
| 16 | Vigevano 1955 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 69 | 87 | 0 |
| 17 | Tramec Cento | 2 | 0 | 2 | 154 | 176 | 0 |
| 18 | Ruvo di Puglia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 70 | 92 | 0 |
| 19 | Torino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 57 | 79 | 0 |
| 20 | Montecatiniterme Basketball | 1 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 84 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ruvo di Puglia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Fortitudo Bologna Italy Serie A2 |
70-92 | L |
| 27/05 | Roseto Italy Serie A2 |
94-70 | W |
| 24/05 | Roseto Italy Serie A2 |
76-105 | L |
| 22/05 | Roseto Italy Serie A2 |
84-100 | L |
| 19/05 | Roseto Italy Serie A2 |
87-83 | W |
| 17/05 | Roseto Italy Serie A2 |
72-68 | W |
| 13/05 | Pistoia Italy Serie A2 |
78-80 | L |
| 10/05 | Pistoia Italy Serie A2 |
88-81 | W |
| 08/05 | Pistoia Italy Serie A2 |
78-79 | L |
| 05/05 | Pistoia Italy Serie A2 |
90-97 | L |
UEB Gesteco Cividale
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Forli Italy Serie A2 |
69-85 | L |
| 28/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
76-87 | L |
| 26/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
66-83 | L |
| 23/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
85-69 | W |
| 21/05 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
69-84 | L |
| 15/05 | Real Sebastiani Rieti Italy Serie A2 |
90-78 | W |
| 13/05 | Real Sebastiani Rieti Italy Serie A2 |
82-73 | W |
| 10/05 | Real Sebastiani Rieti Italy Serie A2 |
79-73 | W |
| 08/05 | Real Sebastiani Rieti Italy Serie A2 |
69-70 | L |
| 17/04 | Rinascita Basket Rimini Italy Serie A2 |
89-76 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ruvo di Puglia vs UEB Gesteco Cividale?
Our model gives 62% to UEB Gesteco Cividale.
How many points are expected in Ruvo di Puglia vs UEB Gesteco Cividale?
The model estimates 162.4 total points (Ruvo di Puglia 79.1 · UEB Gesteco Cividale 83.3).